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Unfolding Nature Shop: Unfolding Nature: Being in the Implicate Order

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Re: TRUMP 2024 [Re: Falcon91Wolvrn03] * 1
    #27080220 -

Biden has said a few dumb things, no doubt about it. Trump rarely says anything intelligent.


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Enjoy the process of your search without succumbing to the pressure of the result.

A Dorito is pizza, change my mind.

I’m sorry it had to be me.

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Re: TRUMP 2024 [Re: Falcon91Wolvrn03] * 4
    #27080225 -

I'm expecting Biden to be a Bill Clinton with the mental fog of a late Ronald Reagan. He will say some inane shit but with a folksy charm. Whereas with Trump it was more of an Alex Jones/grade school bully vibe.

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Re: TRUMP 2024 [Re: psi] * 5
    #27080233 -

My favorite recent Bidenism is when he said “poor kids are just as smart as white kids”


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Re: TRUMP 2024 [Re: psi] * 3
    #27080238 -

Yeah the folksy charm certainly makes a difference, but he also manages to say something worth hearing occasionally. Trump’s shit eating willful ignorance is another matter.


--------------------
Enjoy the process of your search without succumbing to the pressure of the result.

A Dorito is pizza, change my mind.

I’m sorry it had to be me.

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Re: TRUMP 2024 [Re: christopera]
    #27080339 -

THE NETWORKS DONT DECIDE THE WINNER!”

also



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NotSheekle said
“if I believed she was 16 I would become unattracted to her”

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Re: TRUMP 2024 [Re: Mycolorado] * 1
    #27080425 -

Mycolorado said:
Wow, there is some seriously triggered trump supporter butthurt in here.  Why do trump supporters hate the rule of law so much?  People claiming this is a huge conspiracy supported by the judiciary are down right un-American.



There is nothing un-american about ensuring our election was, in-fact, not rigged. The Dems, media and the Left in general should be chomping at the bit to prove there was no cheating. Instead, they've engaged in a massive Orwellian censorship campaign to censor anyone who even talks about it.

There's a reason I'm here and not posting about this on Twitter or Facebook - My account would be removed extremely quickly.

Truth is, they are scared that people will find out the truth so now instead they have to desperately cover up their crimes.

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Re: TRUMP 2024 [Re: koods] * 1
    #27080429 -

He's so dumb. He told people not to vote by mail so his followers didn't. He said don't be afraid of the virus. People leaning Democrat were afraid of getting sick and voted by mail. Of course the earlier results would favor Trump then shift to Biden. It was well known beforehand many key states didn't begin counting mail in ballots till election day and they would produce late results. 

Other than not talking like a moron about the pandemic, Biden did little to win. Trump lost this election all by himself. I could see it coming since March.


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"The Rolling Stones will break up over Brian Jones' dead body"    John Lennon

I don't want no commies in my car. No Christians either.

Simulacrum
The truth which conceals that there is none

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Re: TRUMP 2024 [Re: psi]
    #27080432 -

psi said:
I'm expecting Biden to be a Bill Clinton with the mental fog of a late Ronald Reagan. He will say some inane shit but with a folksy charm. Whereas with Trump it was more of an Alex Jones/grade school bully vibe.




You'll be lucky if Biden even lasts 1 year in office. It will be the Harris administration, and very quickly I might add. The man was never anything more than a stand-in for Harris, who is the real Democratic nominee, a woman who literally got less than 1% in the primaries will be our president.

On the plus side, she should be easy to beat in 2024, but the problem is a) they can just cheat again and b) that's assuming she hasn't started some huge war that could delay the election either.

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Re: TRUMP 2024 [Re: christopera]
    #27080437 -

christopera said:
The butt hurt stems at least in part from Trump's own mocking of Biden. How could a dementia patient beat Trump? Well, Trump lost to that guy, and it really hurts the butt.



How could a dementia patient who hardly even campaigned beat Trump, indeed? That's because he didn't beat Trump. His backers ensured he would "win" via election fraud, and now they think they can get away with it because they control the media.

They very well may get away with it, as they have gotten away with many things, but this is a bridge too far, even for a nation of brainwashed sheep like America.

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Re: TRUMP 2024 [Re: chopstick] * 1
    #27080440 -

She won't be easy to beat in 2024 if the Republicans don't have a credible candidate. So far they have the fool, the fool's children and the cowards that supported him in congress. The best shot the GOP has is to nominate someone we've never heard of.


--------------------
"The Rolling Stones will break up over Brian Jones' dead body"    John Lennon

I don't want no commies in my car. No Christians either.

Simulacrum
The truth which conceals that there is none

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Re: TRUMP 2024 [Re: chopstick] * 1
    #27080442 -

chopstick said:
christopera said:
The butt hurt stems at least in part from Trump's own mocking of Biden. How could a dementia patient beat Trump? Well, Trump lost to that guy, and it really hurts the butt.



How could a dementia patient who hardly even campaigned beat Trump, indeed? That's because he didn't beat Trump. His backers ensured he would "win" via election fraud, and now they think they can get away with it because they control the media.

They very well may get away with it, as they have gotten away with many things, but this is a bridge too far, even for a nation of brainwashed sheep like America.



This was the fairest election in history and Trump was beaten soundly by someone who very well may have some dementia. What does that tell you about Trump?


--------------------
"The Rolling Stones will break up over Brian Jones' dead body"    John Lennon

I don't want no commies in my car. No Christians either.

Simulacrum
The truth which conceals that there is none

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Re: TRUMP 2024 [Re: Brian Jones] * 1
    #27080456 -

Pfft, fairest according to the DOJ:rolleyes:

Didnt you hear? Bill barr is a deep state mole who is working with the adrenochrome
cult to get trump out of office. All his support and white knighting for trump over the last year was just a charade!


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Re: TRUMP 2024 [Re: chopstick] * 1
    #27080467 -

chopstick said:
Mycolorado said:
Wow, there is some seriously triggered trump supporter butthurt in here.  Why do trump supporters hate the rule of law so much?  People claiming this is a huge conspiracy supported by the judiciary are down right un-American.



There is nothing un-american about ensuring our election was, in-fact, not rigged. The Dems, media and the Left in general should be chomping at the bit to prove there was no cheating. Instead, they've engaged in a massive Orwellian censorship campaign to censor anyone who even talks about it.

There's a reason I'm here and not posting about this on Twitter or Facebook - My account would be removed extremely quickly.

Truth is, they are scared that people will find out the truth so now instead they have to desperately cover up their crimes.



I don’t give a fuck about Twitter or FB.  Why are the courts tossing this shit?  Why are trump appointed judges tossing this shit?  Are his appointments and the judiciary actually deep state operatives bent on ensuring he’s not elected?  Your arguments are laughable and wholly un-American.  The only thing Orwellian about any of this is trump’s sycophantic base believing there is fraud with zero evidence.  What a bunch of un-American, whiny ass suckers.

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Re: TRUMP 2024 [Re: chopstick]
    #27080499 -

chopstick said:
Mycolorado said:
Wow, there is some seriously triggered trump supporter butthurt in here.  Why do trump supporters hate the rule of law so much?  People claiming this is a huge conspiracy supported by the judiciary are down right un-American.



There is nothing un-american about ensuring our election was, in-fact, not rigged. The Dems, media and the Left in general should be chomping at the bit to prove there was no cheating. Instead, they've engaged in a massive Orwellian censorship campaign to censor anyone who even talks about it.

There's a reason I'm here and not posting about this on Twitter or Facebook - My account would be removed extremely quickly.

Truth is, they are scared that people will find out the truth so now instead they have to desperately cover up their crimes.



I bet you like shows about Bigfoot and ancient aliens


--------------------
NotSheekle said
“if I believed she was 16 I would become unattracted to her”

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Re: TRUMP 2024 [Re: chopstick] * 1
    #27080502 -

chopstick said:
The Dems, media and the Left in general should be chomping at the bit to prove there was no cheating.



Yup, and it's been proven time and time again. Trump and his disciples just can't seem to accept that reality.


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Censoring opposing views since 2014.



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Re: TRUMP 2024 [Re: chopstick]
    #27080508 -

chopstick said:
psi said:
I'm expecting Biden to be a Bill Clinton with the mental fog of a late Ronald Reagan. He will say some inane shit but with a folksy charm. Whereas with Trump it was more of an Alex Jones/grade school bully vibe.




You'll be lucky if Biden even lasts 1 year in office. It will be the Harris administration, and very quickly I might add. The man was never anything more than a stand-in for Harris, who is the real Democratic nominee, a woman who literally got less than 1% in the primaries will be our president.

On the plus side, she should be easy to beat in 2024, but the problem is a) they can just cheat again and b) that's assuming she hasn't started some huge war that could delay the election either.



If I am reading this table right, the probability that a man his age dies over his next four years should be the sum of these probabilities, 0.223262. A significant chance but it's more likely he survives.
Code:
Male

Exact Death
age probability
...
78 0.047826
79 0.052649
80 0.058206
81 0.064581



https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html

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Re: TRUMP 2024 [Re: chopstick] * 2
    #27080517 -

chopstick said:
psi said:
I'm expecting Biden to be a Bill Clinton with the mental fog of a late Ronald Reagan. He will say some inane shit but with a folksy charm. Whereas with Trump it was more of an Alex Jones/grade school bully vibe.




You'll be lucky if Biden even lasts 1 year in office. It will be the Harris administration, and very quickly I might add. The man was never anything more than a stand-in for Harris, who is the real Democratic nominee, a woman who literally got less than 1% in the primaries will be our president.

On the plus side, she should be easy to beat in 2024, but the problem is a) they can just cheat again and b) that's assuming she hasn't started some huge war that could delay the election either.



You should definitely give up. No point in even voting.


--------------------
NotSheekle said
“if I believed she was 16 I would become unattracted to her”

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Re: TRUMP 2024 [Re: psi]
    #27080541 -

psi said:
chopstick said:
psi said:
I'm expecting Biden to be a Bill Clinton with the mental fog of a late Ronald Reagan. He will say some inane shit but with a folksy charm. Whereas with Trump it was more of an Alex Jones/grade school bully vibe.




You'll be lucky if Biden even lasts 1 year in office. It will be the Harris administration, and very quickly I might add. The man was never anything more than a stand-in for Harris, who is the real Democratic nominee, a woman who literally got less than 1% in the primaries will be our president.

On the plus side, she should be easy to beat in 2024, but the problem is a) they can just cheat again and b) that's assuming she hasn't started some huge war that could delay the election either.



If I am reading this table right, the probability that a man his age dies over his next four years should be the sum of these probabilities, 0.223262. A significant chance but it's more likely he survives.
Code:
Male

Exact Death
age probability
...
78 0.047826
79 0.052649
80 0.058206
81 0.064581



https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html



No. Two coin flips with .5 probability of heads each doesnt mean there’s 100% chance of a head.

The correct answer is 0.206. I rounded everything down to three digits to do the calculations


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NotSheekle said
“if I believed she was 16 I would become unattracted to her”

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Re: TRUMP 2024 [Re: koods]
    #27080546 -

So what's the calculation?

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Re: TRUMP 2024 [Re: psi] * 2
    #27080552 -

1-(1-a)(1-b)(1-c)(1-d)

In the case of the coin flip example 1-.52=.75

The key to thinking about this is multiple iterations of any probability less than 1 can never reach 1, only approach it. No matter how many times you flip a coin, there’s always the chance you’ll never get a head. From a purely mathematical standpoint, there is a chance Joe Biden will never die.

Edited by koods (12/09/20 02:07 PM)

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Unfolding Nature Shop: Unfolding Nature: Being in the Implicate Order


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