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OfflineGorlax
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Enkidu]
    #27803550 - 06/03/22 12:15 AM (1 year, 7 months ago)

I'm positioned in $USAS while we have some bullish sentiment going. They went from -26M to only -300k in revenues. They should turn profitable this year. I think they are undervalued trading around 0.80c at the end of close today. $1.50+ :mushroom2::thumbup::crazy2::fonda:


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InvisibleTheFakeSunRa
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Gorlax] * 1
    #27804405 - 06/03/22 04:04 PM (1 year, 7 months ago)

Quote:

Gorlax said:
I'm positioned in $USAS while we have some bullish sentiment going. They went from -26M to only -300k in revenues. They should turn profitable this year. I think they are undervalued trading around 0.80c at the end of close today. $1.50+ :mushroom2::thumbup::crazy2::fonda:




Where do you think it’s going? ARIS kicked ass.


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[quote]Asante said:
You constantly make posts thatr fling middle school insults at people you don't like mixed in with maladjusted psychopathic comments about wanting to beat up the other poster with a crowbar.

You know how shit you are, you just don't give a fuck for precisely that reason.

I disendorse you.[/quote]


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OfflineHikeadellic
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: TheFakeSunRa]
    #27812097 - 06/09/22 11:17 AM (1 year, 7 months ago)

Anyone else thinking about shorting oil?


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OfflinegeokillsA
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Hikeadellic]
    #27812536 - 06/09/22 05:57 PM (1 year, 7 months ago)

Nope.  If you had tons of capital and were easing into a multi-year short position, then maybe.  But that's not my trade.  Supply pressures are likely to persist for quite a while.  While we will continue our transition toward renewables, in the near term oil and energy is likely to continue to have a bid underneath it.  Shorting in the face of this macro environment and the technical strength of the commodity's price action is extremely contrarian - to the point that I don't think it will work.


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··∙   long live the shroomery  ∙··
...π╥ ╥π...


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OfflineHikeadellic
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: geokills]
    #27812760 - 06/09/22 10:14 PM (1 year, 7 months ago)

I just see that all of the oil stocks are up in a straight line right now. Someone has to sell to take profit at some point. I understand the broader economic reasons why oil is spiking but a never-ending line up does not make sense to me. My armchair TA spidery senses think that the ceiling is soon, but who knows?


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OfflinegeokillsA
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Hikeadellic]
    #27813005 - 06/10/22 06:57 AM (1 year, 7 months ago)

You don't want to short directly into strength, same as you don't (generally) want to "catch a falling knife" or buy when something is in freefall, because you just don't know how far the prevailing/primary trend is going to go.  If you really want to short oil, you should watch it closely, setting alerts (and re-setting alerts) at well defined support trendlines.  On a key break, you then want to set an alert near the breakdown so that you can short the issue on a relief rally to test prior support, where it will typically rollover.  This way, you set your trade up for a defined risk, because you can keep a buy stop at the old highs, and you're only risking the % between the breakdown and the ATH's.  Otherwise, you're just shorting with no real protection other than "shit, have I hit my max pain threshold yet?"  And although this surely isn't a rule, most traders can tell you that if you go with the "max pain" protection plan, it's typically the point where you hit max pain and bail out for the loss, that the thing will reverse on you.


--------------------

--------------------
··∙   long live the shroomery  ∙··
...π╥ ╥π...


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OfflineHikeadellic
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: geokills]
    #27813104 - 06/10/22 08:31 AM (1 year, 7 months ago)

Thanks Geo! Always appreciate hearing your input on things


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OfflineGorlax
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: TheFakeSunRa]
    #27813996 - 06/10/22 10:26 PM (1 year, 7 months ago)

I am not looking for much on $USAS but over $1.00 is good for me. Gold/Silver are looking really good after we got that 8.6% inflation number today.

I like $TUP - Tupperware brands , $FSM - Fortuna Silver Mines, $BGFV - Big 5.


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InvisibleTheFakeSunRa
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Gorlax]
    #27814632 - 06/11/22 01:09 PM (1 year, 7 months ago)

Quote:

  $FSM - Fortuna Silver




I bought in $3.15 a month ago and sold it yesterday at $3.53

I see it’s gone up more. Still, happy to sneak out in the green with any stock.


--------------------
[quote]Asante said:
You constantly make posts thatr fling middle school insults at people you don't like mixed in with maladjusted psychopathic comments about wanting to beat up the other poster with a crowbar.

You know how shit you are, you just don't give a fuck for precisely that reason.

I disendorse you.[/quote]


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OfflineGorlax
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: TheFakeSunRa]
    #27816123 - 06/12/22 01:40 PM (1 year, 7 months ago)

Nice!:thumbup: Green :jah:  in these markets is awesome accomplishment for any trade! I am long and still holding for $5.00+. This may take some time though and taking profits is always wise. My average is ~$3.38 for $FSM.

I broke down the numbers and Fortuna Silver Mines will remain profitable even with a sharp decline in precious metals spot price. During my analysis I found that $FSM closely tracks the silver spot price almost entirely. While they mine silver they also mine enormous amounts of gold.

Sustaining cash cost was $13.7-16.1 per oz silver for San Jose mine
Sustaining cash cost was $17.8-21.1 per oz silver for Caylloma Mine
Sustaining cash cost was $900-1,100 per oz gold for Lindero Mine
Sustaining cash cost was $1,300-1,650 per oz gold for Yaramoko mine

I took the averages and we got about $15.75-18.60 sustaining cost per oz silver and sustaining cost of $1,100-1,375 per oz of gold.

Current spot price of silver $21.93
Current spot price of gold  $1875.20

This puts $FSM in a very strong position going into an inflationary cycle as even a steep decline in the price of either metal will still retain profitability. I can't even find one scenario in my head that would be bearish for either of these metals in the next 10 years.

My thesis behind $USAS is the same except they have not turned profitable yet. They had a mine in Mexico that was shut down by an illegal blockade but that was fixed earlier in the year. The stock is still trading with that factored in which is causing it to be undervalued current in my opinion.



Here are some picks I'm adding to long term watch-list.

Quote:

$COCO - The Vita Coco Company, Inc. - Consumer Defensive | Beverages - Non-Alcoholic | USA - The Vita Coco Company, Inc. develops, markets, and distributes coconut water products under the Vita Coco brand name in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, and the Asia Pacific.


These coconut waters are quite delicious and this company has a bright future in my analysis so far. This is a new IPO and would be an excellent acquisition candidate by another company like say Coca-Cola ($COKE).

Quote:

$COOK - Traeger, Inc. - Consumer Cyclical | Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances | USA - Traeger, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, sources, sells, and supports wood pellet fueled barbeque grills for retailers, distributors, and direct to consumers in the United States.


I'm liking this stock as a potential growth stock. They currently need to do a lot of balance sheet trimming but the overall product seems to be something that everyone I ask enjoys. Competition seems very high but if they can maintain their brand loyalty I see great things in the future.

Quote:

$TUP - Tupperware Brands Corporation - Consumer Cyclical | Packaging & Containers | USA -Tupperware Brands Corporation operates as a consumer products company worldwide. The company manufactures, markets, and sells design-centric preparation, storage, and serving solutions for the kitchen and home, as well as a line of cookware, knives, microwave products, microfiber textiles, water-filtration related items, and an array of products for on-the-go consumers under the Tupperware brand name.


Tupperware brand containers are a household name. I think they made some questionable decisions in the past and they are paying for them now. Recently just announced the sale of their beauty line of products which is excellent. They need to focus on their main products, containers. This is another balance sheet fatty that needs to go on a diet and has already begun to do so. The name recognition gives this one a solid buy rating in my opinion.

Quote:

$JOAN - JOANN Inc. - Consumer Cyclical | Specialty Retail | USA - JOANN Inc. operates as a specialty retailer of sewing and fabrics, and arts and crafts category products in the United States. Its products in sewing category include cotton fabrics; warm fabrics, such as fleece and flannel fabrics; home decorating and utility fabrics and accessories; fashion and sportswear fabrics; special occasion fabrics; seasonally themed and licensed fabric designs; and sewing construction supplies comprising cutting implements, threads, zippers, trims, tapes, pins, elastic, and buttons, as well as patterns for sewing projects.


Undervalued brick and mortar stores with an interesting demographic. Company has been around for a while but recently just went public with an IPO. While we continue to slide into more turbulent times, store demographics will play a role in profitability. These stores attract more older and fixed income customers who are interested in crafts and projects.


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InvisibleFiery
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Gorlax] * 1
    #27816503 - 06/12/22 05:44 PM (1 year, 7 months ago)

Awesome! Thanks for the ideas about FSM and USAS...

I feel like gambling a bit so I'm going to throw a little bit of money at them and hold out for the long.


I also agree that I can't really see any scenario where gold and silver just crash to low prices, and like you said, even if they do drop in price the company still makes profit.


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InvisibleTheFakeSunRa
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Gorlax]
    #27817541 - 06/13/22 12:15 PM (1 year, 7 months ago)

Preciate you making direct picks.

I bought some classics that are at long term lows today

Warner Bros Dis

Carnival Cruise (I know I know but I’m talking holding long- it’s under 10)

And dear old Busch Beer / $BUD

I’m scaling in with liquidity on hand if the bottom isn’t here


--------------------
[quote]Asante said:
You constantly make posts thatr fling middle school insults at people you don't like mixed in with maladjusted psychopathic comments about wanting to beat up the other poster with a crowbar.

You know how shit you are, you just don't give a fuck for precisely that reason.

I disendorse you.[/quote]


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OfflineGorlax
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Registered: 05/06/08
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: TheFakeSunRa]
    #27817576 - 06/13/22 12:35 PM (1 year, 7 months ago)

If we market crash on average compared to prior market crashes. That would put us around ~250-270 on the SP500. We are currently only around 377. Average decline was -47% from the top for a duration of 16.3 months.


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InvisibleAhab McBathsalts
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Gorlax]
    #27817874 - 06/13/22 04:36 PM (1 year, 7 months ago)

I can't see it going much lower than 3200 on the S&P, but who knows.


--------------------
"Nobody exists on purpose. Nobody belongs anywhere. Everybody's going to die."


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InvisibleTheFakeSunRa
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: TheFakeSunRa]
    #27819160 - 06/14/22 11:10 AM (1 year, 7 months ago)

Quote:

TheFakeSunRa said:
Preciate you making direct picks.

I bought some classics that are at long term lows today

Warner Bros Dis

Carnival Cruise (I know I know but I’m talking holding long- it’s under 10)

And dear old Busch Beer / $BUD

I’m scaling in with liquidity on hand if the bottom isn’t here




Sold all of those in the green today.

Ain’t nobody knows the future.


--------------------
[quote]Asante said:
You constantly make posts thatr fling middle school insults at people you don't like mixed in with maladjusted psychopathic comments about wanting to beat up the other poster with a crowbar.

You know how shit you are, you just don't give a fuck for precisely that reason.

I disendorse you.[/quote]


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OfflineManianFHS
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: TheFakeSunRa] * 1
    #27819809 - 06/14/22 06:40 PM (1 year, 7 months ago)

Did stonks do ok today? I didn’t even check.

Green days are about as rare as a clean wipe


--------------------
notapillow said: "you are going about this endeavor all wrong. clear your mind of useless fear and concern. buy the ticket, take the ride, and all that.... "

ChrisWho said: "It's all about the journey, not the destination."


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OfflineHikeadellic
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: ManianFH]
    #27820089 - 06/14/22 10:21 PM (1 year, 7 months ago)

How about calls on X and CORN with deep expirations

I'd like to find something to buy puts on but I don't see any meat left right now, maybe wait for a dead cat bounce before the next leg down


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InvisibleAhab McBathsalts
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Hikeadellic]
    #27820352 - 06/15/22 05:57 AM (1 year, 7 months ago)

Vix is pretty high to buy long dated options :shrug:


--------------------
"Nobody exists on purpose. Nobody belongs anywhere. Everybody's going to die."


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OfflineGorlax
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Ahab McBathsalts]
    #27820927 - 06/15/22 03:22 PM (1 year, 7 months ago)

$TUP - Tupperware Brands - massive insider buying reported 6/14/22, all direct market buys ranging from $5.60-6.22 ! I killed this trade +15.15% and still holding.

Quote:

1. 📜 SEC Form 4: Minges Tim bought $100,320 worth of shares (16,500 units at $6.08), increasing direct ownership by 47% to 51,623 units

2. 📜 SEC Form 4: Goudis Richard bought $1,031,900 worth of shares (170,000 units at $6.07)

3. 📜 SEC Form 4: Oleary Christopher D bought $148,400 worth of shares (26,500 units at $5.60), increasing direct ownership by 22% to 144,754 units

4. 📜 SEC Form 4: Harbour Pamela Jones bought $256,500 worth of shares (45,000 units at $5.70)

5. 📜 SEC Form 4: Fordyce James H bought $199,150 worth of shares (35,000 units at $5.69), increasing direct ownership by 90% to 73,823 units
.
6. 📜 SEC Form 4: Lezama Hector bought $208,370 worth of shares (33,500 units at $6.22), increasing direct ownership by 20% to 199,679 units




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OfflineEnkidu
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Gorlax] * 1
    #27820981 - 06/15/22 04:17 PM (1 year, 7 months ago)

Well done


--------------------
Within You , Without You


:mushroom2::levitate::mushroom2:


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