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Neither debt nor the money supply need to grow under fractional reserve banking
    #25644755 -

This is a continuation of a discussion that was started in a climate change thread:

Falcon91Wolvrn03 said:
Let's start with a system that has $60,000 of real cash - $10,000 in a bank and $50,000 with the general public.  I want to start a company so I borrow 9,000 from the bank at 10% interest.

The bank creates that $9,000 out of thin air and loans it to me.  I spend that $9,000 on the general public to help me start my business and now there is $10,000 in the bank, $59,000 with the general public, and $0 with me.

I sell my product to the general public for $20,000, and repay the bank $9,900.  Now the general public has $39,000 ($59,000 minus $20,000 for my product), I have $10,100 ($20,000 minus $9,900 bank repayment) and the bank has $10,900 ($10,000 plus $9,900 minus $9,000 which is retired).

This leaves $60,000 in the system, which is the same as what we started with.  The numbers don't really matter; you'll come out where you started.



If anyone disagrees, can you provide an example explaining why debt and/or the money supply must grow under fractional reserve banking?


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I am in a minority on the shroomery, as I frequently defend the opposing side when they have a point about something or when my side make believes something about them.  I also attack my side if I think they're wrong.  People here get very confused by that and think it means I prefer the other side.

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Re: Neither debt nor the money supply need to grow under fractional reserve banking [Re: Falcon91Wolvrn03]
    #25644803 -

In other words, the general public (which includes you) lost 900$ to the bank in the exchange. What prevents the money supply from concentrating in the hands of the money lenders?


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Re: Neither debt nor the money supply need to grow under fractional reserve banking [Re: shivas.wisdom]
    #25644837 -

It doesn't require it, however in practice it so far has. As mentioned in that thread the majority of the monry in circulation, thst is to say physical cash, not simply monry that is on the books, was printed and lent to the nation with interest. So you're right, but if it's not practiced that way in the real world does it matter?

I hope no one minds if I repeat this here, I think it could generate an interesting discussion as well, although I think you have been the only one to comment on it so far.

Quote:
Now here's an interesting thought, a very powerful tool to sort this problem out (or cause our swift destruction). The US does have the power to mint currency adding to the money supply without the creation of interest. Currently the mint introduces so little it has no real influence, but they could theoretically mint a coin worth any value they wish and deposit it directly into the public treasury.

It could be used to pay off the national debt, it could be distributed in the form of a stimulus to every american citizen, or even global citizens technically, effectively wiping out all debts public and private and closing the wealth gap completely if we so wish. There's all kinds of obvious flaws and pitfalls to over come if one were to wave such a massive wand but it's an interesting rabbit hole to explore.



And yes as you said it would very much so lead to hyper inflation, but as I then followed up that's exactly the point, that is the very mechanism by which it works.

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Re: Neither debt nor the money supply need to grow under fractional reserve banking [Re: shivas.wisdom]
    #25644843 -

If credit growth comes to a halt, I assume money supply would decline as repaying debt starts destroying it. Also if debt defaults starts destroying once good assets, that destroys money.

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Re: Neither debt nor the money supply need to grow under fractional reserve banking [Re: qman] * 1
    #25644878 -

So without continual credit growth, decline in money supply will eventually result in economic system collapse?


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Re: Neither debt nor the money supply need to grow under fractional reserve banking [Re: shivas.wisdom] * 1
    #25645067 -

shivas.wisdom said:
In other words, the general public (which includes you) lost 900$ to the bank in the exchange.



In other words, I paid the bank $900 to make $10,900.

shivas.wisdom said:
What prevents the money supply from concentrating in the hands of the money lenders?



What prevents the money supply from concentrating in the hands of anyone, including the entrepreneur?

The first thing is simply the fact that bankers, entrepreneurs, and the general public all want to buy things, whether it be nice houses, boats, cars, vacations, etc.

The second thing depends on whether we're talking about gold backed currency, or fiat currency.  If it is gold backed currency, it would make sense to hoard it, as that would artificially increase its value and makes the hoarder richer.  But with fiat currency, there is no incentive to hoard because money loses its value over time due to inflation.


--------------------
I am in a minority on the shroomery, as I frequently defend the opposing side when they have a point about something or when my side make believes something about them.  I also attack my side if I think they're wrong.  People here get very confused by that and think it means I prefer the other side.

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Re: Neither debt nor the money supply need to grow under fractional reserve banking [Re: Falcon91Wolvrn03]
    #25645103 -

krypto2000 said:
...the majority of the monry in circulation, thst is to say physical cash, not simply monry that is on the books, was printed and lent to the nation with interest. So you're right, but if it's not practiced that way in the real world does it matter?



It doesn't matter.  Then you have more money in circulation that was printed out of thin air.  But if you repay the loans, that money goes away.

The point is that there is no requirement for debt or the money supply to continuously grow forever.

krypto2000 said:
I hope no one minds if I repeat this here, I think it could generate an interesting discussion as well, although I think you have been the only one to comment on it so far.

Quote:
Now here's an interesting thought, a very powerful tool to sort this problem out (or cause our swift destruction). The US does have the power to mint currency adding to the money supply without the creation of interest. Currently the mint introduces so little it has no real influence, but they could theoretically mint a coin worth any value they wish and deposit it directly into the public treasury.

It could be used to pay off the national debt, it could be distributed in the form of a stimulus to every american citizen, or even global citizens technically, effectively wiping out all debts public and private and closing the wealth gap completely if we so wish. There's all kinds of obvious flaws and pitfalls to over come if one were to wave such a massive wand but it's an interesting rabbit hole to explore.



And yes as you said it would very much so lead to hyper inflation, but as I then followed up that's exactly the point, that is the very mechanism by which it works.



Hyperinflation didn't work before, and it won't work the next time.  You can read more about why here.


--------------------
I am in a minority on the shroomery, as I frequently defend the opposing side when they have a point about something or when my side make believes something about them.  I also attack my side if I think they're wrong.  People here get very confused by that and think it means I prefer the other side.

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Re: Neither debt nor the money supply need to grow under fractional reserve banking [Re: qman]
    #25645121 -

qman said:
If credit growth comes to a halt, I assume money supply would decline as repaying debt starts destroying it.



Yes, the money supply would go down.  But the amount of wealth in the economy wouldn't - you would still have all the things that extra money purchased, and you would eliminate all your debt related liabilities.

qman said:
Also if debt defaults starts destroying once good assets, that destroys money.



That's true.  Another point supporting the topic of this thread.


--------------------
I am in a minority on the shroomery, as I frequently defend the opposing side when they have a point about something or when my side make believes something about them.  I also attack my side if I think they're wrong.  People here get very confused by that and think it means I prefer the other side.

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Re: Neither debt nor the money supply need to grow under fractional reserve banking [Re: shivas.wisdom] * 1
    #25645130 -

shivas.wisdom said:
In other words, the general public (which includes you) lost 900$ to the bank in the exchange. What prevents the money supply from concentrating in the hands of the money lenders?



Nobody lost anything. There’s the same amount of cash in the system, but the entrepreneur through his work created $11,000 of value that is added to the system. (The general public didn’t lose anything. They exchanged $20,000 in cash for $20,000 in goods. It’s probably easier to conceptualize this if the product the entrepreneur is making is a house. If you spend $20,000 to buy house worth $20,000 you didn’t lose anything)

The loan only creates money temporarily. The value created (or lost) continues to exist after the loan is repaid. It’s actually a brilliant system.

Edited by koods (11/28/18 03:03 PM)

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Re: Neither debt nor the money supply need to grow under fractional reserve banking [Re: Falcon91Wolvrn03]
    #25645133 -

That article focuses only on paying off national debt, not injecting it to the masses to also offset the effects of inflation. If you only stack one side of the coin while neglecting the other of course it won't work. This is essentially the common mans equivalent of voodoo economics/trickle down; I'll call it raining up.

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Re: Neither debt nor the money supply need to grow under fractional reserve banking [Re: krypto2000] * 2
    #25645157 -

The fact that we have a debt has nothing to do with fractional reserve banking. There are countries that don’t even require a reserve ( fractional reserve means the bank is limited to how much it can loan - it is actually a conservative policy compared to not requiring fractional reserves). There are plenty of countries that have the same system that run a surplus. The reason we have a debt is because the govt spends more than we take in. The fact that we issue more debt to cover our debt is an abuse of the system, it’s not a fundamental property of it.

It’s like blaming your bank when you have an overdraft for letting you spend more than you have.


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NotSheekle said
“if I believed she was 16 I would become unattracted to her”

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Re: Neither debt nor the money supply need to grow under fractional reserve banking [Re: koods] * 2
    #25645200 -

There seems to be a lot of confusion about fractional reserve. It is not some freewheeling method for banks to get away with loaning money they don’t have. It’s actually a regulation to make sure banks can’t loan out the entirety of their deposits. It’s a more conservative system than not having fractional reserve.

One issue with the example in the OP. The general public’s cash would be on deposit in the bank and that is what the bank would use to make the loan. The banking system falls apart if everyone is keeping their cash in their mattress.


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NotSheekle said
“if I believed she was 16 I would become unattracted to her”

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Re: Neither debt nor the money supply need to grow under fractional reserve banking [Re: Falcon91Wolvrn03]
    #25645201 -

Falcon91Wolvrn03 said:
In other words, I paid the bank $900 to make $10,900.



I assume you meant 10,100$ (20,000$ minus 9,900$ bank repayment)? While the general public now has 39,000$ (59,000$ minus 20,000$ for my product), and bank has 10,900$ (10,000$ plus 9,900$ minus 9,000$ which is retired).

At first, given a static money supply of 60,000$, I assumed the bank earning a profit of 900$ would have up come out of the general population pool; but looking closer, 39,000 + 10,100 is still 50,000. No money was lost from the general public pool, but it appears 900$ has been added to the total money supply (39,000 + 10,100 + 10,900 = 60,900).

Is this not an example of the money supply growing?



Falcon91Wolvrn03 said:
What prevents the money supply from concentrating in the hands of anyone, including the entrepreneur?

The first thing is simply the fact that bankers, entrepreneurs, and the general public all want to buy things, whether it be nice houses, boats, cars, vacations, etc.

The second thing depends on whether we're talking about gold backed currency, or fiat currency.  If it is gold backed currency, it would make sense to hoard it, as that would artificially increase its value and makes the hoarder richer.  But with fiat currency, there is no incentive to hoard because money loses its value over time due to inflation.



In regards to the first point, there is a finite cap to the amount redistributed in this way. A billionaire only needs so many houses, cars, etc.

As for the second point, we may not see money hoarded like gold these days, but it definitely isn't exactly being redistributed either. Extra funds are instead, I assume, reinvested in stocks and loans; which would only perpetuate the problem of concentration of wealth.

Isn't the idea that wealth will redistribute naturally the basis of trickle down economics?

I would assume that some sort of progressive taxation or other form of forced redistribution would be required to keep a finite money pool functioning, but we don't really see this happening to a great enough degree in any capitalist economy to offset the concentration of wealth.

Probably because wealthy elites hold an inordinate amount of sway politically.

Otherwise, wouldn't the creation of public debt allow for those at the top to continue hording wealth while ensuring that the general public still has money to spend? Like going into debt to fund social welfare programs?

Isn't this the reality of what we see happening today?

If the capitalist class is unwilling to redistribute profits, the debt/money supply must increase to keep the working class spending.


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Re: Neither debt nor the money supply need to grow under fractional reserve banking [Re: koods]
    #25645203 -

Koods is right.  :thumbup:


--------------------
I am in a minority on the shroomery, as I frequently defend the opposing side when they have a point about something or when my side make believes something about them.  I also attack my side if I think they're wrong.  People here get very confused by that and think it means I prefer the other side.

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Re: Neither debt nor the money supply need to grow under fractional reserve banking [Re: Falcon91Wolvrn03] * 2
    #25645232 -

Quote:
for the second point, we may not see money hoarded like gold these days, but it definitely isn't exactly being redistributed either. Extra funds are instead, I assume, reinvested in stocks and loans; which would only perpetuate the problem of concentration of wealth.



As per the OP example, loans are actually the exact opposite. The allow an entrepreneur who has no money (ok he probably won’t get the loan, but he doesn’t have to be rich) to capitalize a business. A loan allows someone making $40,000 a year to buy a $300,000 house. If banks didn’t make loans the only people who would have capital to build a business would be the people who were already rich.

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Re: Neither debt nor the money supply need to grow under fractional reserve banking [Re: shivas.wisdom]
    #25645256 -

shivas.wisdom said:
Falcon91Wolvrn03 said:
In other words, I paid the bank $900 to make $10,900.



I assume you meant 10,100$ (20,000$ minus 9,900$ bank repayment)?



Yes, $10,100 (sorry).

shivas.wisdom said:
While the general public now has 39,000$ (59,000$ minus 20,000$ for my product), and bank has 10,900$ (10,000$ plus 9,900$ minus 9,000$ which is retired).

At first, given a static money supply of 60,000$, I assumed the bank earning a profit of 900$ would have up come out of the general population pool; but looking closer, 39,000 + 10,100 is still 50,000. No money was lost from the general public pool, but it appears 900$ has been added to the total money supply (39,000 + 10,100 + 10,900 = 60,900).

Is this not an example of the money supply growing?



I think your math is incorrect.  $39,000 + $10,100 + 10,900 = $60,000, not $60,900.

shivas.wisdom said:
Falcon91Wolvrn03 said:
What prevents the money supply from concentrating in the hands of anyone, including the entrepreneur?

The first thing is simply the fact that bankers, entrepreneurs, and the general public all want to buy things, whether it be nice houses, boats, cars, vacations, etc.

The second thing depends on whether we're talking about gold backed currency, or fiat currency.  If it is gold backed currency, it would make sense to hoard it, as that would artificially increase its value and makes the hoarder richer.  But with fiat currency, there is no incentive to hoard because money loses its value over time due to inflation.



In regards to the first point, there is a finite cap to the amount redistributed in this way. A billionaire only needs so many houses, cars, etc.



Yes, but the same thing applies for everyone, not just bankers.

shivas.wisdom said:
As for the second point, we may not see money hoarded like gold these days, but it definitely isn't exactly being redistributed either. Extra funds are instead, I assume, reinvested in stocks and loans; which would only perpetuate the problem of concentration of wealth.



This has nothing to do with the type of banking system used; the rich will want to keep their cash regardless of the type of banking system.

shivas.wisdom said:
Isn't the idea that wealth will redistribute naturally the basis of trickle down economics?



It is, but trickle down is a failed and disproven theory.

shivas.wisdom said:
I would assume that some sort of progressive taxation or other form of forced redistribution would be required to keep a finite money pool functioning, but we don't really see this happening to a great enough degree in any capitalist economy to offset the concentration of wealth.

Probably because wealthy elites hold an inordinate amount of sway politically.



Again, this has nothing to do with the type of banking system used.

shivas.wisdom said:
Otherwise, wouldn't the creation of public debt allow for those at the top to continue hording wealth while ensuring that the general public still has money to spend? Like going into debt to fund social welfare programs?

Isn't this the reality of what we see happening today?

If the capitalist class is unwilling to redistribute profits, the debt/money supply must increase to keep the working class spending.



As koods already mentioned, we don't have to go into debt to fund social programs.  We could also just tax the rich instead (which we don't seem to want to do).


--------------------
I am in a minority on the shroomery, as I frequently defend the opposing side when they have a point about something or when my side make believes something about them.  I also attack my side if I think they're wrong.  People here get very confused by that and think it means I prefer the other side.

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Re: Neither debt nor the money supply need to grow under fractional reserve banking [Re: Falcon91Wolvrn03] * 2
    #25645273 -

Yeah, I see the math error I made now. Thanks for the explanation.


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Re: Neither debt nor the money supply need to grow under fractional reserve banking [Re: Falcon91Wolvrn03] * 2
    #25645290 -

Quote:
regards to the first point, there is a finite cap to the amount redistributed in this way. A billionaire only needs so many houses, cars, etc.

As for the second point, we may not see money hoarded like gold these days, but it definitely isn't exactly being redistributed either. Extra funds are instead, I assume, reinvested in stocks and loans; which would only perpetuate the problem of concentration of wealth.



Well that’s not a function of the banking or monetary system. Rich people don’t need to spend most of what they earn. Regular people do. $100 in the hands of a poor person has much more influence on the economy than $100 in a rich guy’s hands.

Rich people don’t hoard money. They hoard wealth.


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NotSheekle said
“if I believed she was 16 I would become unattracted to her”

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Re: Neither debt nor the money supply need to grow under fractional reserve banking [Re: Falcon91Wolvrn03]
    #25645543 -

Quote:
Let's start with a system that has $60,000 of real cash - $10,000 in a bank and $50,000 with the general public. 





Maybe under that system, you are right.  That system doesn't have 90% of the money supply issued as interest bearing debt.  The system we use in reality does.


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Either you repeat the same conventional doctrines everybody is saying, or else you say something true, and it will sound like it's from Neptune.  -Noam Chomsky

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Re: Neither debt nor the money supply need to grow under fractional reserve banking [Re: koods]
    #25645634 -

Fractional Reserve Banking is ingenious, but it does have its flaws, like anything. Notably, if depositors make a run. Low liquidity requirements make this a big issue.

Additionally, The  definition of "money" and the distinction between "debt" and "money" can vary between economists. As in, some economists don't call something "money" until after the money is created.(not just on a ledger)


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“I must not fear.
Fear is the mind-killer.
Fear is the little-death that brings total obliteration.
I will face my fear. I will permit it to pass over me and through me.
And when it has gone past I will turn the inner eye to see its path.
Where the fear has gone there will be nothing. Only I will remain.”

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