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Shop: North Spore Cultivation Supplies   Bridgetown Botanicals Bridgetown Botanicals   Unfolding Nature Unfolding Nature: Being in the Implicate Order

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I watch Fox News
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Registered: 03/23/06
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Why hurricane frequency will decrease
    #8420527 - 05/19/08 03:37 PM (16 years, 2 days ago)

We need to use more coal, not just for generating electricity, but for use in making liquid fuels like gasoline and diesel.

Letter abstract

Nature Geoscience
Published online: 18 May 2008 | doi:10.1038/ngeo202

Simulated reduction in Atlantic hurricane frequency under twenty-first-century warming conditions
Thomas R. Knutson, Joseph J. Sirutis, Stephen T. Garner, Gabriel A. Vecchi & Isaac M. Held

Increasing sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic Ocean and measures of Atlantic hurricane activity have been reported to be strongly correlated since at least 1950 (refs 1, 2, 3, 4, 5), raising concerns that future greenhouse-gas-induced warming6 could lead to pronounced increases in hurricane activity. Models that explicitly simulate hurricanes are needed to study the influence of warming ocean temperatures on Atlantic hurricane activity, complementing empirical approaches. Our regional climate model of the Atlantic basin reproduces the observed rise in hurricane counts between 1980 and 2006, along with much of the interannual variability, when forced with observed sea surface temperatures and atmospheric conditions7. Here we assess, in our model system7, the changes in large-scale climate that are projected to occur by the end of the twenty-first century by an ensemble of global climate models8, and find that Atlantic hurricane and tropical storm frequencies are reduced. At the same time, near-storm rainfall rates increase substantially. Our results do not support the notion of large increasing trends in either tropical storm or hurricane frequency driven by increases in atmospheric greenhouse-gas concentrations.

NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, New Jersey 08542, USA

Correspondence to: Thomas R. Knutson e-mail: Tom.Knutson@noaa.gov


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Error: divide byzero

Folding@home Statistics
Registered: 04/27/01
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Re: Why hurricane frequency will decrease [Re: Luddite]
    #8423164 - 05/20/08 04:21 AM (16 years, 2 days ago)

But for the last ten years the Global Warming Truthers have been truthing us about the dangers of global warming increasing the number of hurricanes in the Atlantic ocean. How could they possibly have been wrong?

Just another spore in the wind.

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Chaos to Cosmos

Registered: 05/18/08 Happy 16th Shroomiversary!
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Re: Why hurricane frequency will decrease [Re: Seuss]
    #8424653 - 05/20/08 04:14 PM (16 years, 1 day ago)

Global warming DOES suck..

So yeah, I'm here in FL, barely any rain.. no bad hurricanes in a few years :F


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Re: Why hurricane frequency will decrease [Re: Luddite]
    #8424745 - 05/20/08 04:41 PM (16 years, 1 day ago)

Coal is finite though, once it's gone there's nothing left to mine. There's oil rigs off shore of louisiana that refill


Makes sense if it's condensed methane.


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