Home | Community | Message Board


This site includes paid links. Please support our sponsors.


Welcome to the Shroomery Message Board! You are experiencing a small sample of what the site has to offer. Please login or register to post messages and view our exclusive members-only content. You'll gain access to additional forums, file attachments, board customizations, encrypted private messages, and much more!

Shop: Kraken Kratom Kratom Capsules for Sale, Red Vein Kratom   PhytoExtractum Maeng Da Thai Kratom Leaf Powder

Jump to first unread post Pages: 1
Invisibleivi
 User Gallery

Registered: 01/30/03
Posts: 9,089
CIA predicts break-up of Russia within 10 years
    #2625775 - 05/01/04 11:54 AM (19 years, 10 months ago)

CIA angers Russia by predicting break-up of state within 10 years



By Andrew Osborn in Moscow
30 April 2004


Russia's political elite has been stung by a recently declassified CIA report that suggests the world's largest country could fall apart at the seams in a decade and split into as many as eight different states.

The report, Global Trends 2015, has sparked a lively debate in Russia about the country's territorial integrity and triggered passionate denunciations from some of Russia's leading politicians. Its unflinchingly bleak assessment of Russia's prospects has angered many at a time when the Russian government is doing its best to talk up the economy.

The fact that the gloomy prognosis comes from its old Cold War enemy makes it all the harder for Russia to swallow. But many ordinary Russians seem to share the CIA's pessimism.

An opinion poll conducted by radio station Ekho Moskvy earlier this week revealed that 71 per cent of those surveyed (3,380 people) thought that the disintegration of the motherland was a "real threat".

Yesterday's Komsomolskaya Pravda newspaper printed a map for its readers showing how Russia might look by 2015 if the CIA is right. It showed Siberia broken up into four different countries, with western Russia similarly partitioned.

It is not for nothing that president Vladimir Putin's party is called United Russia. According to the CIA, some of Russia's eastern regions are so rich in natural resources such as oil and gas that they will opt to break away from Moscow, which they have long accused of poor governance.

Komsomolskaya Pravda was dismissive of the report. "Either the CIA has super perspicacious analysts who can see what mortal Russians, including politicians and political scientists, cannot, or someone has got it wrong," it said.

Boris Gryzlov, the speaker of the Russian parliament, said: "I completely reject the possibility of Russia breaking up.

"Over the past four years, a lot has been done to strengthen vertical power and legislation in the constituent parts of the Russian Federation was brought into line with the constitution a long time ago."

According to the CIA report, a falling birth rate meant that the country's population was likely to decline to 130 million by 2015 from 146 million today. It also painted a picture of Russia as a terminally ill patient.

"The Soviet economic inheritance will continue to plague Russia," the report said. "Besides a crumbling physical infrastructure, years of environmental neglect are taking a toll on the population, a toll made worse by such societal costs of transition as alcoholism, cardiac diseases, drugs and a worsening health delivery system. Russia's population is not only getting smaller, but it is becoming less and less healthy and less able to serve as an engine of economic recover."

Dmitry Orlov, the director of Russia's political and economic communications agency, claimed the CIA had an ulterior motive. "The conservative wing of the American Republican party is interested in the maximum weakening of Russia's position and maybe even in its fragmentation," Mr Orlov told the Izvestia newspaper




CIA Report of Global Trends


--------------------

Extras: Filter Print Post Top
Offlinezeronio
Stranger
Male

Registered: 10/16/01
Posts: 2,349
Loc: Slovenia
Last seen: 7 years, 6 months
Re: CIA predicts break-up of Russia within 10 years [Re: ivi]
    #2625904 - 05/01/04 12:30 PM (19 years, 10 months ago)

I remember when CIA predicted the break-up of Yugoslavia.
We thought that they're either mad or stupid. After all, the nations of Yugoslavia lived in "eternal brotherhood" at that time.

But unfortunately they were right.

Extras: Filter Print Post Top
Invisibledownforpot
Stranger
Male
Registered: 06/25/01
Posts: 5,715
Re: CIA predicts break-up of Russia within 10 years [Re: ivi]
    #2627542 - 05/02/04 10:10 AM (19 years, 10 months ago)

Russia needs to be broken up, the government doesn't know what the fuck its doing. I just want the area around Moscow to still be Russia since I was born in Moscow. Those fuckers better not rename that region where moscow is.


--------------------



http://www.myspace.com/4th25


"And I don't care if he was handcuffed
Then shot in his head
All I know is dead bodies
Can't fuck with me again"

Extras: Filter Print Post Top
Invisibleivi
 User Gallery

Registered: 01/30/03
Posts: 9,089
Re: CIA predicts break-up of Russia within 10 years [Re: ivi]
    #19940065 - 05/04/14 12:47 PM (9 years, 10 months ago)



--------------------

Extras: Filter Print Post Top
InvisibleStonehenge
Alt Center
Male User Gallery

Registered: 06/20/04
Posts: 14,850
Loc: S.E.
Re: CIA predicts break-up of Russia within 10 years [Re: ivi]
    #19940478 - 05/04/14 02:12 PM (9 years, 10 months ago)

The soviet union was cobbled together by force. It fell apart because there was no real reason for it to be together except to create an empire for the soviets. There are many different ethnic groups in russia, in most areas they are minorities but in other areas they are in the majority. Those areas with majority ethnic populations will likely break away.

USA could break up too, it almost did in the 1800's. But we are by and large one ethnic group and the other ethnicities are spread out, not concentrated in one spot. The thing that might force another breakup is overreaching federal control. They had to scramble to demonize bundy to contain the unrest before it spread.


--------------------
“A democracy cannot exist as a permanent form of government. It can only exist until the voters discover that they can vote themselves largesse from the public treasury. From that moment on, the majority always votes for the candidates promising the most benefits from the public treasury with the result that a democracy always collapses over loose fiscal policy, always followed by a dictatorship.” (attributed to Alexis de Tocqueville political philosopher Circa 1835)

Trade list http://www.shroomery.org/forums/showflat.php/Number/18047755

Extras: Filter Print Post Top
OfflineEllis Dee
Archangel
Male User Gallery


Registered: 06/29/01
Posts: 13,104
Loc: Fire in the sky
Last seen: 5 years, 14 days
Re: CIA predicts break-up of Russia within 10 years [Re: ivi]
    #20117868 - 06/12/14 03:41 AM (9 years, 9 months ago)

This is kind of silly. It like pointing out that Texas would be more prosperous and generally better off as its own country. Of course its true but the central government will not allow secession. Not many countries allow regions to seceed. Traditionally thats how a lot of civil wars (including the American civil war) start.


--------------------
"If the foundations be destroyed, what can the righteous do."-King Solomon

And there was war in heaven: Michael and his angels fought against the dragon; and the dragon fought and his angels,

Extras: Filter Print Post Top
Jump to top Pages: 1

Shop: Kraken Kratom Kratom Capsules for Sale, Red Vein Kratom   PhytoExtractum Maeng Da Thai Kratom Leaf Powder


Similar ThreadsPosterViewsRepliesLast post
* The CIA indirectly caused 9/11 DirtMcgirt 1,476 14 11/11/04 11:52 PM
by zahudulallah
* Former German Defense Minister Confirms CIA 9/11 Involvement ekomstop 900 1 09/19/04 01:23 AM
by afoaf
* Ex-CIA says sacked for not faking Iraq WMD reports
( 1 2 3 all )
LearyfanS 4,361 56 12/14/04 04:23 PM
by Imagican
* CIA chief: Iraq wasn't imminent threat LearyfanS 1,700 13 02/07/04 01:45 AM
by Xlea321
* Chechnya: Russia's War Against Muslims
( 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 all )
Zahid 16,186 154 09/05/04 12:56 PM
by Zahid
* CIA seeks probe of White House Edame 954 5 09/27/03 10:20 PM
by Zahid
* 10 Appalling Lies We Were Told About Iraq
( 1 2 all )
SquattingMarmot 2,089 37 10/01/03 01:41 PM
by Azmodeus
* 10 Reasons Bush wants to ban Moore film
( 1 2 3 4 all )
LearyfanS 8,204 60 06/02/04 11:15 AM
by Vvellum

Extra information
You cannot start new topics / You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled / BBCode is enabled
Moderator: Enlil, ballsalsa
4,482 topic views. 2 members, 9 guests and 18 web crawlers are browsing this forum.
[ Show Images Only | Sort by Score | Print Topic ]
Search this thread:

Copyright 1997-2024 Mind Media. Some rights reserved.

Generated in 0.018 seconds spending 0.004 seconds on 12 queries.