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Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets
    #9059012 -

America has long wrestled with the issue of race, certainly to a greater degree than any other country. Or at least, their wrestling is more visible.

One of the best-known results of this struggle has been the emergence over the last four decades or so of "affirmative-action" programs. "Affirmative action" is of course nothing more than a politically-correct obfuscation of the reality of these programs: they are in fact racist. They favor humans of one race (or several different races, as long as that race is not caucasian) over another. The rationale for this unequal treatment is that for a very long time indeed, black folks were treated worse than white folks, therefore now it is just and right and proper to atone for that past treatment by treating them better than white folks are treated. 

And the champion par excellence of affirmative action programs is - of course - the American Democratic Party. While there have  been some Republicans who have voted in favor of AA measures over the decades, and probably even some here and there who have introduced AA legislation (although I admit I can't think of any offhand), no one even vaguely familiar with the course of American politics over the last four decades or so would think of giving credit for the vast web of AA legislation to anyone other than the Democrats.

Democrats - like all Leftie types - are huge fans of Social Engineering. Social engineering is basically the the attempt to get humans to act in ways you want them to act, and stop acting in ways you don't want them to act, through passing laws which reward certain behaviors and punish (or prohibit entirely) certain other behaviors. Righties of course engage in this kind of legislation as well, it's just that they tend to limit their social engineering to discouraging folks from stealing and assaulting and murdering.

So why am I going through this preamble? I doubt anything I've just written comes as any surprise to the regular readers of this forum. Where am I going with this? I'll tell you - I'm about to provide yet another example (in a seemingly endless stream of them) of The Rule of Unintended Consequences.

Democrats decided affirmative action was good. But it wasn't enough to apply AA to schools and colleges and workplaces and landlords and businesses and private social clubs, no... it also had to be applied to home ownership. If more black folks (and other minorities) than white folks were renters (as opposed to homeowners), it must be due to lingering discrimination by lenders, and affirmative action must be brought to bear on the offenders.

At this point I'm going to link to a couple of people more eloquent than myself. You will note there's a video as well. My recommendation is you take the time to watch it. It is eight and a half minutes long. Right at the beginning there is Andrew Cuomo claiming the reason black folks aren't getting mortgages is because they are black, and that the Clinton administration will not allow this situation to continue - that the Clinton administration will "enforce the laws". Watching Cuomo speak, knowing what we know now - is chilling indeed. Well worth the watch.   

But even if you skip the video, don't skip the following text. It's good.

Quote:
Video: Subprime loans “affirmative action” - Andrew Cuomo

By Ed Morrissey


Another lengthy video attempts to highlight the beginnings of the subprime loan disaster, and it’s well worth watching.  Andrew Cuomo, then Bill Clinton’s HUD Secretary, held a press conference on April 6, 1998, explaining a settlement reached with a major bank on a lending discrimination case based presumably on the CRA.  Cuomo brags about how “this administration will enforce the law”, but he also makes a very telling admission about the $2.1 billion in subprime loans that the bank would offer as a result of the settlement:



Quote:
They would not have qualifed but for the affirmative action on the part of the bank, yes.



He then admits that there would be “higher risk”, and a higher default rate, on the loans the Clinton administration forced this bank to make. He also admits that the action forced this bank to lower its standards on loan qualification as a remedy to supposed discriminatory action in the past by relying on income and equity requirements. Cuomo describes everything wrong with subprime lending and reveals the government’s efforts to distort private lending markets to force “fairness” in outcomes.

The financial world did not collapse because of 15,000 loans from this one settlement, but this case did not exist in isolation.  Cuomo held this press conference as a warning to all lenders that the Clinton administration intended to enforce the CRA broadly with all lenders, and in fact he explicitly stated this.  When that didn’t free up credit as quickly as Clinton desired, he and Congress mandated Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to purchase more subprime paper — which Cuomo baldly admitted was riskier and would have a higher rate of failures — and to turn them into mortgage-backed securities, which they marketed as low-risk investments based on implicit government backing.

This did what the heavy-handed enforcement of the CRA could not: it made lenders enthusiastic about subprime lending.  Why?  They could make short-term profit on every mortgage regardless of the borrower’s ability to repay, because Fannie and Freddie would buy them anyway.  With the risk removed from lending, subprime loans became quick-buck rackets for all lenders, predatory or not.

The second half of the video relates what we already know about Barack Obama.  He sued Citibank to force more subprime lending, and his ACORN partners did the same elsewhere, initiating actions like the one Cuomo heralds here as a great breakthrough in affirmative-action lending.  Obama bears responsibility at the edges for the beginning of this disaster, and more for his inaction while in the Senate as Alan Greenspan warned them of the coming collapse.  Most of this falls on the Clinton administration and Congress in 1998-2000, who set this brush fire alight and then kept the firefighters at OFHEO at bay by calling them racists.




Exactly. I know some people in America are incensed that the Obama campaign (and even Obama himself) call anyone criticizing - or even just publicizing - Obama's actions "racist". But Obama can't help himself any more than Barney Franks or Harry Reid can. They are indoctrinated to blurt "racism!" whenever they are criticized for their idiotic policies. It's a Pavlovian reflex by now. Criticism of Franklin Raines? Racism! Criticism of Fannie Mae and Freedie Mac? Racism! Criticism of the CRA itself? Racism!

At the root of this giant financial meltdown is social engineering by the American Democratic Party. They decided that the next target against which the howitzer of Affirmative Action should be aimed was minority home ownership. And nothing was going to stop them from ramrodding their vision of racial justice down everyone's throats, lenders especially. Because to do anything else was racism.

Selah.




Phred


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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Phred]
    #9059114 -

:yesnod:

My biggest fear Phred is that Obama has a five-point lead on election day and he loses this election. The federal government will punish all Americas for not voting for the messiah and require us all to take a mandatory diversity training class....


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America's debt problem is a "sign of leadership failure"

We have "reckless fiscal policies"

America has a debt problem and a failure of leadership.

Americans deserve better

Barack Obama

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: lonestar2004]
    #9059129 -

> The federal government will punish all Americas

I don't care what they do, as long as they don't try to take away my guns... the minute they do that, I'm hunkering down with Pris and going postal on anybody that gets close enough for me to see.  (disclaimer: cynical fiction, not to be confused with an actual threat)


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Just another spore in the wind.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Seuss]
    #9059174 -

I thought you were in the Carribea? :tongue:

Interesting viddy Phred :thumbup:

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Phred]
    #9059175 -

Heh. One of my favorite commentators, the inimitable Ace, checks in on this discussion. I wish I had his way with words, I really do.

Quote:
Andrew Cuomo in 1998: Subprime Lending "Affirmative Action;" Proudly Hails Mau-Mauing Banks Into Reducing Loan Requirements as Great Advance for Nation

On the one hand you don't want to demagogue the issue.

On the other hand, the issue inherently underscores a major tension between the parties, and the races, since 1998: The Democrats' overarching drive to do certifiably insane things, like letting murderers out on weekend furloughs from prison, in response to constant agitation from minority pressure groups. And all the quite predictable consequences that flow from such policies. No one would ever suggest letting murderers out of jail for weekend rape-fests if almost all prisoners were white. There would be no reason to suggest such a lunacy. It is only when race is a factor do we begin seeing such insane policies not only proposed seriously, but enacted.

And no one would have thought it was a good idea to eviscerate all prudence from the mortgage process had we only been talking about poor whites. The answer would have been, "Um, duh, they can't afford these loans, that's why they're not getting them; what are you, insane?"

And again, once race is injected as a factor insanity becomes government policy.

Yes, the Democratic initiative did help minority homebuyers (and lots of white credit-poor homebuyers too, who wound up being the main beneficiaries of the push, simply because there are more poor whites than poor blacks in the country).

But at what cost? (Incidentally, Ed's post is Must Read All the Way Through.)

Our politics is constantly being distorted by this issue. And note that, as usual, many politicians were willing to go along quietly with a risky scheme with perfectly foreseeable consequences for fear of being called "racist" if they objected.

Well, here we are now.

We really did lots of good putting credit-poor homebuyers into homes they couldn't afford, didn't we?

And the kicker: Because this issue necessarily raises racial issues, McCain and the Republicans have been afraid to call the Democrats out on it, permitting Barack Obama -- who actually sued CitiGroup to ease its lending requirements in order to get credit-poor minorities mortgages -- to actually profit from the disaster he himself made....



More at the link.



Phred


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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Arp]
    #9059227 -

> I thought you were in the Carribea? :tongue:

I am... a bit south and east of Phred; watching Invest 97 to see where it is going next week.  However, I still have guns in storage in the US and realize that the the only thing that stands between freedom and socialist oppression is an armed population.  Just as Obama did in Chicago with guns, he will do with the entire country if he has his way.  Much easier to take over an unarmed population.  Should Obama win, watch for him trying to take away people's guns... it will be the first sign of his true purpose.  :tinfoil:


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Just another spore in the wind.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Seuss]
    #9059247 -

First sign?  Not for those with eyes to see.


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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: zappaisgod]
    #9059462 -

>  Not for those with eyes to see.

Do tell, as I would like to watch the apocalypse unfold.  (again, assuming he wins... big if)


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Just another spore in the wind.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Phred]
    #9060171 -

I will not deny that Dems have litigated and legislated to give minorities and low-income Americans easier access to home purchasing loans. but you seem to forget that the current administration continued the cause.

Dont you remember, back in Bush's first term, the American Homeownership Challenge?

The goal of the challenge was to increase minority homeownership by 5.5 million by the end of this decade. in a speech, Bush laid out his plan (bold emphasis by me):

" To open up the doors of homeownership there are some barriers, and I want to talk about four that need to be overcome. First, down payments. A lot of folks can't make a down payment. They may be qualified. They may desire to buy a home, but they don't have the money to make a down payment. I think if you were to talk to a lot of families that are desirous to have a home, they would tell you that the down payment is the hurdle that they can't cross. And one way to address that is to have the federal government participate.

And so we've called upon Congress to set up what's called the American Dream Down Payment Fund, which will provide financial grants to local governments to help first-time home buyers who qualify to make the down payment on their home. If a down payment is a problem, there's a way we can address that. And when Congress funds the program, this should help 200,000 new families over the next five years become first-time home buyers."

" And, of course, one of the larger obstacles to minority homeownership is financing, is the ability to have their dream financed. Right now, we have a program that all of you are familiar with, maybe our fellow Americans are, and that's what they call a Section 8 housing program, that provides billions of dollars in vouchers to help low-income Americans with their rent. It encourages leasing. We think it's important that we use those vouchers, that federal money to help low-income Americans go from being somebody who leases to somebody who owns; that we use the Section 8 program to not only help with down payment, but to help with continuing monthly mortgage payments after they're into their new home. It is a -- it is a way to help us meet this dream of 5.5 million additional families owning their home.

I'm also going to encourage the lending industry to develop a mortgage market so that this script, these vouchers, can regularly be used as a source of payment to provide more capital to lenders, who can then help more families move from rental housing into houses of their own."

So, Bush is telling the American public in this October 2002 speech LINK TO THE SPEECH that if low-income minorities cannot come up w/ the downpayment, or cant afford to make the monthly mortgage payment, no worries, the fed will just give some money to help.

and watch this clip of a Bush speech in May of 2002. he essentially directs Freddie and Fannie to increase its commitment to minority markets by $440 billion, in part by offering loans to poor people w/ shit credit. (he starts talking about Fred and Fannie at 4:20)

"

I do this not to blame this entirely on one administration or one party. there is enough blame to go around for the creation of this crisis: Dems, Repubs, private/corporate greed, citizens who took out loans they couldn't pay back... they all had their hand in the cookie jar at one time or another.


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If it weren't for the bloody corpses, I wouldn't have any corpses at all.

There are two ways to get to the top of an oak tree: start climbing or sit on an acorn.

Are you a carrot, an egg, or a coffee bean?

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Phred]
    #9060207 -

I blame the current market turmoil on the Greys.


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“The crisis takes a much longer time coming than you think, and then it happens much faster than you would have thought.”  -- Rudiger Dornbusch

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: zorbman]
    #9060217 -

> I blame the current market turmoil on the Greys.

Racist?  :grin:


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Just another spore in the wind.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: MrBump]
    #9060218 -

spot on. :thumbup:


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"Experiments are the only means of attaining knowledge at our disposal. The rest is just poetry, imagination." ~Max Planck

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: MrBump]
    #9060264 -

A speech is one thing. Writing the legislation is another.

Did any of this proposed program make it through Congress? Because I sure as shit don't remember hearing about any bills like this one actually being signed into law. You got any links to the current status of the "American Dream Down Payment Fund," for example? Any numbers on how much money has passed through it?

Same with Section 8 housing programs. Bush says it would be a good idea to switch some of those funds over from rent payments to mortgage payments. Can you provide a link to any credible source showing that this was ever actually done? Because I sure as hell missed that development, and believe me it would have been BIG news if it ever actually happened.



Phred


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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Phred]
    #9062620 -

From HUD's website

The American Dream Downpayment Initiative (ADDI) was signed into law on December 16, 2003. The American Dream Downpayment Assistance Act authorizes up to $200 million annually for fiscal years 2004 - 2007. ADDI will provide funds to all fifty states and to local participating jurisdictions that have a population of at least 150,000 or will receive an allocation of at least $50,000 under the ADDI formula. ADDI will be administered as a part of the HOME Investment Partnerships Program, a formula grant program.




Bush had plenty of opportunity to control or at least slow the inflation of the housing bubble.  From what I can tell he didn't really pass any legislation during his eight years would stop it.  If fact during his campaign in 2004 he used increased home ownership during his years as a president as one of his talking points.  Don't you think it is a little disingenuous to try and blame this one all on the democrats?

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: MrBump]
    #9062803 -

No man, you don't understand. Every single problem ever can be traced back to the democrats, and only the democrats.

Phred's taught me a lot.


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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: DeepDish]
    #9062964 -

Quote:
From HUD's website

The American Dream Downpayment Initiative (ADDI) was signed into law on December 16, 2003. The American Dream Downpayment Assistance Act authorizes up to $200 million annually for fiscal years 2004 - 2007. ADDI will provide funds to all fifty states and to local participating jurisdictions that have a population of at least 150,000 or will receive an allocation of at least $50,000 under the ADDI formula. ADDI will be administered as a part of the HOME Investment Partnerships Program, a formula grant program.



Thank you. Got a link for that?

This program is not part of the eventual problem, but instead a partial amelioration of the eventual problem. The biggest problem was with mortgages handed out with no down payments at all. Clearly a lender who got a downpayment in addition to the collateral of the property itself is in better shape (not perfect shape, but better shape) than a lender who got no down payment at all. To the lender, it doesn't matter whether the borrower's grandmother coughed up the nut for the down payment or Uncle Sam.

We can of course argue whether or not taxpayer dollars should be used for this purpose, but that is a different argument. Those down payments did nothing to either create the crisis or to exacerbate it. On the contrary, they eased it, albeit to a slight extent indeed.

Quote:
From what I can tell he didn't really pass any legislation during his eight years would stop it.



The president cannot write legislation, or even introduce it. All he can do is urge Congress to do so. Bush did this at least twice that I know of - April 2001 and sometime in 2003. I can't be bothered looking up the links again - I know they've been posted here several times.

Quote:
Don't you think it is a little disingenuous to try and blame this one all on the democrats?



Not in the slightest. The impetus for subprime mortgages was all driven by the Democrats. Calls for the reigning in of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were decried by Democrats as "racist" and resisted strongly. Several threads here have the same YouTube video posted with excerpts from these hearings, showing Maxine Waters and Barney Frank and Chris (?) Meeks and other black Democrats defending FM and FM to the hilt and playing the race card on Repubs calling for stricter oversight of FM and FM.

It was an idea born of the Dems, nurtured by the Dems, and defended by the Dems. The only thing Repubs can be blamed for is knuckling under for fear of being called racist.





Phred


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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Phred]
    #9062998 -

---

Edited by EntheogenicPeace (03/14/21 07:43 PM)

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: EntheogenicPeace]
    #9063180 -

Jesus Christ. This shit has been debunked so many fucking times. Leave it to you guys to jump on every racist lie that makes its rounds around the Internet. The CRA had nothing to do with the crisis. The most that could be said is that it may have slightly contributed to the housing bubble, but only in an incidental way. The CRA didn't apply to the financial institutions which made the riskiest loans nor did it force banks to lend to people they shouldn't have(it only required that banks not redline- ie, they offer credit to people based on their credit score, income, etc. and not whether or not they live in a black or white neighborhood).  The CRA didn't allow unregulated financial institutions to package up shit debt and sell it as secure investments, it didn't  allow banks to get so deep in debt that they all had to either be nationalized or go bankrupt, and it didn't allow the kind of rampant and irresponsible lending that took place mainly outside of the purview of the CRA. But of course it's all those black people which got us in this mess, what with being so irresponsible with having babies all over town and buying an Escalade before paying their mortgage, am I rite? It certainly couldn't be the result of the idiotic belief that the free, unregulated and opaque market solves all problems and that investors and companies would never take advantage of an almost total lack of oversight and transparency. If you're looking to scapegoat someone instead of admitting that right-wing fiscal policy especially that of Phil Gramm, McCain's "financial guru", is to blame, I think you'd have a better chance blaming the Jewish bankers.

Here's an article that pretty much sums up why this scapegoating is total bullshit:

Quote:
We've now entered a new stage of the financial crisis: the ritual assigning of blame. It began in earnest with Monday's congressional roasting of Lehman Bros. CEO Richard Fuld and continued on Tuesday with Capitol Hill solons delving into the failure of AIG. On the Republican side of Congress, in the right-wing financial media (which is to say the financial media), and in certain parts of the op-ed-o-sphere, there's a consensus emerging that the whole mess should be laid at the feet of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the failed mortgage giants, and the Community Reinvestment Act, a law passed during the Carter administration. The CRA, which was amended in the 1990s and this decade, requires banks—which had a long, distinguished history of not making loans to minorities—to make more efforts to do so.

The thesis is laid out almost daily on the Wall Street Journal editorial page, in the National Review, and on the campaign trail. John McCain said yesterday, "Bad mortgages were being backed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and it was only a matter of time before a contagion of unsustainable debt began to spread." Washington Post columnist Charles Krauthammer provides an excellent example, writing that "much of this crisis was brought upon us by the good intentions of good people." He continues: "For decades, starting with Jimmy Carter's Community Reinvestment Act of 1977, there has been bipartisan agreement to use government power to expand homeownership to people who had been shut out for economic reasons or, sometimes, because of racial and ethnic discrimination. What could be a more worthy cause? But it led to tremendous pressure on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac—which in turn pressured banks and other lenders—to extend mortgages to people who were borrowing over their heads. That's called subprime lending. It lies at the root of our current calamity." The subtext: If only Congress didn't force banks to lend money to poor minorities, the Dow would be well on its way to 36,000. Or, as Fox Business Channel's Neil Cavuto put it, "I don't remember a clarion call that said: Fannie and Freddie are a disaster. Loaning to minorities and risky folks is a disaster."

Let me get this straight. Investment banks and insurance companies run by centimillionaires blow up, and it's the fault of Jimmy Carter, Bill Clinton, and poor minorities?

These arguments are generally made by people who read the editorial page of the Wall Street Journal and ignore the rest of the paper—economic know-nothings whose opinions are informed mostly by ideology and, occasionally, by prejudice. Let's be honest. Fannie and Freddie, which didn't make subprime loans but did buy subprime loans made by others, were part of the problem. Poor Congressional oversight was part of the problem. Banks that sought to meet CRA requirements by indiscriminately doling out loans to minorities may have been part of the problem. But none of these issues is the cause of the problem. Not by a long shot. From the beginning, subprime has been a symptom, not a cause. And the notion that the Community Reinvestment Act is somehow responsible for poor lending decisions is absurd.

Here's why.

The Community Reinvestment Act applies to depository banks. But many of the institutions that spurred the massive growth of the subprime market weren't regulated banks. They were outfits such as Argent and American Home Mortgage, which were generally not regulated by the Federal Reserve or other entities that monitored compliance with CRA. These institutions worked hand in glove with Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers, entities to which the CRA likewise didn't apply. There's much more. As Barry Ritholtz notes in this fine rant, the CRA didn't force mortgage companies to offer loans for no money down, or to throw underwriting standards out the window, or to encourage mortgage brokers to aggressively seek out new markets. Nor did the CRA force the credit-rating agencies to slap high-grade ratings on packages of subprime debt.

Second, many of the biggest flameouts in real estate have had nothing to do with subprime lending. WCI Communities, builder of highly amenitized condos in Florida (no subprime purchasers welcome there), filed for bankruptcy in August. Very few of the tens of thousands of now-surplus condominiums in Miami were conceived to be marketed to subprime borrowers, or minorities—unless you count rich Venezuelans and Colombians as minorities. The multiyear plague that has been documented in brilliant detail at IrvineHousingBlog is playing out in one of the least-subprime housing markets in the nation.

Third, lending money to poor people and minorities isn't inherently risky. There's plenty of evidence that in fact it's not that risky at all. That's what we've learned from several decades of microlending programs, at home and abroad, with their very high repayment rates. And as the New York Times recently reported, Nehemiah Homes, a long-running initiative to build homes and sell them to the working poor in subprime areas of New York's outer boroughs, has a repayment rate that lenders in Greenwich, Conn., would envy. In 27 years, there have been fewer than 10 defaults on the project's 3,900 homes. That's a rate of 0.25 percent.

On the other hand, lending money recklessly to obscenely rich white guys, such as Richard Fuld of Lehman Bros. or Jimmy Cayne of Bear Stearns, can be really risky. In fact, it's even more risky, since they have a lot more borrowing capacity. And here, again, it's difficult to imagine how Jimmy Carter could be responsible for the supremely poor decision-making seen in the financial system. I await the Krauthammer column in which he points out the specific provision of the Community Reinvestment Act that forced Bear Stearns to run with an absurd leverage ratio of 33 to 1, which instructed Bear Stearns hedge-fund managers to blow up hundreds of millions of their clients' money, and that required its septuagenarian CEO to play bridge while his company ran into trouble. Perhaps Neil Cavuto knows which CRA clause required Lehman Bros. to borrow hundreds of billions of dollars in short-term debt in the capital markets and then buy tens of billions of dollars of commercial real estate at the top of the market. I can't find it. Did AIG plunge into the credit-default-swaps business with abandon because Association of Community Organizations for Reform Now members picketed its offices? Please. How about the hundreds of billions of dollars of leveraged loans—loans banks committed to private-equity firms that wanted to conduct leveraged buyouts of retailers, restaurant companies, and industrial firms? Many of those are going bad now, too. Is that Bill Clinton's fault?

Look: There was a culture of stupid, reckless lending, of which Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and the subprime lenders were an integral part. But the dumb-lending virus originated in Greenwich, Conn., midtown Manhattan, and Southern California, not Eastchester, Brownsville, and Washington, D.C. Investment banks created a demand for subprime loans because they saw it as a new asset class that they could dominate. They made subprime loans for the same reason they made other loans: They could get paid for making the loans, for turning them into securities, and for trading them—frequently using borrowed capital.

At Monday's hearing, Rep. John Mica, R-Fla., gamely tried to pin Lehman's demise on Fannie and Freddie. After comparing Lehman's small political contributions with Fannie and Freddie's much larger ones, Mica asked Fuld what role Fannie and Freddie's failure played in Lehman's demise. Fuld's response: "De minimis."

Lending money to poor people doesn't make you poor. Lending money poorly to rich people does.



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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Yossarian22]
    #9063238 -

Daniel Gross is an ignorant buffoon, as the article of his you so helpfully provided proves. I urge the entire audience to read this nonsense so they can see a textbook example of a Libbie living a completely fact-free existence trying to spin a separate reality out of thin air.

Once again, you are late to the party. There are several threads here offering irrefutable proof that banks were bullied into giving out risky loans in order to satisfy CRA requirements, by both government bureaucrats and law firms representing "disenfranchised" borrowers. More articles still showing how Fanny May and Freddie Mac were directed to buy up these crap loans so banks wouldn't be so balky at issuing them.

Did there come a time when some lenders finally abandoned all caution and stopped resisting? Of course. That's not the point. The point is that the banks should never have been maneuvered into that position in the first place. And the only reason they were is because of Affirmative Action.

You can stick your fingers in your ears and squinch your eyes shut all you want, but the fact of the matter is that lenders didn't just all decide one day that all the ironclad rules of sane mortgage lending that had worked well for centuries should be disregarded. The government stepped in and changed the rules of the game. Deny it till you're blue in the face, it makes no nevermind.





Phred


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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Phred]
    #9063362 -

The CRA is discussed in this article.


How Government Stoked the Mania
Housing prices would never have risen so high without multiple Washington mistakes.
By RUSSELL ROBERTS

Many believe that wild greed and market failure led us into this sorry mess. According to that narrative, investors in search of higher yields bought novel securities that bundled loans made to high-risk borrowers. Banks issued these loans because they could sell them to hungry investors. It was a giant Ponzi scheme that only worked as long as housing prices were on the rise. But housing prices were the result of a speculative mania. Once the bubble burst, too many borrowers had negative equity, and the system collapsed.

Part of this story is true. The fall in housing prices did lead to a sudden increase in defaults that reduced the value of mortgage-backed securities. What's missing is the role politicians and policy makers played in creating artificially high housing prices, and artificially reducing the danger of extremely risky assets.

Beginning in 1992, Congress pushed Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to increase their purchases of mortgages going to low and moderate income borrowers. For 1996, the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) gave Fannie and Freddie an explicit target -- 42% of their mortgage financing had to go to borrowers with income below the median in their area. The target increased to 50% in 2000 and 52% in 2005.

For 1996, HUD required that 12% of all mortgage purchases by Fannie and Freddie be "special affordable" loans, typically to borrowers with income less than 60% of their area's median income. That number was increased to 20% in 2000 and 22% in 2005. The 2008 goal was to be 28%. Between 2000 and 2005, Fannie and Freddie met those goals every year, funding hundreds of billions of dollars worth of loans, many of them subprime and adjustable-rate loans, and made to borrowers who bought houses with less than 10% down.

Fannie and Freddie also purchased hundreds of billions of subprime securities for their own portfolios to make money and to help satisfy HUD affordable housing goals. Fannie and Freddie were important contributors to the demand for subprime securities.

Congress designed Fannie and Freddie to serve both their investors and the political class. Demanding that Fannie and Freddie do more to increase home ownership among poor people allowed Congress and the White House to subsidize low-income housing outside of the budget, at least in the short run. It was a political free lunch.

The Community Reinvestment Act (CRA) did the same thing with traditional banks. It encouraged banks to serve two masters -- their bottom line and the so-called common good. First passed in 1977, the CRA was "strengthened" in 1995, causing an increase of 80% in the number of bank loans going to low- and moderate-income families.

Fannie and Freddie were part of the CRA story, too. In 1997, Bear Stearns did the first securitization of CRA loans, a $384 million offering guaranteed by Freddie Mac. Over the next 10 months, Bear Stearns issued $1.9 billion of CRA mortgages backed by Fannie or Freddie. Between 2000 and 2002 Fannie Mae securitized $394 billion in CRA loans with $20 billion going to securitized mortgages.

By pressuring banks to serve poor borrowers and poor regions of the country, politicians could push for increases in home ownership and urban development without having to commit budgetary dollars. Another political free lunch.

Fannie and Freddie and the banks opposed these policy changes at first through both lobbying and intransigence. But when they found out that following these policies could be profitable -- which they were as long as rising housing prices kept default rates unusually low -- their complaints disappeared. Maybe they could serve two masters. They turned out to be wrong. And when Fannie and Freddie went into conservatorship, politicians found out that budgetary dollars were on the line after all.

While Fannie and Freddie and the CRA were pushing up the demand for relatively low-priced property, the Taxpayer Relief Act of 1997 increased the demand for higher valued property by expanding the availability and size of the capital-gains exclusion to $500,000 from $125,000. It also made it easier to exclude capital gains from rental property, further pushing up the demand for housing.

The Fed did its part, too. In 2003, the federal-funds rate hit 40-year lows of 1.25%. That pushed the rates on adjustable loans to historic lows as well, helping to fuel the housing boom.

The Taxpayer Relief Act of 1997 and low interest rates -- along with the regulatory push for more low-income homeowners -- dramatically increased the demand for housing. Between 1997 and 2005, the average price of a house in the U.S. more than doubled. It wasn't simply a speculative bubble. Much of the rise in housing prices was the result of public policies that increased the demand for housing. Without the surge in housing prices, the subprime market would have never taken off.

Fannie and Freddie played a significant role in the explosion of subprime mortgages and subprime mortgage-backed securities. Without Fannie and Freddie's implicit guarantee of government support (which turned out to be all too real), would the mortgage-backed securities market and the subprime part of it have expanded the way they did?

Perhaps. But before we conclude that markets failed, we need a careful analysis of public policy's role in creating this mess. Greedy investors obviously played a part, but investors have always been greedy, and some inevitably overreach and destroy themselves. Why did they take so many down with them this time?

Part of the answer is a political class greedy to push home-ownership rates to historic highs -- from 64% in 1994 to 69% in 2004. This was mostly the result of loans to low-income, higher-risk borrowers. Both Bill Clinton and George W. Bush, abetted by Congress, trumpeted that rise as it occurred. The consequence? On top of putting the entire financial system at risk, the hidden cost has been hundreds of billions of dollars funneled into the housing market instead of more productive assets.

Beware of trying to do good with other people's money. Unfortunately, that strategy remains at the heart of the political process, and of proposed solutions to this crisis.

Mr. Roberts is a professor of economics at George Mason University and a scholar at the Mercatus Center. His latest book is a novel on how markets work, "The Price of Everything: A Parable of Possibility and Prosperity" (Princeton University Press, 2008).

Please add your comments to the Opinion Journal forum.

http://wsj.com/article/SB122298982558700341.html

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: wildchild68]
    #9063366 -

wildchild68 said:
No man, you don't understand. Every single problem ever can be traced back to the democrats, and only the democrats.

Phred's taught me a lot.



Dominic Lawson: Democrat fingerprints are all over the financial crisis

The least well off are going to face the most stringent terms for mortgages

Friday, 3 October 2008


Of all the characteristics of a successful politician, none is more essential than bare-faced cheek. Never has this been more evident than in the past fortnight, as senior Democrat members of the US legislature have sought to lay all the blame for the country's financial crisis on the executive arm of Government and Wall Street.


Neither of these two institutions is blameless – far from it. Yet when I see such senior Democrats as Barney Frank, Chairman of the House Financial Services Committee, and Christopher Dodd, Chairman of the Senate's Banking Committee, play the part of avenging angels – well, I can only stand in silent awe at the sheer tight-bottomed nerve of it. These are men with sphincters of steel.

What is the proximate cause of the collapse of confidence in the world's banks? Millions of improvident loans to American housebuyers. Which organisations were on their own responsible for guaranteeing half of this $12 trillion market? Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, the so-called Government Sponsored Enterprises which last month were formally nationalised to prevent their immediate and catastrophic collapse. Now, who do you think were among the leading figures blocking all the earlier attempts by President Bush – and other Republicans – to bring these lending behemoths under greater regulatory control? Step forward, Barney Frank and Chris Dodd.

In September 2003 the Bush administration launched a measure to bring Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac under stricter regulatory control, after a report by outside investigators established that they were not adequately hedging against risks and that Fannie Mae in particular had scandalously mis-stated its accounts. In 2006, it was revealed that Fannie Mae had overstated its earnings – to which its senior executives' bonuses were linked – by a stunning $9.3billion. Between 1998 and 2003, Fannie Mae's executive chairman, Franklin Raines, picked up over $90m in bonuses and stock options.

Yet Barney Frank and his chums blocked all Bush's attempts to put a rein on Raines. During the House Financial Services Committee hearing following Bush's initiative, Frank declared: "The more people exaggerate a threat of safety and soundness [at Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae], the more people conjure up the possibility of serious financial losses to the Treasury which I do not see. I think we see entities that are fundamentally sound financially." His colleague on the committee, the California Democrat Maxine Walters, said: "There were nearly a dozen hearings where we were trying to fix something that wasn't broke. Mr Chairman, we do not have a crisis at Freddie Mac and particularly at Fannie Mae under the outstanding leadership of Mr Franklin Raines."

When Mr Raines himself was challenged by the Republican Christopher Shays, to the effect that his ratio of capital to assets (that is, mortgages) of 3 per cent was dangerously low, the Fannie Mae boss retorted that "our assets are so riskless, we could have a capital ratio of under 2 per cent".

Maxine Walters' complaint about previous attempts to bring the great state-sponsored housing finance bodies under stricter control was partly a reference to Bill Clinton's efforts. Last week the former President acknowledged that "responsibility" for the absence of proper regulation rested "with Democrats who were resisting any efforts of Republicans in Congress, and earlier when I was President and tried to impose tighter standards on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac". Then, as now, members of his own party saw all such initiatives as unwonted attacks on the chances for low-earners, and particularly African-Americans, to own their own homes.

From its inception in 1938 Fannie Mae (and later Freddie Mac) was designed to make housing finance available to "ordinary Americans". This was a noble aim. In the 1970s another Democrat President, Jimmy Carter, introduced legislation which demanded that such bodies enhance their lending to minorities. Again, this was based on a noble idea: to stamp out racism in the mortgage market. Thus by 1998 you had the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston producing a document entitled "Closing the Gap: a Guide to Equal Opportunities Lending", which instructed banks that an applicant's "lack of credit history should not be seen as a negative factor" in obtaining a mortgage. As Stephen Malanga of the Manhatta *Institute notes: "Of course the new federal standards couldn't just apply to minorities. If they could pay back loans under these terms, then so could the majority of loan applicants. Quickly, these became the new standards in the industry. As the housing market boomed, banks embraced these new standards with a vengeance. Between 2004 and 2007, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac became the biggest purchasers of subprime mortgages from all kinds of applicants, white and minority, and most of these loans were based on lending standards promoted by the Government."

One of the few journalists to see where this would lead was Jeff Jacoby, of the Boston Globe. Last week he reminded his readers what he had written in 1995: "Our banks are knowingly approving risky loans to get the feds and the activists off their backs... When the coming wave of foreclosures rolls through the inner city, which of today's self-congratulating bankers, politicians and regulators plans to take the credit?". Jacoby adds now: "Barney Frank doesn't. But his fingerprints are all over this fiasco."

It's true that the improvident lending was not initiated by Fannie and Freddie: their role in this was to buy these loans and sell them on – but then the music stopped. Cynical students of the American political system will note that the biggest recipient of campaign contributions from the munificent duo of Fannie and Freddie over the past 20 years was one Christopher Dodd, Democrat Chairman of the Senate's Banking Committee.

Rather surprisingly, given that he has only been in the Senate for four of those years, the second biggest beneficiary was Barack Obama. In August the Washington Post reported that Obama's presidential campaign team had sought the advice of Franklin Raines "on mortgage and housing policy matters". Perhaps Mr Obama's team just wanted to know where all the bodies are buried – there are rather a lot of them.

The saddest outcome of all this within America – apart from the crippling cost to the nation's taxpayers – is that the very people the Democrats had intended to help will be the biggest victims: for many years to come banks will demand the most stringent terms for mortgages to the least well off.

In the meantime, let us praise Congressman Artur Davis of Alabama, who confessed this week: "Like a lot of my Democrat colleagues I was too slow to appreciate the recklessness of Fannie and Freddie when in retrospect I should have heeded the concerns raised. I wish my Democrat colleagues would admit that we were wrong." I fear Congressman Davis will not go far with this attitude – but at least he will be able to look at himself in the mirror.

d.lawson@independent.co.uk

http://www.independent.co.uk/opinion/commentators/dominic-lawson/dominic-lawson-democrat-fingerprints-are-all-over-the-financial-crisis-949653.html


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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Seuss]
    #9063510 -

Seuss said:
Should Obama win, watch for him trying to take away people's guns... it will be the first sign of his true purpose.  :tinfoil:



there's guilt on both sides, liberman and McCain drafted this

http://www.gunlaws.com/evenworse.htm

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Phred]
    #9063567 -

Quote:
Thank you. Got a link for that?



http://www.hud.gov/offices/cpd/affordablehousing/programs/home/addi/



Quote:
This program is not part of the eventual problem, but instead a partial amelioration of the eventual problem. The biggest problem was with mortgages handed out with no down payments at all. Clearly a lender who got a downpayment in addition to the collateral of the property itself is in better shape (not perfect shape, but better shape) than a lender who got no down payment at all. To the lender, it doesn't matter whether the borrower's grandmother coughed up the nut for the down payment or Uncle Sam.



The program still served to increase mortgages to low income citizens.  Just because it aimed at giving people a 10,000 dollar down payment, doesn't mean it didn't increase the number of bad mortgages out there.  Remember the entire idea (in Bush's own words) of this program is that the people would never have gotten the mortgages without the programs assistance.


Quote:
Not in the slightest. The impetus for subprime mortgages was all driven by the Democrats. Calls for the reigning in of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were decried by Democrats as "racist" and resisted strongly. Several threads here have the same YouTube video posted with excerpts from these hearings, showing Maxine Waters and Barney Frank and Chris (?) Meeks and other black Democrats defending FM and FM to the hilt and playing the race card on Repubs calling for stricter oversight of FM and FM.

It was an idea born of the Dems, nurtured by the Dems, and defended by the Dems. The only thing Repubs can be blamed for is knuckling under for fear of being called racist.




So the fact the fed kept interest rates artificially low for the past decade doesn't really have anything to do with this crisis does it.  Or maybe the fact the mortgage institutions were making a killing.  What about the SEC's change in leveraging laws in 2004 that made it possible for all these securities to be traded between banks.  Tell me phred which banks benefited from the change in the leveraging laws, and how well are they doing now.  Its nice to blame the CRA, but how did mortgage institutions such as countrywide fail so badly if they operated outside the scope of the CRA.  Why are default rates across the country high in areas that are not low income.  In fact you should look at the default rates between CRA backed mortgages and those mortgages given out by independent companies not regulated by the CRA.

Like all people who argue that the CRA caused the mortgage crisis you fail to acknowledge any of the other alternative reasons for this crisis, and your sigular hypothesis fails to address the questions posted above.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Luddite]
    #9063587 -

While you guys argue over who's responsible for what, the "men behind the curtain" are laughing as they further consolidate thier power

can't you see they're both responsible?  they are  2 hands of the same body.


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http://yourlogicalfallacyis.com/

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Phred]
    #9063596 -

Phred said:
Daniel Gross is an ignorant buffoon, as the article of his you so helpfully provided proves. I urge the entire audience to read this nonsense so they can see a textbook example of a Libbie living a completely fact-free existence trying to spin a separate reality out of thin air.

Once again, you are late to the party. There are several threads here offering irrefutable proof that banks were bullied into giving out risky loans in order to satisfy CRA requirements, by both government bureaucrats and law firms representing "disenfranchised" borrowers. More articles still showing how Fanny May and Freddie Mac were directed to buy up these crap loans so banks wouldn't be so balky at issuing them.

Did there come a time when some lenders finally abandoned all caution and stopped resisting? Of course. That's not the point. The point is that the banks should never have been maneuvered into that position in the first place. And the only reason they were is because of Affirmative Action.

You can stick your fingers in your ears and squinch your eyes shut all you want, but the fact of the matter is that lenders didn't just all decide one day that all the ironclad rules of sane mortgage lending that had worked well for centuries should be disregarded. The government stepped in and changed the rules of the game. Deny it till you're blue in the face, it makes no nevermind.



Then why were lenders that were not covered by the CRA lending indiscriminately? Maybe because... oh, I dunno, they MADE MONEY DOING SO. I mean, when bank A and bank B both do the same thing and only one is covered by law X, it's absurd to blame law X for that behavior. And why is it that loans under the CRA have performed better than average? But keep on scapegoating the poor and minorities.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Yossarian22]
    #9063624 -

Because they had a government guaranteed sucker to buy their paper.  And any time you want to prove that loans made under the CRA have outperformed other loans feel free to provide a link.  How can you tell which loans are CRA loans when it wasn't that specific a program?


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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Shins]
    #9063701 -

Shins said:
While you guys argue over who's responsible for what, the "men behind the curtain" are laughing as they further consolidate thier power

can't you see they're both responsible?  they are  2 hands of the same body.



tell that to obama, he says it's all bush

what will we be telling ourselves about the failed bailout in
5 years, will that have been on bush as well since he's still
the president when it passed?

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Prisoner#1]
    #9063730 -

> will that have been on bush as well since he's still
the president when it passed?

Of course, because Phred has taught me that every single problem ever can be traced back to the democrats, and only the democrats.  Oh wait... umm... gee, I feel stupid now.  :rolleyes:


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Just another spore in the wind.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Prisoner#1]
    #9063737 -

Hopefuly by then people will have clued in, and stopped with the diversionary partisan bickering.

"divide and conquer" - from my point of view, Modern day america is almost as divided as it can be.

With all the partisanship, TV watching, Internet etc.  americans are more divided than ever.


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http://yourlogicalfallacyis.com/

Edited by Shins (10/11/08 03:58 PM)

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: zappaisgod]
    #9063742 -

Read Michael Barr's testimony to the house.

http://www.house.gov/apps/list/hearing/financialsvcs_dem/barr021308.pdf

According to him only half of the subprime mortgages were lent by CRA regulated institutions, the rest were lent by independant mortgage companies that were only too happy to lend poor people too much money in order to make a short term profit. 

Also it is Phred making the claim that CRA lending caused this crisis, and this claim is being made without any substance to back it up.  Present some numbers that show a break down of CRA backed mortgages vs those lent outside of the CRAs scope.  Show that a major percentage of the defaulted on mortgages are those in the group backed by the CRA.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: zappaisgod]
    #9063860 -

zappaisgod said:
Because they had a government guaranteed sucker to buy their paper.



They didn't need the government to buy that shit(also, it was under Bush that the government started buying up subprime mortgages and had it going towards their CRA requirements)- they could just package it up in securities and sell it on the open market without any meaningful oversight or transparency thanks to McCain's financial guru Phil Gramm.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: DeepDish]
    #9064148 -

DeepDish writes:

Quote:
Just because it aimed at giving people a 10,000 dollar down payment, doesn't mean it didn't increase the number of bad mortgages out there.



You're not following. There are bad mortgages and then there are bad mortgages. If you have no down payment in your hands, and the borrower defaults, you're left with a 100 grand house. If you got a $10k down payment and the guy defaults, you're left with $10k and a $100k house you can sell for $90k and still break even.

Is it an ideal solution? No... because that $10k came from the taxpayers. But the resulting mortgage associated with that $10k is undeniably more valuable (or less crappy, if you prefer to look at it that way) than a mortgage with no down payment at all.

Quote:
So the fact the fed kept interest rates artificially low for the past decade doesn't really have anything to do with this crisis does it. Or maybe the fact....<snip>...fails to address the questions posted above.



Interest rates were artificially low because the market had been completely distorted by government interference. These things have a ripple effect, you know. It cannot be otherwise. You cannot completely destroy the very foundation of prudent lending without there being repercussions.

I have never said every other actor down the road acted out of the purest of motives, I have only pointed out correctly that if the Dems hadn't strongarmed banks to loan to people no sane banker would have agreed to loan to absent government coercion, none of the rest of the things you mentioned would have happened. Hell, none of the rest of them would have been possible. The root cause of the crisis was Social Engineering. The few people who did predict the inevitable result were either ignored or shouted down as racist fear-mongers.





Phred


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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Phred]
    #9064183 -

> The few people who did predict the inevitable result were either ignored or shouted down as racist fear-mongers.

And then later blamed for causing the mess.  The irony.


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Just another spore in the wind.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Phred]
    #9064366 -

Somewhat related and mostly for amusement..:lol:



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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Phred]
    #9064562 -

I haven't seen any hard numbers in this thread detailing the rate of
mortgage defaults for these nigger loans.

I thought the bulk of the rising foreclosures were for non-owner occupieds.


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All I know is The Growery is a place where losers who get banned here go.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Phred]
    #9064865 -

Quote:
Interest rates were artificially low because the market had been completely distorted by government interference. These things have a ripple effect, you know. It cannot be otherwise. You cannot completely destroy the very foundation of prudent lending without there being repercussions.



By low interest rates, I meant the interest rates as set by the Fed.  The Fed is the foundation of prudent lending, as malinvestment is far more likely when the rate the banks can borrow at is sent far lower then the market would dictate it.  Do you think if the fed didn't keep interest rates low throughout the duration of the housing bubbling, the banks would have been so anxious to lend? 

Quote:
I have never said every other actor down the road acted out of the purest of motives, I have only pointed out correctly that if the Dems hadn't strongarmed banks to loan to people no sane banker would have agreed to loan to absent government coercion, none of the rest of the things you mentioned would have happened. Hell, none of the rest of them would have been possible. The root cause of the crisis was Social Engineering. The few people who did predict the ineviI have never said every other actor down the road acted out of the purest of motives, I have only pointed out correctly that if the Dems hadn't strongarmed banks to loan to people no sane banker would have agreed to loan to absent government coercion, none of the rest of the things you mentioned would have happened. Hell, none of the rest of them would have been possible. The root cause of the crisis was Social Engineering. The few people who did predict the inevitable result were either ignored or shouted down as racist fear-mongers.table result were either ignored or shouted down as racist fear-mongers.



Phred I need some data.  Just because you say the CRA is a root cause doesn't make it so.  You need to prove the correlation.  Again if you look at the subprime loan demographic data non-minorities compose a significant portion.  And of that portion many borrowers have above the median income for the area they live in.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB119205925519455321.html

These loans most definatly don't fall under the scope of the CRA.  Banks were giving risky loans to people of all races and income levels.  It wasn't just poor minorities that were getting these loans.  If the only reason the banks were giving the loans is because they were being strong armed by the government, why in the world would they not limit the lending only too poor minorities?  Why would these banks extend this risky credit to people who don't even come close to falling under the demographic outlined by the CRA if the only reason they were offering it in the first place was because of democratic policies? 


I completely agree that the CRA played a role in the crisis, but its role was a minor one.  If the banks had kept their high risk lending to only poor minorities, and prevented the rampant speculation that occured due to upper income investors this would not be a crisis that is bringing the world economy to a halt.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: DeepDish]
    #9064981 -

Quote:
Banks were giving risky loans to people of all races and income levels.



But.. but.. that keeps us from using the crisis to demonize others with partisan scapegoating!!

Where's the fun in that?


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“The crisis takes a much longer time coming than you think, and then it happens much faster than you would have thought.”  -- Rudiger Dornbusch

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: DeepDish]
    #9065144 -

Quote:
By low interest rates, I meant the interest rates as set by the Fed.  The Fed is the foundation of prudent lending, as malinvestment is far more likely when the rate the banks can borrow at is sent far lower then the market would dictate it.  Do you think if the fed didn't keep interest rates low throughout the duration of the housing bubbling, the banks would have been so anxious to lend? 



It's all interrelated. You cannot possibly make as fundamental change as dropping the requirement for a down payment for the largest purchase the vast majority of people will ever make in their lives without causing repercussions everywhere else in the market. Interest rates are affected by hundreds of different factors. Would the Fed have set the interest rates they way they did in the absence of such things as MBSs? No, they wouldn't have. The subprime mortgage phenomenon resulted in major, MAJOR behavioral differences in the investment fields. No rational observer can deny that. My point is - and has always been - that absent the massive coercion exerted by government and NGOs (such as ACORN) who engaged in mau-mauing lending institutions into doing fiscally insane things, they would not have done fiscally insane things.

As proof, I point to the record - initially, they resisted to the utmost doing these fiscally insane things. They had to be bullied and coerced into doing it. Legislation, inspectors, lawsuits. No bank could grow unless it played the game. Of the carrot and stick approach, initially the only thing in play was the stick.

At a later point, the carrot was brought into the equation as well - banks no longer had to eat the loss when their flakey borrower bolted on them: Fanny Mae and Freddie Mac happily bought the iffy paper before it ever got to that point. No more risk for the banks at all. Happy days are here again!

But never forget the original idea came not from the banks, but from the social engineers. Remember, the evil capitalistic banks were conspiring to keep the underclass down, through the malicious practice of "redlining". They clung bitterly to their redlining the way a backwoods hillbilly clings to his religion and guns. They would still be denying the underclass mortgages had the Libbies not gone on a crusade to change that.

Quote:
Again if you look at the subprime loan demographic data non-minorities compose a significant portion.  And of that portion many borrowers have above the median income for the area they live in.



Of course they do! Look, you still don't get it. The rules of the game were changed! By government! I really don't know how I can express this more clearly.

Obviously if it's now okay to loan to some guy with no down payment, no credit history, and no prospects, who is allowed to count as income welfare payments - seriously, I am not making this up: welfare payments counted on these applications - anyway... if that guy is an acceptable risk, how can you possibly claim some other guy with a steady job, excellent credit history and a five per cent down payment in hand should be denied the same deal as the shiftless bum I just described? Answer - you can't. And guess what? Fanny Mae or Freddie Mac will take his mortgage off your hands, too! No one here is claiming the only bad paper floating around is that which started life as a mortgage held by a ghetto-dweller.

The CRA (not so much in its original relatively mild form as enacted in the Carter years, but in its beefed-up form from the Clinton years) was a paradigm-shifting piece of legislation. Fluctuating interest rates are not paradigm-shifting events. Interest rates go up and down all the time.

There's a reason cliches are coined. Here's one we've heard before - the road to hell is paved with good intentions. The CRA was enacted not out of malice but with the intent of helping people. It was a good-intentioned piece of legislation, just one that wasn't thought through all the way. You are correct in that the CRA as originally written wouldn't alone have led to this point. The banks would just have continued doing everything they could have to avoid complying with it. Every now and then one of them might have been sued or fined, but that would have been it. What really accelerated the mess was when the government got tired of investigating and fining and suing the non-compliers and decided it would be easier to just direct FM and FM to buy the shit paper off the banks. Once that aspect of the equation was changed, the banks acquiesced. Why wouldn't they?

The thing is, there would have been no shit paper for FM and FM to buy (or very little of it) had the CRA warriors not been doing their thing.

Quote:
If the banks had kept their high risk lending to only poor minorities, and prevented the rampant speculation that occured due to upper income investors this would not be a crisis that is bringing the world economy to a halt.



This has been explained before, too. I believe it was zap who first did so, and in more detail than I'm about to here, but I'll do it here again briefly. You really should dig up some of the older threads, though -

The sudden increase in buyers triggered a boom. You've got a lot more people looking for houses, therefore housing prices rise. So buying property, then selling it for a profit a year down the road makes sense. Of course investors (as opposed to people just looking for a house in which to live) will get on board. And when these investors go looking for a mortgage, they are naturally going to demand the same deal Leroy down on the corner got - no down payment, adjustable rate, the whole nine yards. And the bank is going to give him those terms because -

- if they don't he'll take his business to someone who will
- he's a far better credit risk than Leroy
- the bank is not going to hold the paper anyway, FM and FM will.

This is ALWAYS what happens (to varying degrees, of course) when government interferes in the markets - the government action is based not on good financial sense, it is based on "justice" or "protecting the innocent" or some other claptrap, and it is mandated through the implied threat of force. This interference cannot help but result in deleterious effects; if people are doing something only because they are forced to do so, it is something it would have made no sense to do in the first place. If it did make sense you wouldn't have to force them to do it.







Phred


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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Phred]
    #9066593 -

Talk about timing. After me spending all that time composing my last post, Allahpundit posts this:

Quote:
The quotes that explain the entire financial meltdown

For those who want a smoking gun to show the genesis of the financial collapse, this short sequence from a longer video I posted this week will do it. Clinton HUD Secretary Andrew Cuomo announced a settlement of a lending discrimination complaint with Accubanc, a Texas lender whose prerequisites for mortgages came under attack from “community organizers” at the Fort Worth Human Relations Commission and the city of Dallas. I clipped out this sequence to underscore its importance:

** sorry, guys, this is not a YouTube video - I don't know how to embed it. Click to go to Allahpundit if you want to watch**

Quote:
CUOMO: To take a greater risk on these mortgages, yes. To give families mortgages that they would not have given otherwise, yes.

Q: [unintellible] … that they would not have given the loans at all?

CUOMO: They would not have qualified but for this affirmative action on the part of the bank, yes.

Q: Are minorities represented in that low and moderate income group?

CUOMO: It is by income, and is it also by minorities? Yes.

CUOMO: With the 2.1 billion, lending that amount in mortgages — which will be a higher risk, and I’m sure there will be a higher default rate on those mortgages than on the rest of the portfolio …



Here, in fact, is the genesis of the problem, the ideology that created the monster.  Cuomo, the Clinton administration, and Congress believed they had the right and the power to determine acceptable risk for the lenders, rather than lenders determining it for themselves in a free market.  Even while imposing risk standards on lenders, Cuomo admits that he expects a higher default rate on the new loans — which is why the lenders didn’t want to write them in the first place.

In other words, the CRA didn’t get used to fight discrimination, but to force lenders to give money to high-risk borrowers for political purposes.  And Cuomo knew it.

That was the political arrogance at the heart of the collapse.  However, the CRA was more a sideshow than the actual problem.  When Congress decided that enforcement alone wouldn’t generate enough mortgages to boost their political fortunes, they had Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac eliminate the risk entirely for lenders through the purchase of the subprime loans.  Without that risk and with almost-guaranteed short-term profits of subprime loans, lenders went wild while Fannie and Freddie repackaged them as quasi-government bonds for investors.

While Democrats like Barack Obama, Harry Reid, and Nancy Pelosi keep blaming “greed” for the collapse, it was Democrats like Barney Frank and Chris Dodd building that “greed” into the system in order to drive the subprime lending market.  And it was Democrats like Frank, Dodd, Maxine Waters, and Lacy Clay who suggested that regulators like Armando Falcon were racists for blowing the whistle on the Ponzi scheme they created.

The Democrats decided, as Michelle says, that mortgages were a civil right, and wouldn’t cost the American taxpayers a dime.  How well is that working out, America?  And now, the question you have to ask yourselves is this: Do you want the nation’s economic policies run by Obama, Pelosi, Reid, Dodd, and Frank for the next two years?



As I (and Seuss and zappaisgod) have said over and over, the CRA was the root cause. The genesis, as Allahpundit calls it. But what really opened the floodgate was not so much the CRA itself, even in its beefed up bully mode, it was the decision to direct Fannie May and Freddie Mac to buy up subprime loans. Any and all subprime loans, not just subprime loans to minorities. However, without the CRA, that direction would never have been given.

The root cause of the problem is directly and unequivocally traceable to social engineering by Democrats. A mortgage as a civil right, in other words.




Phred


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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Phred]
    #9066778 -

Quote:
It's all interrelated. You cannot possibly make as fundamental change as dropping the requirement for a down payment for the largest purchase the vast majority of people will ever make in their lives without causing repercussions everywhere else in the market.



This is false.  The CRA does not require banks to drop the down payment for a vast majority of those seeking loans. 

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Would the Fed have set the interest rates they way they did in the absence of such things as MBSs? No, they wouldn't have. The subprime mortgage phenomenon resulted in major, MAJOR behavioral differences in the investment fields. No rational observer can deny that. My point is - and has always been - that absent the massive coercion exerted by government and NGOs (such as ACORN) who engaged in mau-mauing lending institutions into doing fiscally insane things, they would not have done fiscally insane things.




This is ridiculous.  Again do you have any evidence at all that the Fed was setting monetary policy due to MBSs.  The Fed lowered interest rates to prevent a recession after the dotcom collapse.  Greespan stated this numerous times.  In fact if you look at a graph of Fed interest rates vs the number of risky loans lent you will see a striking correlation.   

  Look at other "speculative bubbles" that have happened around the world.  Take Japan in the 1980s which suffered its own realestate bubble.  The main cause; low interest rates leading to malinvestment in realestate and stocks.  Japan lost trillions when the bubble burst and caused the economy to go through a 17 year downturn.  This all happened without the "paradigm shifting" piece of legislation called the CRA. 


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Of course they do! Look, you still don't get it. The rules of the game were changed! By government! I really don't know how I can express this more clearly.




Yes the rules of the game changed.  Banks that fell under CRA legislation had to increase their loans to minorities.  Besides that nothing was forced on the banks.  They were not forced to lower their lending standards in any other way.  Again you still haven't shown that loans given by banks under CRA rule have a higher rate of default then those loans.

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Answer - you can't. And guess what? Fanny Mae or Freddie Mac will take his mortgage off your hands, too! No one here is claiming the only bad paper floating around is that which started life as a mortgage held by a ghetto-dweller.



But you can.  A bank can refuse a risky loan to rich white person, with no danger of being strong armed by the government.  In fact if these loans are really as "financially insane" as you claim it would be in the banks best interest to limit the loans only to those minorities that MUST receive them by law.

Fannie and Freddie actually had pretty strict standards on the loans they would take.  Remember Freddie and Fannie weren't the only chop shops in the business.  In fact most of the really risky loans (liar loans) were not purchased by Freddie and Fannie but rather by completely private enterprises that divided them into securities and sold them with a AAA rating.


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The CRA (not so much in its original relatively mild form as enacted in the Carter years, but in its beefed-up form from the Clinton years) was a paradigm-shifting piece of legislation. Fluctuating interest rates are not paradigm-shifting events. Interest rates go up and down all the time.



But interest rates are correlated to speculation and malinvestment in an economy.  You are trying to say that a law enacted in 1995 led to a boom almost a decade later.  I'm saying the bubble really started to inflate around 2000, around the same time the fed lowered interest rates to pevent the dotcom collapse from causing a recession.  This was a paradigm shifting event.  If you look at any of the economists that predicted the housing bubble they all said the same thing, lowered interest rates after the dotcom boom is causing malinvestment in the housing market which will lead grossly overinflated real estate values.  Youtube Peter Schiff and watch any of his television appearances between 2002 and 2006.

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Every now and then one of them might have been sued or fined, but that would have been it. What really accelerated the mess was when the government got tired of investigating and fining and suing the non-compliers and decided it would be easier to just direct FM and FM to buy the shit paper off the banks. Once that aspect of the equation was changed, the banks acquiesced. Why wouldn't they?



Phred, Freddie and Fannie were not the only businesses buying up the shit paper!  Again there were plenty of private firms that existed without any government backing that were more then happy to buy up the risky paper.  As I stated before Freddie and Fannie actually had fairly strict standards dealing with the mortgages they would underwrite.  It is a misconception that Freddie and Fannie failed because they took on too many risky mortgages, in fact they went under because they invested too heavily in the AAA rated mortgage securities created by other businesses outside the scope of the covernment.



Quote:
The sudden increase in buyers triggered a boom. You've got a lot more people looking for houses, therefore housing prices rise. So buying property, then selling it for a profit a year down the road makes sense. Of course investors (as opposed to people just looking for a house in which to live) will get on board. And when these investors go looking for a mortgage, they are naturally going to demand the same deal Leroy down on the corner got - no down payment, adjustable rate, the whole nine yards. And the bank is going to give him those terms because -
- if they don't he'll take his business to someone who will
- he's a far better credit risk than Leroy
- the bank is not going to hold the paper anyway, FM and FM will.



You just don't get it.  No bank, not a single one was required to give the risky loans they did. If you can prove otherwise, demonstrate with sources and numbers.  The banks could have very easily turned the investors down, they were not required in any way to lend them money.  If the investor takes his money elsewhere, then the bank is still better off.  At least they didn't loose money on the loan.  Again phred you haven't shown that loans made under the CRA program are any more risky than those subprime loans given to wannabe realestate speculators.  Banks gave out lots of loans that were far more risky then anything mandated by the CRA to non-minority, above median income, borrowers.  I discussed Freddie and Fannie above, the CRA has little to do with the underlying reasons why so much shit paper was bought up.

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This is ALWAYS what happens (to varying degrees, of course) when government interference in the markets - the government action is based not on good financial sense, it is based on "justice" or "protecting the innocent" or some other claptrap, and it is mandated through the implied threat of force. This interference cannot help but result in deleterious effects; if people are doing something only because they are forced to do so, it is something it would have made no sense to do in the first place. If it did make sense you wouldn't have to force them to do it.



I completely agree that government interference in the markets is a bad thing.  I just see the governments fixing of interest rates, allowing the banks to make credit default swaps and leverage their capital 40:1, played a much larger role then a law passed in 1995 that ONLY pertained to minorities.  The housing crisis in both Europe (current) and Japan (80's) both lend support to my claim that banks will make risky loans regardless of government mandates in the hopes of making short term profits.   

I also predict that commercial realesate will experiance a major bust in the United States\Europe as well.  It already is experiancing a major downturn.  This will be in the final nail in the coffin for the CRA hypothesis, unless you can also claim the government was forcing the banks to lend money to minority commercial developers.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: DeepDish]
    #9066868 -

You are still not getting it and I doubt you will, so I'll leave you to your opinion. Hopefully other readers of the thread will grasp the significance of fundamentally changing the lending paradigm through coercion.

Once you loosen the requirements for some borrowers, you cannot logically refuse to loosen the requirements for ALL borrowers, especially borrowers LESS risky than the ones you loosened the requirements for in the first place.

Again, Fanny Mae and Freddie Mac were not buying up just CRA mortgages, they were buying up ANY mortgage. But they never would have done so had the CRA not been enacted and beefed up and aggressively promoted.

Did other institutions jump on the bandwagon, failing to see the CRA/FM/FM/induced boom was just another government-initiated Ponzi scheme?  Yep. But again, no CRA, no bandwagon to jump on.

Social Engineering is at the root of the meltdown. If you choose to deny this, it's no skin off my nose.





Phred


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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: DeepDish]
    #9066988 -

Good post. :thumbup:

The root cause of the crisis was loose monetary policy by the Fed. All that money sloshing around created a speculative boom and booms are always followed by busts. The CRA changes were not helpful but a crisis of this magnitude always has multiple causes and involves both political parties in spite of what partisans are pushing.


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“The crisis takes a much longer time coming than you think, and then it happens much faster than you would have thought.”  -- Rudiger Dornbusch

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: zorbman]
    #9067106 -

> All that money sloshing around

Where did all that money sloshing around come from?  If you are honest, and answer correctly, you will point back towards something you don't want to admit.


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Just another spore in the wind.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Seuss]
    #9067336 -

The printing press went into overdrive in the mid 90's and has only accelerated since then.

This time period covers the terms of two presidents- one democrat and one republican.


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“The crisis takes a much longer time coming than you think, and then it happens much faster than you would have thought.”  -- Rudiger Dornbusch

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: zorbman]
    #9067378 -

> The printing press went into overdrive in the mid 90's and has only accelerated since then.

Then inflation would have risen out of control.  Try again.


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Just another spore in the wind.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: DeepDish]
    #9067390 -

I have a few minutes more now, so I'll address some of your points so the less informed readers of this thread aren't misled:

Quote:
The Fed lowered interest rates to prevent a recession after the dotcom collapse.  Greespan stated this numerous times.  In fact if you look at a graph of Fed interest rates vs the number of risky loans lent you will see a striking correlation.



Interest rates rise and fall all the time. And yes, people do things when interest rates are low that they don't do when interest rates are high, including borrow money. But interest rates are not the cause of this mess.

Quote:
A bank can refuse a risky loan to rich white person, with no danger of being strong armed by the government.  In fact if these loans are really as "financially insane" as you claim it would be in the banks best interest to limit the loans only to those minorities that MUST receive them by law.



You miss the point. The loans to "white people" are LESS risky, especially when FM and FM are happily buying up as many as the banks bring to them.

Quote:
Again you still haven't shown that loans given by banks under CRA rule have a higher rate of default then those loans.



Irrelevant. It doesn't matter what the ratio of defaults was.

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Fannie and Freddie actually had pretty strict standards on the loans they would take.



No they didn't. Or we wouldn't be where we are today.

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Again there were plenty of private firms that existed without any government backing that were more then happy to buy up the risky paper.



Again, I admit once the bandwagon was rolling along nicely, others finally hopped on. But no subprime mortgages, no bandwagon. And subprime mortgages were created in response to the CRA. I'm not saying things were not exacerbated by a general piling-on at some point down the road. I am stating - correctly - that the root cause was social engineering by Dems.

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You are trying to say that a law enacted in 1995 led to a boom almost a decade later.



No, I am saying that when the Clinton administration started getting serious about enforcing the revised CRA, from 1998-2000, and when activist groups started bringing lawsuits against banks (see my earlier thread on this), and when FM and FM were directed to buy up just about any mortgage, the boom accelerated. Would it have been as big a boom had interest rates been 10% rather than 4%? No. But that's not the point.

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No bank, not a single one was required to give the risky loans they did.



Incorrect. See my previous thread here.








Phred


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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Seuss]
    #9067424 -

Seuss said:
> The printing press went into overdrive in the mid 90's and has only accelerated since then.

Then inflation would have risen out of control.  Try again.



Normally inflation would run wild. However, the US dollar is not a normal currency. It is the world's reserve currency which means that most of those excess dollars are being "soaked up" by foreign governments.

In effect we are exporting our inflation.

That is a two-edged sword though. Should the dollar weaken further (and there are no signs it do anything but weaken) then those dollars will eventually get dumped and flood back into the US causing a large rise in inflation. We will then be importing our inflation. The chickens will come home to roost.


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“The crisis takes a much longer time coming than you think, and then it happens much faster than you would have thought.”  -- Rudiger Dornbusch

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Phred]
    #9067436 -

> Again, I admit once the bandwagon was rolling along nicely, others finally hopped on.

I'd even go so far as to claim that both Democrats and Republicans jumped on the bandwagon once it got rolling.  Higher property values equaled huge property tax windfalls for the government. Remember all the old folks that could no longer afford to pay taxes on the house that had been in their family since before they were born (because housing values were increasing faster than inflation)?  But, getting back to the point of the post, the spark that started the entire thing was the lefties forcing banks to make unsafe loans.  From that spark, the rest snowballed.


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Just another spore in the wind.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: zorbman]
    #9067445 -

Quote:
Normally inflation would run wild. However, the US dollar is not a normal currency. It is the world's reserve currency which means that most of those excess dollars are being "soaked up" by foreign governments.



So, you think the US mint started printing lots and lots of money, and, um, shipped it overseas to keep inflation down?  Interesting.  I'll give you another hint, since you are stuck on this idea of a printing press... "fractional reserve".


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Just another spore in the wind.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Seuss]
    #9067472 -

Seuss said:
Quote:
Normally inflation would run wild. However, the US dollar is not a normal currency. It is the world's reserve currency which means that most of those excess dollars are being "soaked up" by foreign governments.



So, you think the US mint started printing lots and lots of money, and, um, shipped it overseas to keep inflation down?  Interesting.  I'll give you another hint, since you are stuck on this idea of a printing press... "fractional reserve".



Of course "printing press" is a figure of speech. :smirk:

The Federal Reserve creates most of our money through debt creation.

The US is a safe, stable democracy and as such our currency is in demand by foreign governments. We don't "ship it" anywhere.


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“The crisis takes a much longer time coming than you think, and then it happens much faster than you would have thought.”  -- Rudiger Dornbusch

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: zorbman]
    #9067494 -

> The Federal Reserve creates most of our money through debt creation.

Great!  Now, where did the debt come from?


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Just another spore in the wind.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Seuss]
    #9067505 -

Seuss said:
> The Federal Reserve creates most of our money through debt creation.

Great!  Now, where did the debt come from?



Uranus?


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“The crisis takes a much longer time coming than you think, and then it happens much faster than you would have thought.”  -- Rudiger Dornbusch

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Phred]
    #9067840 -

Quote:
Interest rates rise and fall all the time. And yes, people do things when interest rates are low that they don't do when interest rates are high, including borrow money. But interest rates are not the cause of this mess.



Of course they are.  Starting in 2001 the interest rates were lowered drastically, for an extended period of time.  This caused people around the world to borrow lots of US currency and greatly extend their credit.  This is why you see a housing bubble busting in Europe, Asia, actually in most of the world.  But the rest of the world doesn't have the CRA or FM & FM.  Why is Australia currently having a housing crisis.  The US wasn't forcing their banks to lend to minorities, nor were Freddie and Fannie buying up mortgages in Australia. 

Why did Japan have a similar problem in the 80's.  They had no CRA or Freddie and Fannie to buy up their realestate mortgages.  They did have low interest rates and rampant speculation.  Wait I see common theme emerging here.

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You miss the point. The loans to "white people" are LESS risky, especially when FM and FM are happily buying up as many as the banks bring to them.



No the banks made all sorts of loans to investors that were far more risky then those mandated by the CRA.  Just because you say they are less risky doesn't make it so.  You had people completely lieing about their income, or tacking on the expected income from the home equity they were going to purchase with the mortgage.  These loans were some of the riskiest and only made sense if you figured the house's value was going to increase by some absurd percentage point every year.

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Irrelevant. It doesn't matter what the ratio of defaults was.



You seem to be completely missing the point.  Banks were not forced to give risky loans to everyone.  Most of their risky loans were given out by their own free will and by independant companies not under the scope of the CRA. In fact the banks thought these loans were a good idea.  Angelo Mozlilo (CEO of country wide)in 2003 at the American Bankers National Real Estate Conference gave a speech detailing all the great benefits of no downpayment mortgages.  You think Barney Frank was behind him twisting his arm, or is the more plausible explantation that the banks actually believed these investments were solid.

The scope of the CRA is not nearly as vast as you would like people to believe, and the loans that it required are not nearly as risky as you imply. Here are a couple important points about the CRA.

1.The act did not force banks to make loans with no downpayment
2.The act did not force banks to make interest only loans
3.The act did not force banks to not check credit score, verify assests or check income. 
4.The act did not force GSEs to buy loans with the characteristics described above


You can't cite a couple of court cases involving the CRA and then claim that this is what caused the meltdown of the entire world housing market. 

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No they didn't. Or we wouldn't be where we are today.



Yes they actually did, look at the statistic below.


Between 2004 and 2006, when subprime lending was exploding, Fannie and Freddie went from holding a high of 48 percent of the subprime loans that were sold into the secondary market to holding about 24 percent, according to data from Inside Mortgage Finance, a specialty publication.

Most of the high risk subprime paper was not being bought by the liberal controlled Freddie and Fannie.  It was various, privately owned wall street firms that repackaged the super high risk loans into investment products, and convinced the various rating agencies to give them a AAA.


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Again, I admit once the bandwagon was rolling along nicely, others finally hopped on. But no subprime mortgages, no bandwagon. And subprime mortgages were created in response to the CRA. I'm not saying things were not exacerbated by a general piling-on at some point down the road. I am stating - correctly - that the root cause was social engineering by Dems.




Just because you state something and say its correct, doesn't make it so.  Again most of the investment products created by the mortgage machine go so far beyond the scope of the CRA you it is simply ludicrous to say the firms did developed them in response.  I mean what logical progression here?

1.  Some banks are forced by the CRA to make "financially insane" loans to minorities (Keep in mind the limits to the CRA I posted above).

2.  Banks decide since they have been forced to make some "financially insane" loans, they should just start making them to every single person who walks through the door and requests one.

3.  Banks are then in such pain from the arm twisting of the CRA and democrats they decide to come out with a new line of mortgages that are classified as "financial suicide".  The bank CEOs make speeches about how great these new loans are, and how happy they are with their new lending requirments.

4.  Independant mortgage brokers that aren't even subject the CRA begin to set up shop all over the country, all offering the same "financial suicide" products. These companies ease the lending requirments even further allowing people to lie about their income and completely falsify their application.

I leave it up to the readers to decide if the CRA adequately explains the chain of events listed above.


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No, I am saying that when the Clinton administration started getting serious about enforcing the revised CRA, from 1998-2000, and when activist groups started bringing lawsuits against banks (see my earlier thread on this), and when FM and FM were directed to buy up just about any mortgage, the boom accelerated.




FM and FM were not directed to buy up every mortgage.  As I said above, many of the riskier mortgages were bought up by private firms.  On a seperate note; directed by whom?  Do you have a link to a memo or a speech?

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: DeepDish]
    #9068016 -

Quote:
1.The act did not force banks to make loans with no downpayment
2.The act did not force banks to make interest only loans
3.The act did not force banks to not check credit score, verify assests or check income.
4.The act did not force GSEs to buy loans with the characteristics described above



The CRA required banks to meet quotas lending to poor people, or face severe penalties and lawsuits from the likes of Obama.  The only way the banks could meet the required quotas was to make "bad" loans.  These loans would not have been made had the CRA not forced the quotas upon the banks.  Yes, you are correct, the banks could have ignored their quotas that were set by the CRA, payed huge penalties, and been sued out of business by lawyers like Obama.  In the end, the banks had two choices, make bad loans and take the governments carrot, or don't make bad loans and take the governments stick.  Not really much of a choice, unless you are trying to spin it.

> Just because you state something and say its correct, doesn't make it so.

Might want to take a long look in the mirror.

> 1.  Some banks are forced by the CRA to make "financially insane" loans to minorities (Keep in mind the limits to the CRA I posted above).

All banks that lend to the public.

> 2. Banks decide since they have been forced to make some "financially insane" loans they should just start making them to every single person

They didn't really have a choice.  Once the ball got rolling, they either go with the flow, or borrowers start going to the bank next door.  I'm not trying to take blame away from the banks here, but looking at why the banks started to do this, you have to go back.  Had the government not started mucking around in the banks business, using the carrot and stick on the banks to influence their lending practices, then none of this would have ever happened.  You are trying to blame the rolling ball for the problem rather than blaming the person that started the ball rolling in the first place.  I'm not excusing the banks, but their hands were pretty tied.  Go with the flow and take the carrot, or go against the flow and take the stick.  Not much of a choice.

> I leave it up to the readers to decide if the CRA adequately explains the chain of events listed above.

Again, the CRA is the starting point of the chain of events... that which initiated all the rest.  Lots of other 'bad things' happened, but if you trace it back to a single starting point, it was the CRA.  (Not really the CRA, but the changes that Clinton made that went into effect in 96 if we want to be specific.)  There were many other contributing factors that occurred later and both Republicans and Democrats are at fault, but had the changes to the CRA never been made, then none of the other stuff would have happened and we wouldn't be having this debate.

> FM and FM were not directed to buy up every mortgage.

Of course not... but congress made it possible for them to make massive amounts of money by doing so.  Again, had there not been a bunch of mortgages for FM and FM to buy up, then none of this would have happened.  Where did the massive numbers of mortgages come from?  The snowball had to start somewhere, and it wasn't Uranus.

Again, looking for the initial seed, not all the corruption, greed, and other BS that followed (of which there are a lot of people guilty in both parties).  What was it that made the mess possible to begin with?  It was banks being bullied into making risky loans to low income families.


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Just another spore in the wind.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Seuss]
    #9068072 -

Seuss said:
> The Federal Reserve creates most of our money through debt creation.

Great!  Now, where did the debt come from?



The U.S. Treasury prints the bills and sells them to the Federal Reserve Banks for 3 cents on the dollar. The Federal Reserve banks then loan the money to our government, plus interest. The nation/taxpayers owe on that debt creation.

This is also why our national debt can never be paid off. We only print bills that cover the principle loan, no extra bills are printed to cover the interest owed on the principle.


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Ahuwale ka nane huna.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: gettinjiggywithit]
    #9068102 -

BTW, Woodrow Wilson, the President that turned us over to the Federal Reserve banking system was a Democrat.


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Ahuwale ka nane huna.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Yossarian22]
    #9068164 -

Yossarian22 said:
But keep on scapegoating the poor and minorities.




GTFO with that


Phred and the other CRA opponents have never, to my knowledge, stated that blacks as a group are responsible for this- nor any other race.


By raising stupid claims of racism you denigrate real demonstrable injustice in society and reinforce the views of some that their whinning about race is justified because of these "everything is racist" folks.


The issue is people that didn't pay what they owed, and banks that lended to them (and the people that lended to them, in turn).  This has nothing to do with race and everything to do with public policy.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Seuss]
    #9068275 -

The CRA required banks to meet quotas lending to poor people, or face severe penalties and lawsuits from the likes of Obama.  The only way the banks could meet the required quotas was to make "bad" loans.  These loans would not have been made had the CRA not forced the quotas upon the banks.  Yes, you are correct, the banks could have ignored their quotas that were set by the CRA, payed huge penalties, and been sued out of business by lawyers like Obama.  In the end, the banks had two choices, make bad loans and take the governments carrot, or don't make bad loans and take the governments stick.  Not really much of a choice, unless you are trying to spin it.

How many banks exactly were sued out of business?  The banks went out of business not because they made bad loans under the CRA but because they made AWEFUL loans to every schmuck that walk in the door.  Please explain to me exactly what constitutes this "carrot" the government was offering.



Quote:
All banks that lend to the public.



But this is just incorrect.  Not all banks that lent to the public fell under CRA guidelines.  The CRA was meant to insure that banks which take deposits from a given district also lend to residents of the district.  Again 50% of subprime loans were made by mortgage service companies not subject comprehensive federal supervision; another 30% were made by banks or thrifts which are not subject to routine supervision or examinations.

Quote:
They didn't really have a choice.  Once the ball got rolling, they either go with the flow, or borrowers start going to the bank next door.  I'm not trying to take blame away from the banks here, but looking at why the banks started to do this, you have to go back.  Had the government not started mucking around in the banks business, using the carrot and stick on the banks to influence their lending practices, then none of this would have ever happened.  You are trying to blame the rolling ball for the problem rather than blaming the person that started the ball rolling in the first place.  I'm not excusing the banks, but their hands were pretty tied.  Go with the flow and take the carrot, or go against the flow and take the stick.  Not much of a choice.




But this isn't an example of the carrot on the stick.  The government was NEVER rewarding banks for making bad loans.  There was no carrot on the governmental side only a stick.  Your acting like there was some governmental rewards program in place for those banks that made riskier and riskier loans to everyone that came through the door.

Of course the banks had a choice.  They could have turned down the applications.  When the guy came in with no assests, no credit, and no downpayment asking for a 500,000 dollar loan the bank could have said NO.  Even if he was a minority in the poorest of areas, the bank could have said NO and still not been in violation of the CRA.



In 1995 William A. Niskanen, a member of the CATO institute testified before congress advocating the repeal of the CRA.  His reasoning:

"The above comparisons should be sufficient to illustrate why the Community Reinvestment Act should be repealed. Current regulations are only moderately costly but are otherwise innocuous. The proposed new regulations would be very costly to the economy, to the banking system, and to the communities they serve. Congress should be most critical of proposals to use regulatory powers to reallocate credit, either across neighborhoods or among groups. The primary long term effect of such measures would be to further contract the banking system, increasing the number of neighborhoods dependent on check cashing outlets and pawnshops."

http://www.cato.org/testimony/ct-ni3-8.html

He predicted, as any sane economist would, that forcing banks to engage in costly, unprofitable ventures would cause them constrict the services they offered in order to remain profitable.  This what happens in industries where the government breaks out its stick.  The banks however were chasing a carrot, but that carrot wasn't being dangled by the government.

Quote:
Again, the CRA is the starting point of the chain of events... that which initiated all the rest.  Lots of other 'bad things' happened, but if you trace it back to a single starting point, it was the CRA.  (Not really the CRA, but the changes that Clinton made that went into effect in 96 if we want to be specific.)  There were many other contributing factors that occurred later and both Republicans and Democrats are at fault, but had the changes to the CRA never been made, then none of the other stuff would have happened and we wouldn't be having this debate.



Really??  So why are so many countries around the world having collapses in their real estate markets?  I'll ask this again.  Why did the exact same thing happen to Japan in the 80's.  Why is commercial realestate, which usually lags about a year and a half behind residential, slowly falling into the recessionary chasm.  All three of these can be explained by low interest rates fueling rampant speculation.  The CRA doesn't even factor in as it is US based and only applies to residential real estate.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Luddite]
    #9068690 -

So with all of this said, as my favorite teacher used to say "Anybody can blame somebody else for a problem, and it doesn't really matter if they're right or wrong, but it's few and far in between the person who can come up with a solution and put it into action".

What do you all suggest we do to fix this mess that we all MUST agree that we are in??

Peace.


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A society whose whole idea is to eliminate suffering and bring it's members the greatest amount of comfort and pleasure is doomed to be destroyed -Thomas Merton

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: whattheheck]
    #9068965 -

Quote:
What do you all suggest we do to fix this mess that we all MUST agree that we are in??



1. I think that all the banks that have gone bankrupt should not be bailed out.  Their assests should be autioned off to the highest bidder.

2.  Housing values need to fall to market dictated levels.  Right now the government is artifically supporting the bubble by lending the banks money and allowing them to keep the value of their toxic mortgages high.

3.  The fed needs to stop adjusting interest rates in its vain attempt to stimulate the economy.  There is mountains of historical evidence that this leads to the boom bust cycles seen in American business.

4.  Americans need to start saving more and begin to pay down the debt we owe other countries.  Right now our biggest export is our dollar, which we sell to people in order to purchase the goods they produce.  This house of cards will only last for so long.  In some ways the housing market is only one symptom of our far overextended credit.

That is what I believe will help alleviate our current crisis, although I think we still have a long way to go before our economy is back to a stable level.  Unfortunatly what I think will happen is Obama will get elected along with a fully democratic house and senate.  This will lead to a shitstorm of new bailouts, social programs, tax increases, and rampant spending.  From what I have seen neither Obama or Mccain have any clear vision on how to cut spending effectivly.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Phred]
    #9068996 -

I blame ALL of this on petrodollars, 911 and hollywood.


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GabbaDj

FAMM.ORG             

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Seuss]
    #9069043 -

If you are really interested in reading more about the CRA and its effects, this CATO article is excellent. Here are some highlights, but you should really take the time to read the entire piece.

http://www.cato.org/pubs/regulation/regv23n3/gunther.pdf

"Growth in lending to low-income neighborhoods by institutions outside cra"s jurisdiction suggests deregulation and technological advances have increased competition, lowered information costs, and increased access to financial services. As a result, a good part of the lending in low-income neighborhoods by financial institutions subject to cra also might reflect those factors, rather than cra lending mandates.The available data support that proposition. Most of the recent growth in lending by cra-covered institutions in low-income neighborhoods has occurred in areas where the institutions do not operate banking offices and have no cra obligations.
The inescapable conclusion is that progress predicated on technology, financial innovation, and competition"not cra"has broadened the U.S. financial services marketplace."

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: DeepDish]
    #9069156 -

I agree, nobody, and I;m glad you faced up to the fact that this isn't some partisan thing, wants to suck it up and have us take our medicine.

Kinda like somebody starts to OD at a party you're throwing. You don't want to go through what it's going to take to get them medical help, not to mention the law may get involved and shoot, who wants the party to stop, so you just start stuffing more drugs down their throat o see if they can "work their way out of it".

At least that's how I see it.

Good, solid ideas. But lemme ask you this, since they're NOT going to do any of that sensible stuff, what are we going to be looking at a year or two from now when the house of cards does fall??


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A society whose whole idea is to eliminate suffering and bring it's members the greatest amount of comfort and pleasure is doomed to be destroyed -Thomas Merton

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: GabbaDj]
    #9069167 -

GabbaDj said:
I blame ALL of this on petrodollars, 911 and hollywood.



I think that the goofy kid from the "Hidden Valley Ranch" commercials also needs to step up and take his share of the blame.


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A society whose whole idea is to eliminate suffering and bring it's members the greatest amount of comfort and pleasure is doomed to be destroyed -Thomas Merton

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: johnm214]
    #9070119 -

johnm214 said:
Yossarian22 said:
But keep on scapegoating the poor and minorities.




GTFO with that


Phred and the other CRA opponents have never, to my knowledge, stated that blacks as a group are responsible for this- nor any other race.


By raising stupid claims of racism you denigrate real demonstrable injustice in society and reinforce the views of some that their whinning about race is justified because of these "everything is racist" folks.


The issue is people that didn't pay what they owed, and banks that lended to them (and the people that lended to them, in turn).  This has nothing to do with race and everything to do with public policy.



Blaming a civil rights legislation which in reality had at most a tangential influence on the situation for an international economic meltdown is scapegoating. Just because it's not explicit doesn't mean it's quite clear in the subtext: All of these problems are caused by racial minorities who were too irresponsible with their money. Instead of placing the blame where it belongs, the far right is trying to make it a racial issue, a referendum on affirmative action, by relying upon stereotypes of racial minorities and black people in particular. That is racism, even if the speaker isn't shouting "nigger" at the top of his lungs like someone at a McCain/Palin rally.

Of course, that's total bullshit- the failure of credit rating agencies, the total lack of oversight or regulation of the securities market(which allowed lenders to deceptively sell crap debt as high-rated secure investments), the total absence of restrictions/prudence placed on the part of major banks(who were given permission under Bush to take on obscene levels of debt), these were all mistakes which lead inevitably to this credit crisis. The CRA, which, as has been mentioned, was not designed to encourage subprime loans(It was only under Bush II that subprime loans were allowed to go towards banks' CRA requirements) clearly is not responsible for irresponsible lending as evidenced by the irrefutable fact that lending institutions not covered by the CRA were just as eagerly making irresponsible loans and to the same demographic(although loans to high-income individuals have been defaulting at a similar rate). At most, the CRA could be blamed for helping the housing bubble grow, but a housing bubble is inevitable in boom times and the current crisis is a lot more than a crash in the housing market- it's a meltdown of the entire financial sector. To blame that on the CRA is absurd on its face; at worst, it should be considered a minor contributing factor. The fact that the right is so eager to harp on the CRA complete with bullshit language like "social engineering" and "affirmative action" while ignoring the real cause of the problem, the laws that allowed companies to sell bad debt as safe investments and to gorge themselves on these securities, should tell you what they're interested in: not in the truth, not in finding solutions, but in scapegoating and further racially polarizing this election.

The good news is that outside of FreeRepublic and FoxNews, no one is actually buying the bullshit. Most people are thankfully smart enough to lay the blame on Republican economic policy, not them darkies.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: johnm214]
    #9070390 -

johnm214 said:
Yossarian22 said:
But keep on scapegoating the poor and minorities.




GTFO with that


Phred and the other CRA opponents have never, to my knowledge, stated that blacks as a group are responsible for this- nor any other race.



Thank you.  Clearly the racist here is Yossarian who assumes that any reference to bums and deadbeats means minorities.  Nice going, Yossarian, what you have done is fall prey to the nefarious tyranny of diminished expectations.  In your fucked up world view anything substandard is de facto minority.  Which is the well- spring of your paternalistic fascism.  Daniel Patrick Moynihan, a towering example of a vanishing breed, the Democrat thinker, understood this back in the 60s when he rightly predicted the destruction of the black family as a result of welfare.


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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: zappaisgod]
    #9070656 -

zappaisgod said:
johnm214 said:
Yossarian22 said:
But keep on scapegoating the poor and minorities.




GTFO with that


Phred and the other CRA opponents have never, to my knowledge, stated that blacks as a group are responsible for this- nor any other race.



Thank you.  Clearly the racist here is Yossarian who assumes that any reference to bums and deadbeats means minorities.  Nice going, Yossarian, what you have done is fall prey to the nefarious tyranny of diminished expectations.  In your fucked up world view anything substandard is de facto minority.  Which is the well- spring of your paternalistic fascism.  Daniel Patrick Moynihan, a towering example of a vanishing breed, the Democrat thinker, understood this back in the 60s when he rightly predicted the destruction of the black family as a result of welfare.



You're specifically attacking the CRA which was a civil-rights legislation designed to end racial discrimination amongst banks. Phred likened it to "affirmative action". It's clear you're not talking about "bums and deadbeats" but that you're clearly referring to racial minorities. It doesn't take a genius to figure it out, especially since the Southern strategy has been such a hallmark of Republic campaigning.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Yossarian22]
    #9070719 -

Quote:
Yossarian22 said:
It doesn't take a genius to figure it out, especially since the Southern strategy has been such a hallmark of Republic campaigning.



I'm from the southwest, whats the "Southern strategy"?


--------------------
America's debt problem is a "sign of leadership failure"

We have "reckless fiscal policies"

America has a debt problem and a failure of leadership.

Americans deserve better

Barack Obama

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Yossarian22]
    #9070799 -

Yossarian22 said:
Blaming a civil rights legislation which in reality had at most a tangential influence on the situation for an international economic meltdown is scapegoating.




so the CRA is not in fact economic but instead a racist piece
of civil rights legislation demanding that blacks get low
income loans? care to post a little proof?



Quote:
Just because it's not explicit doesn't mean it's quite clear in the subtext: All of these problems are caused by racial minorities who were too irresponsible with their money. Instead of placing the blame where it belongs, the far right is trying to make it a racial issue, a referendum on affirmative action, by relying upon stereotypes of racial minorities and black people in particular. That is racism, even if the speaker isn't shouting "nigger" at the top of his lungs like someone at a McCain/Palin rally.




can you show us where anyone said anything racial in regards
to the CRA and this financial crisis, seems the bigot may be
you as you're projecting this on the rest of us, stereotyping
of sorts, just because we dont see it like you do we must be
racists

Quote:
The CRA, which, as has been mentioned, was not designed to encourage subprime loans(It was only under Bush II that subprime loans were allowed to go towards banks' CRA requirements)



so the little bush was in office in 1998?


Quote:
Most people are thankfully smart enough to lay the blame on Republican economic policy, not them darkies.



except it's a democrat issue, they've blocked the legislation
that would have amended the problem before it got to this
point, they're the ones that claimed there was no problem,
they're the ones that enacted the supplemental legislation
that provided the catylist back in the '90s, thanks Bill
Clinton... the problem was brought to the forefront in 98,
again by the bush administration in 2001, again in 2003 and
every time the democrats said there was never a problem


the evidence is out there if you'll just look and quit trying
to make everything a racial issue


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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Yossarian22]
    #9074361 -

Quote:
Yossarian22 said:
Let me get this straight. Investment banks and insurance companies run by centimillionaires blow up, and it's the fault of Jimmy Carter, Bill Clinton, and poor minorities?




LOL!

It makes you wonder how anyone above the level of a clinical idiot could believe this garbage. Presumably when you're desperate you grasp at any straws that  support your delusion.

I just hope the free market fundamentalists will sit back and accept reality rather than continuing in their delusional fantasy. But I doubt it.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: riceandpeas]
    #9074743 -

> It makes you wonder how anyone above the level of a clinical idiot could believe this garbage.

As I have recommended for others, you would do well to take a long look in a mirror.

I don't think anybody is arguing that the CRA is the only issue that has led to the meltdown.  The argument that I have made, and heard from others, is that it is the nexus (core, or center) of the problem.  Had the CRA not existed, then the housing bubble and resulting meltdown would not have happened.  Everything else that happened, and there is a lot of it with many guilty players from both parties and from greed in the private sector, can be traced back to the CRA.  Had the CRA not been changed by Clinton, then none of the following abuses would have occurred.

Also, only Yossarian22 and a few other bigots are equating the CRA to minorities or racial issues.  The CRA was designed to help low income families, not any specific race, get loans.  Contrary to your racist viewpoint, low income does not discriminate.  Anybody from any race can be a victim of poverty.


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Just another spore in the wind.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Seuss]
    #9074767 -

There's lots of evidence to show beyond all doubt that CRA requirements didn't lead to predatory lending which caused the crisis. Around 80% of high-priced subprime loans were offered by financial institutions not even subject to CRA.

It's a myth being peddeled by conservatives in a bid to restore faith in the "free-market".

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: riceandpeas]
    #9074800 -

there's plenty of evidence showing CRA wasnt the only thing
responsible, lifting the strangle hold from banking was
another contributing factor, allowing them into investments
and insurance certainly helped, when banks started insuring
their own mortgages they were setting themselves up for failure
only there was an out, they could sell the bad paper when
people defaulted, why do you think this bank collapse included
the insurance industry? had banks not been issuing mortgage
insurance on their own loans maybe it would only have affected
the insurance industry

the CRA was simply the beginning

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Prisoner#1]
    #9075741 -

"Insuring their own mortgages?"  You are officially lost in space.


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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: zappaisgod]
    #9075931 -

am I?

it wasnt difficult for a subsidiary of wachovia to issue a
mortgage loan and through another daughter company provide PMI
in the even of default, this allowed them more tax breaks due to
losses on the interest as well as the insurance and the ability
for the bad mortgage to still be sold

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Prisoner#1]
    #9076285 -

PMIs were not the issue.  And it's not a tax break if you pay less taxes because you made less money.


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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: zappaisgod]
    #9076300 -

PMI is a small part of the issue just as the CRA

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Prisoner#1]
    #9076490 -

PMI is what homeowners buy.  It's not any part of the issue.  The insurance problem was when the banks bought debt insurance for their packages.  They did not buy it from themselves.  PMI = Private Mortgage Insurance.  A different beast entirely

The CRA is the genesis of the problem.  PMI has nothing at all to do with it.


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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: zappaisgod]
    #9076590 -

PMI is what home owners buy to ensure the bank is repaid in the
event that the buyer defaults, now with these sub prime loans
PMI is a mandatory thing especially when the buyer isnt
dropping a huge down payment and has a variable rate mortgage
as most hadok so the loans go into default, the PMI pays off
the bank,after a few hundred thousand there's no longer any
money from these bank owned insurance companies to pay on the
million more defaulted loans.... seeing the correlation yet?

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: Prisoner#1]
    #9077031 -

You are incorrect about how PMI works.  They make up the difference between what is owed and what the house is sold for.  And even then, the PMI company tries to make a deal that the owner pays some of the diff.  PMI is not even a tiny part of the problem.  Have you heard anybody make an argument that PMI companies are in trouble because of all they have had to pay out?  Because I haven't.  The insurance being whined about is interbank insurance, credit default swaps.  Not PMI.


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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: zappaisgod]
    #9077329 -

of course there's no links what soever

http://www.moneyshow.com/investing/blog.asp?aid=blog-15125

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: zappaisgod]
    #9084006 -

Quote:
Have you heard anybody make an argument that PMI companies are in trouble because of all they have had to pay out?  Because I haven't.  The insurance being whined about is interbank insurance, credit default swaps.  Not PMI.



Here's the chart for the 4 big PMI companies:
http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=TGIC#chart4:symbol=tgic;range=5y;compare=rdn+mgic+pmi;indicator=volume;charttype=line;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=off;source=undefined

Notice how three of them are down over 90% in the last year?

Anyway, I'm not sure if this is really pertinent to whatever point you're trying to make about the CRA, but the PMI companies are definitely troubled, though I suspect at least MGIC and one of Radian and PMI will probably survive - Triad is actually in run-off, if I remember correctly - it's a while since I've looked. These are old and experienced players in the mortgage markets, and aren't responsible for the bubble, AFAIK. Of course, neither is CRA.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: phi1618]
    #9085410 -

phi1618 said:
Quote:
Have you heard anybody make an argument that PMI companies are in trouble because of all they have had to pay out?  Because I haven't.  The insurance being whined about is interbank insurance, credit default swaps.  Not PMI.



Here's the chart for the 4 big PMI companies:
http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=TGIC#chart4:symbol=tgic;range=5y;compare=rdn+mgic+pmi;indicator=volume;charttype=line;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=off;source=undefined

Notice how three of them are down over 90% in the last year?



That refers to their stock price.  Have any of them declared bankruptcy or defaulted on their policies?  Gotten bailouts?  I haven't heard of it if they had.
Quote:
Anyway, I'm not sure if this is really pertinent to whatever point you're trying to make about the CRA, but the PMI companies are definitely troubled, though I suspect at least MGIC and one of Radian and PMI will probably survive - Triad is actually in run-off, if I remember correctly - it's a while since I've looked. These are old and experienced players in the mortgage markets, and aren't responsible for the bubble, AFAIK. Of course, neither is CRA.



As has been gone over several times, the combination of affirmative action loans (CRA)with guaranteed suckers (F & F) to purchase said AA loans has definitely brought the industry down.  The single greatest cause of the collapse (and the bubble itself) was gummint interference in the industry.  Not a lack of or over-regulation but a pernicious interference to impose a standard of lending to unreliable borrowers.  Who, shocker, didn't pay their loans back.

It reminds me of that TV show about the dream home or whatever.  They select a family, build a house for them and then give it to them.  Well, one family didn't think that was enough, they took a mortgage out, got the cash, blew the cash and are now going to lose their home.  While the lender also gets fucked.  CRA to the extreme.  Bums to the extreme.


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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: zappaisgod]
    #9085467 -

Triad is in run-off, meaning it's stopped writing new business and will be gone in a few years. Radian and PMI are also close to similar fates.
In my mind, this qualifies as "in trouble." But, they're not likely to require any government bailout, and were overall more responsible in the mess than some other companies - their policies just weren't underwritten - with the exception of MGIC - to withstand such a large national property bubble and collapse.

Anyway, I don't think you, or anyone else, has posted a real argument on this topic. You have a logical outline and explanation for what occurred - gubmint interference caused lax lending standards at the low end that spread through the whole market - but have failed to produce any data to support the claim.

None of the people I trust on the issue - those who've either made a lot of money from the issue, predicted it publicly, or have real, verifiable qualifications and engaged in open and public debate on the issue - have taken your side on this issue.

I have produced data that suggests that you're wrong - the proportion of mortgages securitized or guaranteed by the GSEs fell during the bubble, there were similar bubbles at the same time in other countries that lack the CRA, the bubble was not limited to lower income or black areas, the default rates were highest in certain non-GSE CMOs, property bubbles are common in history without the necessity for the CRA.

I don't believe you understand what the CRA is, or does, and I don't believe you've ever worked on CRA compliance. Tanta and Calculated Risk have - they are both industry insiders with experience, have been blogging on the subject for years, and understand what the CRA is, it's history, and what it does - you can read a little of the pertinent history here:
http://calculatedrisk.blogspot.com/2007/10/hmda-data-on-high-priced-loans.html

I have suggested an alternate explanation that has greater explanatory and predictive power: credit, liquidity, and exuberance; or easy money and psychology. These are the factors cited by those who predicted the collapse. Nobody is talking about the CRA except right-wing pundits!

I have pointed to some sources of liquidity in the system:
China
gulf states
SIVs, unregulated specialty financial companies, and securitization, which allowed unregulated levels of leverage in the financial system - this is the factor most cited by Nouriel Roubini, a respected and established economist who has been most accurate in publicly predicting the course of the crisis to this point
Central banks, led by the Federal Reserve
...

Combined with this was a securitization system that resulted in a rampant principal-agent problem.

edijt for spliing

Edited by phi1618 (10/16/08 08:04 AM)

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: phi1618]
    #9086008 -

Calculatedrisk, for some reason seems to be a favorite.  I dunno, I checked it out and it's an anonymous retired blogger guy.  Tanta too.  I just went there right now and one of the first sentences, from Tanta, is this:

Quote:
Trust the Wall Street Journal to fail to understand the point of reporting regulation.



Part of a diatribe in favor of affirmative action loans.

Come on.  The Wall Street Journal is probably the most respected financial publication in the entire world.  Some anonymous guy writes "Trust the Wall Street Journal to fail to understand". This kind of stuff is a little bit off the wall.  Not to descend into an ad hominem but if this is your idea of an authority, and you present their points as authoritative, then they really need to be a little more forthcoming about their credentials.  Absolutely nothing from anonymous nobodies.  From the about page:

Quote:
Calculated Risk: a senior executive, retired from a public company, with a background in investing, finance and economics.

Tanta: Tanta is a former bank officer and mortgage lending specialist who is currently on extended medical leave.




I could fisk them but there is no reason to.  Numerous people, with credentials and a name attached have done enough to refute their stuff.


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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: zappaisgod]
    #9086144 -

It wasn't part of a diatribe in favor of affirmative action loans, but pointing out a flaw in a newspaper analysis - specifically, that a high price in HMDA doesn't indicate a subprime loan. Nothing more, nothing political at all. The point of that article isn't the point I made linking it at all - I only was asking you to read her history of HMDA and CRA, which she includes as necessary background for the point she was trying to make about the WSJ article.
AFAIK, neither CR nor Tanta (bloggers on Calculated Risk) has expressed a clear personal opinion on CRA, and it is not a political blog.

Calculated Risk, for me, falls into the category "predicted it publicly", since he's publicly been worried about the housing bubble and it's likely economic consequences since he started blogging in 2005, while prices were still rising.

Also, his blog is cited in some others:
http://www.econbrowser.com/ is a nice, non-partisan economics blog by Jim Hamilton and Menzie Chinn, both well respected economists - you can find a link to Calculated Risk in the right hand column if you scroll down a bit

You can see here:
http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2005/09/21/rita-over-at-calculated-risk/
that Brad Setser reads Calculated Risk - he's an economist for the Council on Foreign relations and possibly the greatest expert on flow of funds
He also has a much shorter blogroll than Jim Hamilton, that includes Calculated Risk.

Greg Mankiw, a well respected entirely and unabashedly Republican economist at Harvard apparently reads Calculated Risk:
http://gregmankiw.blogspot.com/2008/03/subprime-mortgage-blues.html

Krugman, though liberal, is a Nobel laureate and has referred to Calculated Risk as (emphasis his) "the housing crisis blog":
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/01/22/silver-lining-to-the-financial-crisis/

edit: couldn't resist, here's another good one
The economists at the Atlanta Fed have their own blog, which has engaged in extensive debates and discussions with Calculated Risk:
http://macroblog.typepad.com/macroblog/2007/03/here_is_the_key.html

Plenty more, but that's enough to show he's not a total unknown on the subject.

Quote:
Numerous people, with credentials and a name attached have done enough to refute their stuff.



Apparently, you don't even know what their stuff is, since you thought the article I linked was a "diatribe in favor of affirmative action loans," which it was not.


Also, why concentrate on my affection for a single, anonymous blogger? How about my arguments?

How about the other experts I talk about? Warren Buffet, Bill Gross, John Paulson,  Nouriel Roubini, just to name a few?

Edited by phi1618 (10/16/08 11:48 AM)

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: zappaisgod]
    #9086212 -

Quote:
Come on.  The Wall Street Journal is probably the most respected financial publication in the entire world



So if someone were to post a New York Times article, they could defend it against attack by saying that the NYT is one of the most respected news reporting publications in the world?  You fail to acknowledge that both of the blogs PREDICTED the collapse.  Did the wall street journal predict the collapse?  What other respectable mainstream economists that you know agree with, were actually writing about how the housing market would collapse pre 2006?  Can you find a single source pre 2006 that both predicts the collapse of the housing market and offers some sort of comprehensive analysis as to why the CRA is to blame?  I've included below a video of Peter Schiff, president of Euro Pacific Capital, giving a very similar prediction of the housing market collapse.  The great thing about the video is he is giving his speech to a group of mortgage brokers in Las Vegas during the height of the housing boom.  Count for me how many times the CRA is mentioned.




The video actually has 8 parts, but instead of embedding them here anyone interested in watching the rest can go to youtube.


Quote:
I could fisk them but there is no reason to.  Numerous people, with credentials and a name attached have done enough to refute their stuff.



Your bluffing.  Post an article directly refuting their analysis.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: DeepDish]
    #9086227 -

There're a couple of economists from American Enterprise Institute that published an after-the-crisis op-ed piece in WSJ blaming it on CRA.

Peter Schiff is another good one I missed - plenty of people were on top of this, just none of the ones who're talking about CRA now.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: phi1618]
    #9086248 -

I see all that and I disagree with you about your assessment of the Tanta post on the front page.  It is about affirmative action.  The second he mentions race it becomes an affirmative action issue.  He is in favor of it.  Since some lenders discriminated the gummint decide all lenders must bend over backwards to make up for it.  Affirmative Action.

Paul Krugman won the Nobel for work he did in the seventies.  Then there is the whole Nobel Prize issue, vis a vis what it has become.
http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=ZDBiYzIxYzNhMmNmNDkwMmYxZjJmNDEyYzEzNmZmOTQ=

This one's even better
http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=NmZmMzlmZjU4NDVlMmFlZWRlZDM4YjZiYmRmYjc4NDQ=
Quote:
Krugman’s Posthumous Nobel
The living Krugman’s rabidly liberal New York Times column has, for nine years now, traded on the dead Krugman’s reputation as an economist, a reputation that only will be burnished by the award of the Nobel Prize. Yet his column is pure politics, not economics. It is the equivalent of astronomers Mather and Smoot — the 2006 Nobelists in physics — writing on astrology.




You really should not use anonymous bloggers as authoritative sources.  Nor Krugman.  Nothing Krugman says today should be granted any additional credibility because he won a Nobel for work 30 years ago.  In fact, it begs the question, "What the fuck happened to you, Paully, you showed such promise?"


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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: DeepDish]
    #9086261 -

DeepDish said:
You fail to acknowledge that both of the blogs PREDICTED the collapse.  What other respectable mainstream economists that you know agree with, were actually writing about how the housing market would collapse pre 2006?



http://timesbusiness.typepad.com/money_weblog/2008/10/10-people-who-p.html

Quote:
Did the wall street journal predict the collapse?



yes

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: zappaisgod]
    #9086308 -

The post refers back to a post by CR. Here's the distilled essence, from that post:
Quote:
The WSJ used the federal Home Mortgage Disclosure Act data to scan for "high interest loans". My understanding is that not all "high interest" loans are "subprime", some are Alt-A. And I'm not sure if this analysis included IO ARMs and Neg Am ARMs; two loan types frequently used by homebuyers in more affluent areas. Hopefully Tanta will help me understand.



btw, they agree with the main point of the article, they're questioning its analysis.

other point:
Again, why cherry-pick Krugman? I provided Mankiw, a vocal Republican, as a reference as well?

Edited by phi1618 (10/16/08 12:15 PM)

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: phi1618]
    #9086395 -

I just reread your post.  All these guys you cite read calculatedrisk.  That is what you mention, that they read calculatedrisk.  What do they themselves say?  I bet there are several people at the Wall Street Journal who read him/them too.

There has been no shortage of named and respected economists pegging this problem at exactly the combination of CRA and F&F twins that I and several others here assert.  (including John McCain, the economic idiot, three years ago).  Further, it seems to me, that anything that avoids the CRA and the F twins is dancing through hoops to get away from it.  I cannot for the life of me understand why any serious observer would deny that the entire problem stems from people not paying back loans.  The next question is, obviously, why are they not paying back their loans?  There was no faltering economy.  Then what must it be?  Individual people making bad decisions and defaulting on loans.  Individual people who were well known to be credit risks but who lived in neighborhoods full of bad credit risks.  The affirmative action answer was to extend credit to people who lived there who sucked.  Because it was kind.  And gentle.  And sucky people should have the same credit as real people.  Who work and save and put their own money into their homes.  And that's what they did and the sucky people couldn't or wouldn't pay the money back. 

I know personally about this.  Often friends who I knew were losers would ask to borrow money from me.  Sometimes I would lend them money.  They wouldn't pay it back.  I would be out money.  Lesson to me, "Don't lend money to people you know are bums".  Mooks.  The banks knew this but then the gummint stepped in and said they should lend money to bums even if they knew they were bums.  To sweeten the deal they offered favorable rates and created two agencies to buy the crummy loans after they were made.  Yippee, they can look like a good guy and some other schmuck will be stuck with the detritus.  What's the down side?  Meanwhile, this drove up prices and left responsible people with the bill.

This shit is so obvious that everybody arguing against it is squirming through hoops to refute it to get to some notion of politically correct conclusions.  There are a lot more bums than there are Wall street execs so let's blame Wall street.  Meanwhile, all the regular people who bought stock are fucked.  Because of, in the beginning, loans that never should have been made in the first place.  Derivatives my ass.


--------------------

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: phi1618]
    #9086435 -

phi1618 said:
other point:
Again, why cherry-pick Krugman? I provided Mankiw, a vocal Republican, as a reference as well?



Because I don't know Mankiw.  I know Krugman.  I get the Times everyday.  He is so far gone.
Give me a break, I can't get familiar with all those guys in one little session.  All you said about Mankiw is that he reads calculatedrisk.  And I may disagree with him as well.  I just don't know what he says.


--------------------

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: zappaisgod]
    #9086845 -

I've said this before, but here goes:
1)during the bubble, the twins market share declined
2)most foreclosures are not on CRA loans
3)the housing bubble was world-wide, not limited to the US
4)the housing bubble affected all income levels; in fact, jumbo mortgages (460k+ or something like that, until recently) were some of the hardest hit
5)stock prices are not just a product of the bursting of the housing bubble, but are also a product of overall deleveraging
6)There have been plenty of RE bubbles in the past and in other places at other times without the help of the twins or CRA
7)CRA and the GSEs have been around much longer than the housing bubble

Quote:
the entire problem stems from people not paying back loans.



I agree that a large part of the problem is people taking out loans they don't have the ability to pay back.

Quote:
why are they not paying back their loans?



Many loans could only be paid back if they could be refinanced when the collateral was worth more. Please see my thread on Bill Gross for why house prices stopped going up - it was the increase in interest rates that was the initial trigger for the process, but of course, like an avalanche, the problem is not the trigger but the unstable situation preceding it.

Quote:
Individual people making bad decisions and defaulting on loans.



Defaulting on the loan isn't always the bad decision, though it could be; in this case, many of the mortgages were inherently unmanageable in the absence of rising house prices.

Quote:
Individual people who were well known to be credit risks but who lived in neighborhoods full of bad credit risks.  The affirmative action answer was to extend credit to people who lived there who sucked.  Because it was kind.  And gentle.  And sucky people should have the same credit as real people.  Who work and save and put their own money into their homes.  And that's what they did and the sucky people couldn't or wouldn't pay the money back. 



That's quite a mouthful.
Can you break it down, please? Track the course of the crisis, show that the decline in house prices was caused by neighborhoods impacted by the CRA?

Please, go read my post about Bill Gross. He's a smart guy, and knew that house prices would fall.

Consider:
What happened to the money that houses used to be worth?
What happened to the money stocks used to be worth?
Why, relative to houses and stocks, is money suddenly so much more valuable?

The answer is this: a significant slug of leverage (debt) has been forced out of the system, either through repayment or default, and there's necessarily an accompanying destruction of value.

The problem goes so much further than housing, it's depressing. The problem is simply too much credit, too much debt, too much liquidity for too long pushing up asset prices and eroding balance sheets.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: phi1618]
    #9087110 -

phi1618 said:
I've said this before, but here goes:
1)during the bubble, the twins market share declined



And towards the end of the bubble it increased drastically.  It took a little while for the loans to reach the sucker of last resort.  Nonetheless, the people making the loans were motivated by the existence of the sucker of last resort.  The argument here is moot.
Quote:
2)most foreclosures are not on CRA loans


  So what?  What is a CRA loan anyway?  It is a pernicious influence of gummint to effect lending habits, not a specific loan program that you can say the name of.
Quote:
3)the housing bubble was world-wide, not limited to the US



True.  As America goes, vis a vis money, so goes the world.  I'll tell you one place we didn't fuck up.  Iceland.
Quote:
4)the housing bubble affected all income levels; in fact, jumbo mortgages (460k+ or something like that, until recently) were some of the hardest hit



Hardest hit?  By what?  A little known fact is that jumbos don't give a fuck.  The only people negatively impacted by a bubble are newbies.  The only people negatively affected by a burst bubble are geezers cashing out right then.  All in all, except for credit market losses hoeowners don't care.  Sell high-buy high.  Sell low-buy low.
Quote:
 
5)stock prices are not just a product of the bursting of the housing bubble, but are also a product of overall deleveraging



True.  I think it's pretty clear which came first, isn't it?  No defaulted loans; no stock bomb.  I think what we have in the stock market right now is generally called a buying opportunity.
Quote:
6)There have been plenty of RE bubbles in the past and in other places at other times without the help of the twins or CRA.


  Yep, there have. 
Quote:
7)CRA and the GSEs have been around much longer than the housing bubble.  The CRA and the GSEs have been around for quite some time.


  They have also been fundamentally modified only within the last decade.  Those fundamental modifications have been the death of them.  And those fundamental modifications were a result of an asshole philosophy that predates two world wars.  So what?  It took decades for the Soviet Union to implode.
Quote:
Quote:
the entire problem stems from people not paying back loans.



I agree that a large part of the problem is people taking out loans they don't have the ability to pay back.

Quote:
why are they not paying back their loans?



Many loans could only be paid back if they could be refinanced when the collateral was worth more. Please see my thread on Bill Gross for why house prices stopped going up - it was the increase in interest rates that was the initial trigger for the process, but of course, like an avalanche, the problem is not the trigger but the unstable situation preceding it.

Quote:
Individual people making bad decisions and defaulting on loans.



Defaulting on the loan isn't always the bad decision, though it could be; in this case, many of the mortgages were inherently unmanageable in the absence of rising house prices.

Quote:
Individual people who were well known to be credit risks but who lived in neighborhoods full of bad credit risks.  The affirmative action answer was to extend credit to people who lived there who sucked.  Because it was kind.  And gentle.  And sucky people should have the same credit as real people.  Who work and save and put their own money into their homes.  And that's what they did and the sucky people couldn't or wouldn't pay the money back. 



That's quite a mouthful.
Can you break it down, please? Track the course of the crisis, show that the decline in house prices was caused by neighborhoods impacted by the CRA?



You keep thinking that it only had to be in the CRA neighborhoods to fuck shit up.  Phred has explained this quite clearly.  You cannot contain entitlements.  Once somebody gets something you cannot deny anybody the same thing.  Reread that until it sinks in.
Quote:
Please, go read my post about Bill Gross. He's a smart guy, and knew that house prices would fall.



For my entire life there has always been somebody saying house prices were going to fall.  In about 1 in 5 years they're right.  That is not a good ratio.
Quote:
Consider:
What happened to the money that houses used to be worth?
What happened to the money stocks used to be worth?
Why, relative to houses and stocks, is money suddenly so much more valuable?



Perception.  Thanks a lot media
Quote:
The answer is this: a significant slug of leverage (debt) has been forced out of the system, either through repayment or default, and there's necessarily an accompanying destruction of value.

The problem goes so much further than housing, it's depressing. The problem is simply too much credit, too much debt, too much liquidity for too long pushing up asset prices and eroding balance sheets.


\

It is ever only confidence.  The belief that the person you are lending money to will pay it back.  Or you can not lend money and not borrow money.  Let's forbid all lending.  How do you reckon that will work?  Who should determine what is too much?  Not enough?  Just right?


--------------------

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: zappaisgod]
    #9087508 -

I read your response. I think we agree that if people had the ability and willingness to pay back their loans, we wouldn't be having this problem, and on not much else. Been fun chatting with you.

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: phi1618]
    #9087841 -

You and I DO have good chats.  I enjoy them very much myself.


--------------------

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Re: Social Engineering by Democrats Destroys the World's Financial Markets [Re: zappaisgod]
    #9089899 -

Do you really believe that but for the CRA everything would be fine and dandy in the financial industry now?

Was it really all down to the government insisting they make enormous profits and see executive bonuses skyrocket?

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