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ManianFH
living in perverty



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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ohngoing Discussion [Re: geokills]
#28261341 - 04/03/23 11:09 PM (9 months, 20 days ago) |
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That is awesome man, so cool they lit it up with your vid. I watched it - and am one of those 30 , and though I can count the number of times I’ve hit the slopes on two hands you have seriously inspired me! Next year, snow!!
I have a chance to hit up San Simeon one last time before my uncle sells their property - I was thinking of just letting the opportunity go since we’d still be working (it is my kiddos spring break however), and would have to shorten the trip anyway due to a camping reservation but you got me all YOLO up in here . Maybe will give him a call and see if I can work it out.
Might sell off my XLE, and pare some VZ heading into the long weekend, depending on how this week shakes out. Not a ton of trading to do, but I was happy to see XLE make up for a knee jerk sell decision I made about a month ago.
-------------------- notapillow said: "you are going about this endeavor all wrong. clear your mind of useless fear and concern. buy the ticket, take the ride, and all that.... " ChrisWho said: "It's all about the journey, not the destination."
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Baby_Hitler
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ohngoing Discussion [Re: ManianFH]
#28263237 - 04/05/23 08:51 AM (9 months, 19 days ago) |
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AI down like 35% right now over some company (who is shorting AI stock) writing a letter saying their accounting practices are bad or something.
-------------------- Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ (•_•) <) )~ ANTIFA / \ \(•_•) ( (> SUPER / \ (•_•) <) )> SOLDIERS / \
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gopher
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ohngoing Discussion [Re: Baby_Hitler]
#28263339 - 04/05/23 09:51 AM (9 months, 19 days ago) |
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My silver stock PSLV is soaring, I'm personally up $75 according to my app and thats after selling some a few days ago, if I get to the $100 point I'll sell some more to pay off my credit card haha instead of my plan to pay it off in may, I recently went into debt buying metal detctor stuff
-------------------- For most of the normies out there, an operating system is just a bootloader for Google Chrome. Since Disney has obtained tremendous value from the public domain, knows how important the public domain is, and is firmly determined to never contribute anything to it. My pronouns are He and Him, and my adjectives are Fat and Jazzy
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ManianFH
living in perverty



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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ohngoing Discussion [Re: Baby_Hitler]
#28263518 - 04/05/23 11:41 AM (9 months, 19 days ago) |
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Quote:
Baby_Hitler said: AI down like 35% right now over some company (who is shorting AI stock) writing a letter saying their accounting practices are bad or something.
I would like to see it continue to drop, so I can buy more
MORE!!!!
-------------------- notapillow said: "you are going about this endeavor all wrong. clear your mind of useless fear and concern. buy the ticket, take the ride, and all that.... " ChrisWho said: "It's all about the journey, not the destination."
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encryptor


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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ohngoing Discussion [Re: ManianFH]
#28266187 - 04/06/23 11:11 PM (9 months, 17 days ago) |
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Thoughts on UNH right now? Looks good going into earnings on April 14th.
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geokills
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ohngoing Discussion [Re: encryptor] 1
#28274157 - 04/12/23 09:14 AM (9 months, 12 days ago) |
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UNH has been solid of late. If you took the breakout and ratcheted up your stop to the prior day's lows, you would've been kept in the trade for 7 trading days so far and up some 9%. However, you know my feelings on taking positions ahead of earnings. And I'll go farther to say that if a stock has ripped higher right before earnings, that's all the more reason to be additionally cautious, as traders are pricing in high expectations in front of the report, which in turn increases the probability that the actual report will disappoint relative to the built in expectations.
Separately, I am taking off a lot of exposure this morning. The market has run very nicely over the past month, and is now floundering around resistance (even as this could be considered a bull flag on the SPY and QQQ). I am up 22% in my trading account, and it's time for me to circle the wagons and not get too greedy. It does appear that the market is pricing in expectations that the Fed is soon to be halting their rate hike campaign, and even lowering rates in 2024. That makes the market look fairly attractive, but in attempts to be mindful of the always present ebb and flow in the markets, we are starting to lean into greed psychology here, short term at least.
The action this morning is not catastrophic, but generally rather weak. I sold my SHOP calls on the upgrade the stock received this morning. I also got rid of my placeholders in MSFT and AAPL, and I ditched ALGM because, although it is sitting right on its 50 day MA now, I just don't want to babysit it any longer.
I maintain some exposure in other accounts, but my trading accounts are flat with the exception of BOTZ (although by the looks of it, I would have done well to divest that position in the early goings as well!).
I have some family coming in to visit through the weekend tomorrow night, and then I'm heading out to the Skull & Roses festival at the Ventura County Fairgrounds on the 19th - 23rd, so although I don't think the market is in danger of crashing here, and on the contrary is generally looking fairly constructive, I just want to slim down because I know my attention won't be on my screens and I don't want to risk giving back the nice run I've enjoyed so far this year.
One last thing, I am hanging out an ask for MARA $9 puts that expire next Friday. If I can get filled on these short puts at a $0.50 premium, I'll take that trade, as that would net a 5.5% return by next Friday if MARA remains above $9, or put the shares to me with a net cost basis of $8.50, which is below the recent breakout level and where the 20 day moving average will be in a day or two. The premiums on MARA are juicy, and I'd be happy to run a "wheel" trade, by selling premium both ways, puts when I don't have a position, and calls against any position that ends up being put to me.
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-------------------- ┼ ··∙ long live the shroomery ∙·· ┼ ...╬π╥ ╥π╬...
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encryptor


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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ohngoing Discussion [Re: geokills]
#28279733 - 04/15/23 10:26 PM (9 months, 8 days ago) |
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UNH beat expectations but due to the run up the stock sunk 2%. I will hold my shares long term. It seems like its business is picking up customers and healthcare is resilient in recessionary times.
Lately I bought PLTR at $8.81. Thoughts?
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today mylove



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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ohngoing Discussion [Re: encryptor]
#28280111 - 04/16/23 07:19 AM (9 months, 8 days ago) |
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i am long APE from 1.52
PT 40% higher
Edited by today mylove (04/16/23 08:51 PM)
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geokills
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ohngoing Discussion [Re: geokills]
#28281791 - 04/17/23 09:10 AM (9 months, 7 days ago) |
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Market still just grinding sideways, which is great for potential setups, but not as much to do actively. Since I am at my desk this morning, I am taking a short-term oriented trade on AI, entered with common shares @ $22.14, after the stock popped at the open and came back to tag VWAP and the 8 period EMA on the 15 min chart, where it appears to be finding support. This allows me to go in pretty big with a stop at $21.98 to reduce risk. Pushing up toward the high of the day now and I may add a little more if we do print a new high above $22.42, with a staggered stop higher up in the range to keep my absolute risk steady. AI doesn't look particularly great on longer term time frames, but it has based for several days so I'm taking a quick day trade on it under the expectation of a short term move up.
Edit: Moved up to a new high, added another tranche and moved my base stop up to $22.09 instead of staggering stops to start with. Will split this into two partial position stops if we continue higher, but figure it's better to move the entire position stop up initially, as $22.09 should hold since that is still below the uptrending VWAP and the 8 period EMA on the 15min.
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-------------------- ┼ ··∙ long live the shroomery ∙·· ┼ ...╬π╥ ╥π╬...
Edited by geokills (04/17/23 09:14 AM)
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geokills
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ohngoing Discussion [Re: geokills]
#28281900 - 04/17/23 10:31 AM (9 months, 7 days ago) |
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Well this AI intraday trade has been a bit of a slog, it has so far printed higher highs and higher lows, coming down to tag VWAP again and it is bouncing again... allowing me to reliably move my stop up a few pennies to the last higher low of $22.14. Since my first and largest entry was at $22.14, this eliminates the majority of loss potential on the trade. If we move to a new high on the day (above $22.69), I will stagger a higher partial position stop to make sure the potential for loss is entirely eliminated. This stop level also falls right below hourly support, so I do feel like it's pretty reliable, although I still wouldn't risk holding overnight because the openings on AI tend to be very volatile and overall the chart is just not very attractive for a swing trade, even as their is still some apparent lift intraday.
This is day trading... not glamorous, often boring.
Edit: Stop up to $22.36 to lock in a small profit.
Edit 2: And I'm out.
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-------------------- ┼ ··∙ long live the shroomery ∙·· ┼ ...╬π╥ ╥π╬...
Edited by geokills (04/17/23 12:01 PM)
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today mylove



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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ohngoing Discussion [Re: geokills] 1
#28283217 - 04/18/23 06:06 AM (9 months, 6 days ago) |
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Theres some powerful changes a foot
Fednow will modernize payments and increase efficiency immensely. Apple getting into banking is just a glimpse. Anyone taking a cut of payments ie paypal, square, visa have terminal risk now. Where you bank becomes a matter of who has the best UX
AI will enable everyone to create their own software. App store at risk
Samsung wants Bing to be their default search engine
All these record companies paying billions for catalogs and with AI you can create your own Drake songs. Napster moment 2.0
There’s a lot of room to be blind sided investing in individual companies right now IMO but I could see markets digesting profound news firstly as max bullish and then nuances filter through after euphoria wears off
I think gold will rip higher too. But platinum will be extra special
Thank you for reading to my brain droppings
Edited by today mylove (04/18/23 06:35 AM)
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geokills
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ohngoing Discussion [Re: geokills]
#28298982 - 04/28/23 02:23 PM (8 months, 26 days ago) |
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Impressive couple of days for the markets here. Both SPY and QQQ showing some real indications that, while we may still chop sideways for a little while, the 200 day MA is likely new support.
MSFT blasting off after earnings. AAPL just continuing to crawl higher, with earnings right around the corner. NVDA squeezing. SPOT with a nice bounce off of its 50 day after a little earning's swoon (will probably buy some of this on Monday). TSLA not in a great pattern, now printing a lower low, but I'd be surprised if the stock doesn't have legs to ~$175~$180 to fill the earnings gap. MARA also in an OK spot for anyone without the wherewithal to own actual crypto, or for those who want to use it as a derivative instrument for concentrated exposure during trending moves, and it does feel like crypto wants to keep pushing higher. Been trying to sell puts on MARA since last week but haven't been able to cop my fill.
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-------------------- ┼ ··∙ long live the shroomery ∙·· ┼ ...╬π╥ ╥π╬...
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Baby_Hitler
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ohngoing Discussion [Re: geokills]
#28299028 - 04/28/23 03:18 PM (8 months, 26 days ago) |
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FRC down to under $2 after market close. I'm guessing it's toast.
-------------------- Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ (•_•) <) )~ ANTIFA / \ \(•_•) ( (> SUPER / \ (•_•) <) )> SOLDIERS / \
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Gorlax



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Re: Stock Update for December 3, 2008 - CELG [Re: Baby_Hitler]
#28299944 - 04/29/23 11:44 AM (8 months, 26 days ago) |
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Oil refiners continues to outperform!
$CVX | Chevron Q1 23 Earnings: - Adj EPS $3.55 (est $3.38) - Rev $50.79B (est $47.57B) - Worldwide Production 2,979 MBOE/D (est 3,027) - Upstream Earnings $5.16B (est $5.17B) - Downstream Earnings $1.80B (est $1.56B)
$XOM | Exxon Mobil Q1 23 Earnings: - Adj EPS $2.83 (est $2.63) - Rev $86.56B (est $84.55B) - Refinery Throughput 3,998 KBD (est 3,970) - Production 3,831 KOEBD (est 3,788) - On Track To meet Company’s Full year Guidance Of $23B-$25B In Capital Expenditures
$VLO | Valero Energy Q1 23 Earnings: - Adj EPS: $8.27 (exp $7.21) - Revenue: $36.44B (exp $33.73B) - Refining Margin/Bbl: $22.37 (exp $21.34)
$MPC earnings next week (Tuesday May 2,2023)
This refiner is expected to post quarterly earnings of $5.35 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +259.1%.
Revenues are expected to be $32.19 billion, down 16.1% from the year-ago quarter.

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geokills
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ohngoing Discussion [Re: geokills]
#28301950 - 05/01/23 08:31 AM (8 months, 24 days ago) |
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I'm kind of sketched out buying after Thursday and Friday's big moves higher... but the squeezes in NVDA and SPOT are just so nice and tight, and NVDA is technically starting to poke out to the upside with a fresh 52 week high this morning... so I am buying both of these.
NVDA stop is at the low of day, SPOT I'm keeping a bit looser, below its 50 day moving average, which is where the stock bounced after digesting its earnings report last week. It would be nicer to get NVDA at its 50 day, but the stock is so strong it just might not get there, and I don't want to risk being left behind on this one. They are a huge beneficiary of the AI movement.
These positions aren't gangbusters large, in light of the market likely needing to take a bit of a breather after last week's big pop. I would like to make these positions bigger, but I'm not yet sure if that's going to happen on a pullback, or at a higher price. Nevertheless, I did add to both positions twice today, so they're meaningful enough to move the needle.
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-------------------- ┼ ··∙ long live the shroomery ∙·· ┼ ...╬π╥ ╥π╬...
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geokills
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ohngoing Discussion [Re: geokills]
#28302373 - 05/01/23 02:53 PM (8 months, 23 days ago) |
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NVDA & SPOT... these are good looking squeezes.

Both finished the day strong and I'm glad I added to the positions to bring my exposure up a little bit. This way, I can trim on continued strength while still leaving a piece in play as a placeholder. My June expiry options on both stocks are up nearly 20% on the day. Market overall still looks a little tired, but sometimes you just got to take a stock centric view, if the stock is working, run with it, even if you might keep your position size a bit smaller (and/or your stop a bit tighter) due to the overall heavy feeling in the market.
Incidentally, one set of those MARA puts I've been trying to sell executed today. Sold a tranche of $8.50 puts that expire at the end of the week for $0.40 net credit. Now earnings are out on this one Thursday after market, so these puts are a little bit dicey. If we get a quick bounce before Thursday, I may buy these back to close this trade out for a profit before the earnings report. But if I do stay in the trade and earnings stinks up the joint, I can tolerate having this amount of shares put to me on Friday at a net cost basis of $8.10, which is about 1% below the stock's 50 day moving average.
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-------------------- ┼ ··∙ long live the shroomery ∙·· ┼ ...╬π╥ ╥π╬...
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Baby_Hitler
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ohngoing Discussion [Re: geokills]
#28303383 - 05/02/23 11:42 AM (8 months, 23 days ago) |
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I still have a few shares of FRC. TD says they're worth $1.90 each. FRC isn't trading any more, so I have to wonder what is going to happen to my shares.
-------------------- Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ (•_•) <) )~ ANTIFA / \ \(•_•) ( (> SUPER / \ (•_•) <) )> SOLDIERS / \
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geokills
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ohngoing Discussion [Re: Baby_Hitler]
#28303391 - 05/02/23 11:48 AM (8 months, 23 days ago) |
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I would consider them a total loss. If you get a few bucks down the road after the JPM merger is complete, consider it a happy accident.
Market felt heavy yesterday and sure enough, big dive this morning. We seem to have found our footing though, and probably won't move much either way until we hear from the Fed later this week. NVDA and SPOT both falling in sympathy with the market, but looking to print an "inside day" (price constrained within yesterday's range). That's a healthy development, so long as we stay inside and eventually break above Monday's big candle this week. I'm not buying any more right here, although I would be buying NVDA on today's 2% pullback if I didn't already have some.
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-------------------- ┼ ··∙ long live the shroomery ∙·· ┼ ...╬π╥ ╥π╬...
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encryptor


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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ohngoing Discussion [Re: geokills]
#28304061 - 05/02/23 08:24 PM (8 months, 22 days ago) |
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The market performed poorly today. I'm purchasing Palantir now for long term. I like Citizens Bank (CFG) but thinking more downside to go. I also like a little bit of SOFI at this point. Hyatt Hotels Corporation (H) has been killing it!! I want it to dip but it ain't dipping.
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geokills
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ohngoing Discussion [Re: geokills]
#28304606 - 05/03/23 08:16 AM (8 months, 22 days ago) |
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Stopped out of half my NVDA, but kept half of it on since we're still above the 20 day moving average and bounced to hang onto the 8 day EMA as well (so far), although we fell back into the range, we haven't fallen back too deeply. Thus, honored the stop on my original position, but let my add continue to ride.
Doubled down on SPOT right out of the gate this morning, as it is showing quite a bit of relative strength.
Market overall somewhat directionless. QQQ's still the spot to be.
MDC, a solid dividend payer, up nicely on its earnings report. I've held this one for some time and will continue to do so.
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-------------------- ┼ ··∙ long live the shroomery ∙·· ┼ ...╬π╥ ╥π╬...
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