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whattheheck
Chief Love Lover



Registered: 06/01/07
Posts: 7,380
Loc: Denver Colorado
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Re: New Gallup Poll: Convention lifts McCain over Obama (54%-44% among Likely Voters) [Re: Annapurna1]
#8894240 - 09/08/08 12:48 AM (15 years, 4 months ago) |
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What do you mean "it's not even close"??
-------------------- A society whose whole idea is to eliminate suffering and bring it's members the greatest amount of comfort and pleasure is doomed to be destroyed -Thomas Merton
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Coaster
Baʿal



Registered: 05/22/06
Posts: 33,501
Loc: Deep in the Valley
Last seen: 12 years, 3 months
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Re: New Gallup Poll: Convention lifts McCain over Obama (54%-44% among Likely Voters) [Re: whattheheck]
#8894248 - 09/08/08 12:49 AM (15 years, 4 months ago) |
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Coaster
Baʿal



Registered: 05/22/06
Posts: 33,501
Loc: Deep in the Valley
Last seen: 12 years, 3 months
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Re: New Gallup Poll: Convention lifts McCain over Obama (54%-44% among Likely Voters) [Re: Coaster]
#8894250 - 09/08/08 12:49 AM (15 years, 4 months ago) |
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Annapurna1
liberal pussy


Registered: 05/21/02
Posts: 5,646
Loc: innsmouth..MA
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Re: New Gallup Poll: Convention lifts McCain over Obama (54%-44% among Likely Voters) [Re: whattheheck]
#8894319 - 09/08/08 01:06 AM (15 years, 4 months ago) |
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54-44 isnt what i would call "close"...in either case..if were going to elect nazis..then it might as well be with a landslide.. not that it would change my mind about them...
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"anchor blocks counteract the process of pontiprobation..while omalean globes regulize the pressure"...
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whattheheck
Chief Love Lover



Registered: 06/01/07
Posts: 7,380
Loc: Denver Colorado
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Re: New Gallup Poll: Convention lifts McCain over Obama (54%-44% among Likely Voters) [Re: Annapurna1]
#8894331 - 09/08/08 01:11 AM (15 years, 4 months ago) |
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The real election has just started. Kinda like the back nine hole of a golf tournament, everything until now has been to just get into position.
This will be interesting.
-------------------- A society whose whole idea is to eliminate suffering and bring it's members the greatest amount of comfort and pleasure is doomed to be destroyed -Thomas Merton
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Redstorm
Prince of Bugs




Registered: 10/08/02
Posts: 44,175
Last seen: 3 months, 9 days
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Re: New Gallup Poll: Convention lifts McCain over Obama (54%-44% among Likely Voters) [Re: Annapurna1]
#8895223 - 09/08/08 08:16 AM (15 years, 4 months ago) |
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Quote:
Annapurna1 said: 54-44 isnt what i would call "close"...in either case..if were going to elect nazis..then it might as well be with a landslide.. not that it would change my mind about them...
Do you have the worst reading comprehension skills in the history of mankind? Did you not see all the other polls posted that are a dead heat?
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Syle
Kenai Sigh


Registered: 10/16/05
Posts: 6,678
Loc: WA
Last seen: 10 months, 25 days
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Re: New Gallup Poll: Convention lifts McCain over Obama (54%-44% among Likely Voters) [Re: Annapurna1]
#8895246 - 09/08/08 08:24 AM (15 years, 4 months ago) |
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Quote:
Annapurna1 said: looks like it wont be a close vote after all...
that having been said..there actually seems to be a major neocon backlash..if not an all-out coup..happening as we speak...the crowds at palin/mccain rallies have become positively nazi-like...
which convention did you watch!? at the DNC, I saw some very timid and mild mannered protesters...at the RNC, I thought I was watching clips from the Kosovo War.
lefty protesters were packing Molotov cocktails...I have yet to see any righties go THAT far.
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Ferris
PsychedelicJourneyman



Registered: 03/12/06
Posts: 11,529
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Re: New Gallup Poll: Convention lifts McCain over Obama (54%-44% among Likely Voters) [Re: Syle]
#8898436 - 09/08/08 08:16 PM (15 years, 4 months ago) |
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The poll this thread is referring to is the USATODAY/Gallup poll with a sample size of 823 likely voters (may I remind you this will most definitely be a high turnout election). The actual Gallup poll, conducted on the same day, with a sample size of 2733 registered voters, has it at 49-44, McCain over Obama.
A couple things to remember: this is probably a temporary boost in McCain's numbers, and will fall at minimum a couple points across the board on all polls over the next couple days; and that even if the poll the OP refers to is a reflection of a more permanent change in the election, it is still within the margin of error of 4%, making it a virtual tie at 50-50.
PS: the Zogby Poll of 2312 likely voters the day before had 50-46 McCain over Obama. The large majority of previous polls place Obama ahead.
Source data:
http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/election2008/poll-tracker.htm
See my electoral votes thread if you want to learn/discuss how these polls make it seem closer than it really is. It's still going to come down to Ohio and Florida (and to a lesser extent Iowa, etc), like it has the last couple elections.
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thedefone
deus ex machina

Registered: 10/06/07
Posts: 1,883
Loc: Gondwana
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Re: New Gallup Poll: Convention lifts McCain over Obama (54%-44% among Likely Voters) [Re: Ferris]
#8898640 - 09/08/08 08:49 PM (15 years, 4 months ago) |
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Quote:
It's still going to come down to Ohio and Florida (and to a lesser extent Iowa, etc), like it has the last couple elections.
I disagree. While the traditional battlegrounds of Ohio and Florida are crucial, I think that if the election is going to be determined by one state, that state is more likely to be Colorado or Virginia. While Obama has made gains in FL, I think it's very possible that McCain takes them and probably Ohio as well.
Here's the reason I think that Obama will win.. Provided he takes Iowa and New Mexico (where he has commanding leads- IA, NM) all he needs to do is win the Kerry states, plus any ONE of the hotly contested battlegrounds of CO/FL/OH/VA. From an electoral standpoint, Obama has a pretty substantial lead.
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I am become death, the destroyer of worlds.
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Ferris
PsychedelicJourneyman



Registered: 03/12/06
Posts: 11,529
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Re: New Gallup Poll: Convention lifts McCain over Obama (54%-44% among Likely Voters) [Re: thedefone]
#8898669 - 09/08/08 08:54 PM (15 years, 4 months ago) |
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Those are pretty much my thoughts exactly, in so many words.
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