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Unfolding Nature Shop: Unfolding Nature: Being in the Implicate Order

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Re: Obama and the Minister [Re: dill705]
    #8154519 -

My reputation here as a brilliant prognosticator is worth more to me than $50. It's also way early. And I do like sick odds in my favor. Right now I think it's probably about a 60% chance McCain will win. Not sick enough.

If I knew you personally I would make the bet.


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Re: Obama and the Minister [Re: zappaisgod]
    #8154549 -

I'll wait for you to come around.

When the chances IYO are "more" favorable to you, I'll still be here.


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My advice is to find those things that give pleasure and do them often without too much attachment and relax and wait for the show to end.

-Icelander-

I like free markets and all. Truly I do, at least in general, but there needs to be some kind of oversight in recognition of sustainability. Life works the same way, on a bunch of sustainable systems. Why not honor what made us what we are and take some lessons? Nature FTW!

~dill705~

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Re: Obama and the Minister [Re: zappaisgod]
    #8154589 -

zappaisgod said:
If I knew you personally I would make the bet.



Zogby currently shows McCain beating either Dem.

Quote:
In a survey by Zogby International released yesterday, Mr. McCain bested Mrs. Clinton by six percentage points (45 percent to 39 percent) and Mr. Obama by five points (44 percent to 39 percent). The Zogby survey of 1,001 likely voters included independent Ralph Nader as one of the choices and had an error margin of 3.2 percentage points.



http://www.washingtontimes.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080316/NATION/444870507/1001

Still early. I expect the gap to widen.


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Re: Obama and the Minister [Re: zappaisgod]
    #8154649 -

Yep, any poll that includes 1001 people is within 3.2 percentage points off when extrapolated to millions of voters.

Please, that's the worst shit I've seen posted all day.


--------------------
My advice is to find those things that give pleasure and do them often without too much attachment and relax and wait for the show to end.

-Icelander-

I like free markets and all. Truly I do, at least in general, but there needs to be some kind of oversight in recognition of sustainability. Life works the same way, on a bunch of sustainable systems. Why not honor what made us what we are and take some lessons? Nature FTW!

~dill705~

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Re: Obama and the Minister [Re: dill705]
    #8154665 -

I don't love polls either. Not this early. What makes you so confident that Casper will beat McCain?


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Re: Obama and the Minister [Re: zappaisgod]
    #8154745 -

My experiences with other people have led me to believe that a lot of people feel left out of politics. Obama draws these kinds of people back in.

The majority of Americans want our troops home, and the majority or Iraqis do as well. That often gets overlooked.

Obama makes a good case against McCain on the budget, all he has to do is point out the debt Bush has us in. Of course he won't win amongst fiscal conservatists, but the independants will be eating up every word. Bush is a very polarizing figure.

Don't get me wrong, I know McCain pretty good, and I like the guy. He seems honest, he's a hero, he's liberal, ooops, did I say that. Yes, he is liberal. Don't deny it. Maybe that will help him, but once Obama points out the flip-flopping (think Bush tax cuts, BTW, which actually raised taxes), it's only a matter of time.

Then there's Bush. I know he's not running, but for a lot of people, Bush already lost this election for the republicans. It's not so much that their scared of a repeat, it's that people want justice, they want to punish the republican party (granted this is a little far fetched, but nonetheless true) for nominating the (probably) worst P.O.T.U.S. ever.


--------------------
My advice is to find those things that give pleasure and do them often without too much attachment and relax and wait for the show to end.

-Icelander-

I like free markets and all. Truly I do, at least in general, but there needs to be some kind of oversight in recognition of sustainability. Life works the same way, on a bunch of sustainable systems. Why not honor what made us what we are and take some lessons? Nature FTW!

~dill705~

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Re: Obama and the Minister [Re: dill705]
    #8154975 -

dill: Do you know Obama is the most liberal senator in the country? Do think America is that liberal? Is that drawing people back in? Obama has only sung platitudes; it has worked, but he is going to have to get to the issues; besides his policies being on par with a high school senior, they will divide because once you know where he stands you can't shape him into an imaginary mold. In addition, though the story of his mentor may fade... it won't be forgotten among independents. Obama was at the height of his power not long ago, he is no longer so infatuating. He's just an over hyped up politician. One who is actually the most polarizing of them all. His strongest area is among the youth, who I bet will not turn out for him anyway.

Your statement about McCain is incorrect. He is a moderate conservative. I don't think the statement about flip-flopping will work. I bet most people believe he is sincere about making tax cuts permanent and is a "straight talking". McCain could just as easily fire back at Obama: He was for the war, then against the war, against the successful surge, invading our ally Pakistan, talking with Chavez, talking with Iran, re-establishing relationship with Cuba -- all without conditions. Obama has not been tested. I would argue that for the most part on McCain too but his war experience and senator experience negates that from most peoples minds. (I just don't trust senators as Presidents.)

Further, it is actually McCain's moderate conservatism that people find appealing and uniting. He has shown to be able to reach across party lines. (Look at Obama's polarizing record).

Finally, I think you misunderstand Bush and U.S. history to say Bush was the worst President in American history. I'll give that the invasion of Iraq was a mistake, and Bush has to take responsibility for it. But the wheel of history is still turning, and so is the tide in Iraq. Violence is down, al-Qaeda has been critically wounded, and Iraqi citizens are rising up and against violence and for their country. The government in Iraq and Afghanistan are still corrupt and largely nonfunctional but so are all newly formed governments. What remains to be seen is if we can strike a deal with Iran (and we just snubbed Iran a two weeks ago), so we wait. We threaten Iran with sanctions and war; we threaten their Hezbollah; Iran threatens us with increased violence (and recently with taking al Sadr hostage). But in the end it is in our best interest to work together. So again we wait... but Bush has had one of the most difficult times thrown upon (something he didn't want to spend his presidency doing) and overall he made big mistakes but not nearly as big to make him the worst President in U.S. history.


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Re: Obama and the Minister [Re: zappaisgod]
    #8155034 -

zappaisgod said:
I got burnt by fireworks_god. I'm not gonna get burnt by you, too, especially in light of that fact that it is clearly a sub-prime bet, if you get my drift.



No you didn't. We never made the bet. When you don't acknowledge that I said I'd take the bet, then there is no bet. You never posted again in the thread, thus creating the opportunity for you to claim the bet existed, pointing to my post as evidence, but if I had won the bet, you could have simply claimed that you never saw new replies for that thread. We never said deal or anything to act as confirmation; therefore, no bet.

Not only that, but I also stated that I would donate the $10 to the Shroomery. As soon as my checks start to come through, I'll take care of that and the amount wagered with willshire. Don't use your inability to acknowledge that someone expressed interest in your offer to make a bet as an excuse to not make bets with others.


--------------------
:redpanda:
If I should die this very moment
I wouldn't fear
For I've never known completeness
Like being here
Wrapped in the warmth of you
Loving every breath of you

:heartpump: :bunnyhug: :yinyang:

:yinyang: :levitate: :earth: :levitate: :yinyang:

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Re: Obama and the Minister [Re: klimt]
    #8155079 -

klimt said:
He is also the most liberal senator in the country. I don't think he is going to get the independent vote. Though the country right now is leaning liberal, America is not that liberal. He is even more liberal than a self-proclaimed socialist.



:strokebeard:

Care to elaborate upon that? When you say he's more liberal than a self-proclaimed socialist, what do you mean? What does it mean to be a liberal as you are using the term, and how have you determined that Obama is the most liberal senator in the country? I'm more than curious as to how you've reached this conclusion. :smirk:


--------------------
:redpanda:
If I should die this very moment
I wouldn't fear
For I've never known completeness
Like being here
Wrapped in the warmth of you
Loving every breath of you

:heartpump: :bunnyhug: :yinyang:

:yinyang: :levitate: :earth: :levitate: :yinyang:

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Re: Obama and the Minister [Re: fireworks_god]
    #8155107 -

His voting record is the most liberal. He has the highest percentage of votes on the liberal sides of issues, more so than the socialist.

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Re: Obama and the Minister [Re: DieCommie]
    #8155128 -

fireworks: http://nj.nationaljournal.com/voteratings/

It is calculated by their voting history. The socialist senator is Bernie Sanders and is the second most liberal senator.


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Re: Obama and the Minister [Re: DieCommie]
    #8155148 -

DieCommie said:
His voting record is the most liberal. He has the highest percentage of votes on the liberal sides of issues, more so than the socialist.



Yes, I had expected this is what was being referred to, but I want to know if he knows what that actually means. I heard a great refutation of that classification by Obama, and I'm wondering exactly what it is that makes Obama "the most liberal senator in the country", beyond a simple parroting of a sound byte that refers to some organization's classification of voting. I'd love to be informed.


--------------------
:redpanda:
If I should die this very moment
I wouldn't fear
For I've never known completeness
Like being here
Wrapped in the warmth of you
Loving every breath of you

:heartpump: :bunnyhug: :yinyang:

:yinyang: :levitate: :earth: :levitate: :yinyang:

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Re: Obama and the Minister [Re: klimt]
    #8155382 -

Auto-Summary
The post is a debate between Mr. Klimt and the author regarding Barack Obama's political stance and potential presidency. They discuss Obama's liberal views, his ability to reach across the aisle, and his strong performance in debates. The author argues that Obama is more appealing to the youth, blacks, and will have higher voter turnout in the election. They also criticize McCain's moderate conservative views and flip-flopping, as well as the tax cuts. The author concludes by challenging Mr. Klimt to accept a $50 bet about Obama's presidency.

First off Mr. klimt, are you accepting my $50 bet?

Now I'll get to your post.

Quote:
Do you know Obama is the most liberal senator in the country? Do think America is that liberal? Is that drawing people back in? Obama has only sung platitudes; it has worked, but he is going to have to get to the issues; besides his policies being on par with a high school senior, they will divide because once you know where he stands you can't shape him into an imaginary mold.



Even if he is the most liberal senator, it's his demeanor that will convince people that he is cool and calculated. His performance in debates so far have shown that he can keep up under fire. You say he has sung his platitudes, I point you to his voting record as a member of the Illioni's legislature. He got a lot done there and has an excellent record of reaching across the aisle. Many bills he introduced we're co-sponsored by republicans. Finally, how do you say he hasn't really talked about the issues. That was what happened over the course of the 20 or so democratic debates. The differences between him and McCain are vast and will make it even easier for him to explain in broader terms than he has been able to so far. Right now in debates he has to explain small differences in his policies due to their similar nature with Billary's plans. I don't shape him into any mold other than the one that will win. He's got presidential qualities in addition to his ideas that will lead America into the very uncertain future.

Quote:
Obama was at the height of his power not long ago, he is no longer so infatuating. He's
just an over hyped up politician. One who is actually the most polarizing of them all. His strongest area is among the youth, who I bet will not turn out for him anyway.



When McCain raises $12 million in Feb, Billary raises $35, and Obama raises $50 million, explain how he's not as infatuating? He's not just good with the youth, but also the blacks. Expect a higher black and young voter turnout in Nov. If, you'd bet on the youth not showing up, then bet on McCain. I could use the $50. :snort:

Quote:
Your statement about McCain is incorrect. He is a moderate conservative. I don't think the statement about flip-flopping will work. I bet most people believe he is sincere about making tax cuts permanent and is a "straight talking". McCain could just as easily fire back at Obama: He was for the war, then against the war, against the successful surge, invading our ally Pakistan, talking with Chavez, talking with Iran, re-establishing relationship with Cuba -- all without conditions. Obama has not been tested.



No one on the republican side will admit it, but he's as liberal as they come. Most republicans don't work with dems on bills. They work with other repubs the majority of the time. McCain Finegold or whatever, Lieberman, they've got the "true" conservatives in a tizzy. As for straight talking, I really liked when he came to MI and told the auto companies that they needed to go green and have better fuel efficiency, that yesterdays jobs are gone and we have to recover in new ways with new tecnologies. However, he did flip on the "tax cuts". There's no denying it. Maybe he is sincere now, but this is not a good thing with the independants. Check this lnk out. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bush_tax_cuts

A bunch of tax breaks on stock holdings and capital gains. Awesome. The average Joe doesn't care about the income tax being lowered on his 401K. This only helped the people making a living off the stock market, or that just have huge holdings. Instead, the working class is making up this lost tax revenue.

Your claim that B-Rock was for the war is distorted rhetoric that I'll let Obama debunk in some debate down the road. As for his stance on foreign policy, he did back off from his original stance. However. he may have just mispoke. He said HE would meet with these people. I believe he meant HE as in HIS policy would be to meet with these people, not necessarily him. He got attacked by Billary and had to clarify.

Quote:
Finally, I think you misunderstand Bush and U.S. history to say Bush was the worst President in American history. I'll give that the invasion of Iraq was a mistake, and Bush has to take responsibility for it. But the wheel of history is still turning, and so is the tide in Iraq. Violence is down, al-Qaeda has been critically wounded, and Iraqi citizens are rising up and against violence and for their country. The government in Iraq and Afghanistan are still corrupt and largely nonfunctional but so are all newly formed governments. What remains to be seen is if we can strike a deal with Iran (and we just snubbed Iran a two weeks ago), so we wait. We threaten Iran with sanctions and war; we threaten their Hezbollah; Iran threatens us with increased violence (and recently with taking al Sadr hostage). But in the end it is in our best interest to work together. So again we wait... but Bush has had one of the most difficult times thrown upon (something he didn't want to spend his presidency doing) and overall he made big mistakes but not nearly as big to make him the worst President in U.S. history.




I'm glad you realize Iraq was a mistake. Now if you would only realize that McCain backs this mistake and that alone pretty much ends this race. You can say it's getting better, but when a manufacturer isn't meeting quotas, then he hires an additional 100,000 workers to supplement the 300,000 he already has, suddenly he meets those quotas every month. No different here, except the taxpayers are paying this bill. Also, we all know that Al Quida wasn't in Iraq until we invaded (even the Pentagon acknowledged this week that Saddam didn't have ties to Al Quida). So don't go spouting the anti-terrorist thing. It's a terrible argument. Somewhere you said Barack supported attacking Pakistan. Yep, if he had GOOD intelligence saying Bin Laden was there. And then it would only be a strike at that location. That should be America's policy, it's sad that Iraq distracted us from that.

As for Bush, this time is no harder than any other. Imagine Bush during WW2, the Civil War (he'd support slavery, I just know it), the Cuban Missile Crisis, or the Great Depression. He's a bumbling fool. You say he won't be the worst, I say he is. You provide no one else to consider and your the person with the burden of proof. I'd be glad to hear of another president who fucked up as badly as Bush has.

Here's a nice farewell from the shittiest person in our country.



Now, I know I probably didn't change your mind, so how bout that bet?


--------------------
My advice is to find those things that give pleasure and do them often without too much attachment and relax and wait for the show to end.

-Icelander-

I like free markets and all. Truly I do, at least in general, but there needs to be some kind of oversight in recognition of sustainability. Life works the same way, on a bunch of sustainable systems. Why not honor what made us what we are and take some lessons? Nature FTW!

~dill705~

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Re: Obama and the Minister [Re: fireworks_god]
    #8155544 -

---

Edited by EntheogenicPeace (02/13/21 05:54 PM)

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Re: Obama and the Minister [Re: EntheogenicPeace]
    #8155775 -

dill705: I got to go to bed. But most of what you said is really far off. You have a really simplistic understanding of Iraq (and President Bush). I agree with you that Iraq was a mistake, mismanaged, and in short a debacle. However you fail to understand the consequences of withdrawal. (I think Obama secretly does but his high school politics lead me to sometimes think otherwise.)

What would happen is chaos and civil war would erupt and the gains we have made would vanish. Iran would gain substantial power over Iraq, this in turn means they gain complete control over the oil supply, without U.S. influence over Iraq our negotiations collapse giving Iran free will to become nuclear. As Iranian influence encroaches into Iraq a crisis will form between Saudi Arabia and Iran. We are forced into a complete new war as Saudi Arabia and Iran clash and Iran cuts off oil supplies to the United States. The outcome of that war I leave to the imagination. The consequences of withdrawal are therefore worse than the consequences of staying.

The situation we are in now is winnable; the situation that would result from withdrawal are untenable to say the least. That is difference between high school politics and reality. I don't think Obama is that stupid. He's appealing to his base, but don't count on a disastrous withdrawal. Few would be so dumb.


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Re: Obama and the Minister [Re: klimt]
    #8156258 -

klimt said:
The situation we are in now is winnable; the situation that would result from withdrawal are untenable to say the least. That is difference between high school politics and reality. I don't think Obama is that stupid. He's appealing to his base, but don't count on a disastrous withdrawal. Few would be so dumb.



Do you know what Obama's plans for withdrawl, as expressed on the campaign, are? What do they entail strategically?


--------------------
:redpanda:
If I should die this very moment
I wouldn't fear
For I've never known completeness
Like being here
Wrapped in the warmth of you
Loving every breath of you

:heartpump: :bunnyhug: :yinyang:

:yinyang: :levitate: :earth: :levitate: :yinyang:

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Re: Obama and the Minister [Re: klimt]
    #8156718 -

I watched a report yesterday that interviewed over twenty Iraqi Guard soldiers. Every last one of them said it's time for us to leave. They do the majority of the fighting now anyways. We're just peacekeepers.

Also, when asked about the U.S. elections, not a single one of them mentioned the republicans. When asked if they wanted a republican to win, not a single soldier said yes. One was quoted as saying, "we're in the middle of a republican war that's failed terribly. Why would we want more of the same." That's how these people feel. Others said such things as, "We have lots of oil. We want this war to be over. We just want a strong economy, our kids need jobs."

Maybe you don't think that the Iraqi's should have a say, but I do. I imagine that most of the world does as well. I've said from the begining that if the Iraqi people wanted "freedom" then they would have picked up arms just like when we fought for revolution. Instead we gave them all the freedom they could want. Bombs dropping on civilation homes, friends and family shot down in the street. How would you like it if China said, fuck Bush, he took all the American's civil liberties away. Let's go invade America. Then they come and while your at work they mistakenly bomb your house and your kids school. Now you have some funerals to attend to, but on your way to the service a firefight breaks out and a stray bullet comes through the passenger window of your car, killing your wife. That's the kind of freedom we gave Iraq.

I must ask, do you understand Iraq? Saddam had the counrty under control. It was a ticking time bomb, and we set it off. It's time to say sorry, you guys can handle yourselves, you're much better at it than we were.

BTW, you so far have declined my bet. It still stands. I'm considering posting it on the main page of this forum. Let me know if you're willing to have some friendly gamblng.


--------------------
My advice is to find those things that give pleasure and do them often without too much attachment and relax and wait for the show to end.

-Icelander-

I like free markets and all. Truly I do, at least in general, but there needs to be some kind of oversight in recognition of sustainability. Life works the same way, on a bunch of sustainable systems. Why not honor what made us what we are and take some lessons? Nature FTW!

~dill705~

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Re: Obama and the Minister [Re: klimt]
    #8156923 -

---

Edited by EntheogenicPeace (02/13/21 05:55 PM)

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Re: Obama and the Minister [Re: klimt]
    #8156946 -

---

Edited by EntheogenicPeace (02/13/21 05:55 PM)

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Re: Obama and the Minister [Re: EntheogenicPeace]
    #8157096 -

Nice find :thumbup:

I suppose you'd be on my side of the bet, huh?


--------------------
My advice is to find those things that give pleasure and do them often without too much attachment and relax and wait for the show to end.

-Icelander-

I like free markets and all. Truly I do, at least in general, but there needs to be some kind of oversight in recognition of sustainability. Life works the same way, on a bunch of sustainable systems. Why not honor what made us what we are and take some lessons? Nature FTW!

~dill705~

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Unfolding Nature Shop: Unfolding Nature: Being in the Implicate Order


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