Mr. Kerry leads incumbent Republican President G.W. Bush - Political Discussion

Home | Community | Message Board

You are not signed in.
New Account

Forum Index Search Posts Trusted Vendors Highlights Galleries FAQ User List Chat Store Random Growery

This site includes paid links. Please support our sponsors.

Welcome to the Shroomery Message Board! You are experiencing a small sample of what the site has to offer. Please or register to post messages and view our exclusive members-only content. You'll gain access to additional forums, file attachments, board customizations, encrypted private messages, and much more!

Shop: Red Vein Kratom

Jump to first unread post

Pages: 1

fft2
journeyman

Registered: 06/15/04
Posts: 106
Last seen: 19 years, 4 months

Mr. Kerry leads incumbent Republican President G.W. Bush

#2802683 - 06/17/04 02:32 PM (19 years, 9 months ago)

ZOGBY INTERACTIVE PRESIDENTIAL PREFERENCE POLL

If the election for president of the United States were held today, Democratic challenger John Kerry would win easily, approaching the sort of lopsided electoral college victories reminiscent of the Clinton 90s and the Reagan 80s.

Based on a unique collection of state-by-state interactive polls of likely voters in 16 battleground states where the presidential election is expected to be decided this fall, Mr. Kerry leads incumbent Republican President George W. Bush by 102 electoral college votes, 320 to 218.

The Internet polls were conducted May 18-23 by Zogby Interactive of Utica, New York. Each state carries a slightly different margin of error. Mr. Kerry, the junior senator from Massachusetts, has made critical inroads in key Midwestern states, including Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Missouri, and Wisconsin, and leads in Florida, where Democrat Al Gore lost the race for the White House four years ago, the poll shows.

And while otherwise making solid gains around the country, the senator is trailing in just one toss-up state that was won by Mr. Gore four years ago ? Iowa.

Even then, Mr. Kerry?s deficit there is just five percent.

The Zogby Interactive poll measured 16 states individually that make up the battleground for the White House this year. In those states, 177 electoral votes are up for grabs in the November election. That this is the battleground couldn?t be more clear: if Mr. Bush were to win the same states in that group that he won four years ago, he would reap 89 electoral votes, while Democrat John Kerry would win 88.

The poll considers those states not included to be predictable, favoring the candidate of the same party that they did four years ago. Assuming that, Mr. Bush would hold a 17-vote collective advantage in the electoral college in those 34 states - 189 to 172 - over Mr. Kerry. This takes into account the shift in electoral college votes, following the 2000 U.S. Census, from states losing population, mostly in the Midwest and northeast, to states gaining population, mostly in the south and west.

Considering the changes in the allocation of electoral college votes since 2000, should the 2004 election be an exact repeat of 2000, Mr. Bush would win with a slightly larger margin, 278 votes to 260.

Extras:

Top

Redo
CTA

Registered: 04/13/04
Posts: 1,296
Last seen: 18 years, 8 months

Re: Mr. Kerry leads incumbent Republican President G.W. Bush

[Re: fft2]
#2803350 - 06/17/04 06:33 PM (19 years, 9 months ago)

Nobody knows who Kerry is yet.

Extras:

Top

Vvellum
Stranger

Registered: 05/24/04
Posts: 10,920

Re: Mr. Kerry leads incumbent Republican President G.W. Bush

[Re: Redo]
#2803698 - 06/17/04 09:17 PM (19 years, 9 months ago)

...then it is quite telling that Bush is behind in the polls to a mere "nobody."

Extras:

Top

Jump to top

Pages: 1

Shop: Red Vein Kratom

General Interest > Political Discussion

Similar Threads	Poster	Views	Replies	Last post
article - Republican Presidents And War Crimes - Nothing New	grib	1,122	4	05/20/04 05:50 PM by silversoul7
bill clinton: the best republican president we've ever had? ( 1 2 all )	entiformatie	2,638	31	07/01/03 08:50 PM by luvdemshrooms
Global Poll shows Kerry leads 5-1 over Bush ( 1 2 all )	Swami	3,348	39	10/07/04 11:57 AM by CJay
The War Record of Good Ole John "WarHero" Kerry ( 1 2 3 all )	TheOneYouKnow	5,342	48	04/29/04 04:26 PM by Learyfan
Kerry Favored Over Bush 47%-43% In Multi-Candidate Race	fft2	1,065	11	08/19/04 08:03 PM by Ed1
An Honest Debate Between Bush and Kerry ( 1 2 all )	Ancalagon	2,049	20	09/29/04 09:20 PM by Skikid16
Any other Republicans here? ( 1 2 3 4 all )	Bush2004	3,515	61	07/01/04 04:33 PM by psikooz
republicans support john kerry??	KingOftheThing	1,113	6	07/31/04 11:57 PM by JesusChrist

Extra information

You cannot start new topics / You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled / BBCode is enabled
Moderator: Enlil, ballsalsa
536 topic views. 0 members, 5 guests and 4 web crawlers are browsing this forum.
[ Show Images Only | Sort by Score | Print Topic ]