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InvisibleFiery
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Enkidu] * 1
    #27545948 - 11/16/21 03:27 PM (2 years, 2 months ago)

It seems like such a good buy right now and that it will eventually go up. But as Geokills has taught us -that's not a very smart way to trade just buying stuff and sitting on it.

I'm OK with my losses though.

Just going to hold the bag , maybe forever lol.


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OfflineEnkidu
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Fiery] * 2
    #27546115 - 11/16/21 05:43 PM (2 years, 2 months ago)

I think if you hold it you'll eventually be in the green, but with trading the best lesson I learned was not to hold bags and let them become heavier and heavier

Need to know when to buy and when to sell

Cutting loses frees up liquid for better trades elsewhere


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OfflineEnkidu
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Enkidu] * 1
    #27546712 - 11/17/21 08:15 AM (2 years, 2 months ago)

Shoulda grabbed Tesla instead


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OfflineBaby_Hitler
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Enkidu] * 1
    #27546718 - 11/17/21 08:19 AM (2 years, 2 months ago)

Crypto coming back down.


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Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ
(•_•)
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OfflineEnkidu
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Baby_Hitler] * 1
    #27546793 - 11/17/21 09:25 AM (2 years, 2 months ago)

Raised my stop this morning and got stopped out at 12.61

Back to the drawing board

Lots of other higher volume options running around atm


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OfflineEnkidu
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Enkidu] * 1
    #27547069 - 11/17/21 01:46 PM (2 years, 2 months ago)

Wish I would have grabbed Tesla closer to 1040 but doesn't look that bad here at a second attempt pushing this price range

If it breaks I could see it having room to move


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OfflinegeokillsA
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: geokills] * 1
    #27548021 - 11/18/21 08:55 AM (2 years, 2 months ago)

Buying a bit of AAPL here, via May $150 calls.  Should've been buying yesterday but I didn't notice the move until after the close, so I'm keeping today's purchase on the smaller side, in light of running into a bit of a longer term resistance channel (however that channel is aged and may no longer be relevant).  More importantly, AAPL has been trending more or less sideways for months, allowing the 200 day moving average to slowly trend higher while the 50 day has become more or less flat.

Seeing the bollinger bands squeezing right above a key moving average (here above the 50 day), is a pretty solid setup, and we see yesterday's move starting to poke above the squeeze, tagging the 3rd standard deviation band on higher than average volume, which is the initial buy signal.  On the attached chart, you can also see a squeeze from last June that took place right above the 200 day moving average.  That move from June had some serious legs, which is not surprising, as the 200 day is the de facto long term moving average, and trends that manifest on longer time frames tend to have more staying power.  But hey, the 50 day is a key average as well, and often portends a good setup for expansions out of a squeeze.


   


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OfflineBaby_Hitler
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: geokills] * 1
    #27548051 - 11/18/21 09:14 AM (2 years, 2 months ago)

I notice GVA has been atypically flat for the last couple of weeks.


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Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ
(•_•)
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OfflinegeokillsA
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Baby_Hitler] * 1
    #27548068 - 11/18/21 09:31 AM (2 years, 2 months ago)

In fact, if you zoom out on GVA, it's been pretty damn flat since March of this year.  This thing just doesn't move all that much.  I was hoping for an expansion up and out of the range after such prolonged consolidation and in anticipation of infrastructure rolling out, and while we are pretty close to the top of the range and "flagging" after the little earnings related + infrastructure showdown shakeout during late Oct/early Nov, there just isn't that much confidence in the chart one way or the other.  I don't expect my Dec $50 calls are going to work out, but it was somewhat of a lottery ticket to begin with.  I'll let it play out until expiration since the position is practically worthless at this point anyway... but the odds of a 20%+ move on GVA inside of a month are slim to nil.


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OfflineBaby_Hitler
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: geokills] * 1
    #27548093 - 11/18/21 09:50 AM (2 years, 2 months ago)

It's been bouncing around in a fairly tight range +/-5% every week or two. I made a few bucks on it. This seems to be a change in the pattern of the last several months.


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Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ
(•_•)
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OfflinegeokillsA
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Baby_Hitler] * 1
    #27548111 - 11/18/21 10:04 AM (2 years, 2 months ago)

This is what I inferred by noting that the stock is "flagging" near the top of its range.  If you look at the respectable post-earnings bounce off of the 200 day moving average that started on Nov 3rd, that following week produced a more or less straight up move from $37 to $43 which you can visualize as the "flag pole".  The market is now digesting that move by moving sideways in a very tight range, which can be visualized as the "flag" on top of the "flag pole".  This type of move tends to portend another move higher, proportional to the size of the "flag pole".  So, give that the pole was roughly $6 and we're flagging at $42-ish... one would expect a breakout above the flag to lead to a move that lands pretty close to $50.


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OfflineEnkidu
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: geokills] * 1
    #27548176 - 11/18/21 10:39 AM (2 years, 2 months ago)

Nice call on Apple...


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OfflineEnkidu
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Enkidu] * 1
    #27549878 - 11/19/21 02:33 PM (2 years, 2 months ago)

Hopped in Tesla yesterday right at close knowing it was a horrible decision, placed my stop, paid off today.

I might look to hold Tesla and see if we can at least test the previous top and just start raising my stop

If I would have jumped on MU when I mentioned it the other day is be sitting nice right now

Guess I didn't expect it to run as strong as it did coming off that last bottom and breaking through trending resistance

Will keep my eyes on MU for a potential pullback and continuation opportunity


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OfflineManianFHS
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Enkidu] * 1
    #27550914 - 11/20/21 09:22 AM (2 years, 2 months ago)

Nice Endiku. TSLA has been good to me too even lately. Currently am out of the stock, and how knows may buy back in. I just expected a retracement to precious sub $1000 levels after its last breakout - this did not come :smile:.


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notapillow said: "you are going about this endeavor all wrong. clear your mind of useless fear and concern. buy the ticket, take the ride, and all that.... "

ChrisWho said: "It's all about the journey, not the destination."


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OfflineEnkidu
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: ManianFH] * 1
    #27551026 - 11/20/21 11:15 AM (2 years, 2 months ago)

Thank you sir!

Tesla looks good to me coming off that double bottom and then breaking the price level of last rejection looking at the 1hr or 4hr charts.

Trading above all moving averages coming off of that break.

I think there is strong potential for a decent rally considering all the good news in terms of the infrastructure bill and the growing aim for ev dominance

I believe that was the cause for a upgrade from 1100 to 1400 pt with a bullish case target of 1800 by an analyst

I'll just see what I can gain from the upward momentum and I'll be having to pull out within a week or so regardless

I have largely ignored all the major stocks in terms of trading but now im willing to try and play with the big boys here and there.

Tesla and AMD are two of the major stocks I think I will keep tabs on for trading opportunities


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OfflinegeokillsA
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: geokills] * 1
    #27553316 - 11/22/21 08:22 AM (2 years, 2 months ago)

Quote:

geokills said:
Buying a bit of AAPL here, via May $150 calls.  Should've been buying yesterday but I didn't notice the move until after the close, so I'm keeping today's purchase on the smaller side, in light of running into a bit of a longer term resistance channel (however that channel is aged and may no longer be relevant).  More importantly, AAPL has been trending more or less sideways for months, allowing the 200 day moving average to slowly trend higher while the 50 day has become more or less flat.

Seeing the bollinger bands squeezing right above a key moving average (here above the 50 day), is a pretty solid setup, and we see yesterday's move starting to poke above the squeeze, tagging the 3rd standard deviation band on higher than average volume, which is the initial buy signal.  On the attached chart, you can also see a squeeze from last June that took place right above the 200 day moving average.  That move from June had some serious legs, which is not surprising, as the 200 day is the de facto long term moving average, and trends that manifest on longer time frames tend to have more staying power.  But hey, the 50 day is a key average as well, and often portends a good setup for expansions out of a squeeze.


   





The power of the volatility squeeze, which, I forgot to note, in this particular case has also pushed AAPL to all time highs, such that there is quite literally no resistance overhead.  2023 calls up 60% in less than three trading sessions. :toomuchacid:


   


Lot of this move associated with news of the AAPL car being further ahead on development than anticipated:

Quote:

Apple Inc’s car project has gone full-throttle, according to tech journalist Mark Gurman.  Gurman pointed to the Apple Watch software chief Kevin Lynch leading the company’s car efforts in recent weeks and his push to accelerate the development of the electric vehicle.  “Now he’s pushing the team behind the project to accelerate its development, with an eye on debuting a car as early [as] 2025,” wrote Gurman in his weekly newsletter.  The Apple-focused journalist noted that Lynch wants the first version of the vehicle to be fully autonomous and have no steering wheel or pedal controls.  “It’s an ambitious and aggressive plan and certainly fascinating to follow,” wrote Gurman.




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OfflinegeokillsA
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: geokills] * 1
    #27553423 - 11/22/21 10:01 AM (2 years, 2 months ago)

Flat on equities.  Lots of fierce moves down today... SHOP, ABNB, SQ, AMZN... and early morning strength seeing some heavy rejection on TSLA, TAN.


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OfflineEnkidu
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: geokills] * 1
    #27553923 - 11/22/21 04:56 PM (2 years, 2 months ago)

Yeah ty Geo, I made a profitable trade off APPL because of you. I typically don't like to trade companies I don't like but I said fuck it. I wouldn't have saw what you saw had I looked at the chart. I don't really seem to be catching those larger trend movements such as noting the weeks or months of sideways action and the indication a breakout from it was coming

Maybe I'm typically too focused on smaller timeframes

Sold Tesla today too

I actually sold at open because I was going to be at work and didn't want to risk losing gains to get stopped out below

Figured we might be a little slow this week in stocks and it's had a decent move already. Took my profit and ran, don't even know what the market looks like. Been a long day


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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Enkidu] * 1
    #27554994 - 11/23/21 12:49 PM (2 years, 2 months ago)

$SFM - solid pickup last month $$

$BIG - Big Lots - Value currently with financials factored in using DCF valuation is around 53$. The business of Big Lots and the investment opportunity it presents investments is about as classic of a value play as you can find in today’s market.. similar to other retail during the pandemic. Rather than being a high-growth technology company looking to disrupt an industry, as many companies that have investor’s focus currently are, Big Lots is an older, more stable company with relatively consistent results.

Thanks to a strong fiscal year in 2020, it has very little debt and a lot of cash on its balance sheet. It does have significant capital leases, but that is to be expected given its shift towards selling its distribution centers.
When the pandemic first hit, most people, myself included, thought physical retail would be crushed. However, Big Lots thrived and had its best year by far in over a decade. That said, if the pandemic subsides, it could hurt Big Lots business and return it to its historically normal and lackluster operating results. Given the waning immunity shown from the vaccine and increase in lockdowns I would not just yet declare the retail surge over.
^ tho this is something to note

$HBM HudBay Minerals is in full execution mode in terms of exploration, project advancement and landing new opportunities
HudBay is not taking a break, it is pushing exploration forward, it continues to progress the Copper World option in Arizona and the company has outlined a new opportunity to reprocess tailings in Flin Flon.

During Q3/21, the Toronto, Ontario-based miner commissioned the copper flotation circuit ahead of schedule at its New Brittannia mill in Manitoba. in Also, it achieved full production at its Pampacancha mine in Peru " and is now delivering higher gold grades (and higher copper in Q4/21) as promised
The intrinsic value of one HBM stock under the base scenario is 13.79 USD. Compared to the current market price of 6.81 USD, the company's shares are unvervalued by 103%.


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OfflineEnkidu
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Gorlax] * 1
    #27555559 - 11/23/21 08:39 PM (2 years, 2 months ago)

Haven't had time to look around. Glanced at TLRY and may attempt to catch this one

Looks like you could take entry here easy with a stop right below that low on the hr chart. Think it was 10.13 or something

Previous crosses of the 20 failed to hold support, looking for this cross to flip as support

Notice some divergence has formed on the hour as well with the macd and rsi

Volume looked decent

Def wouldn't want to hold below 10.13, 10 has been a bottom a few times in the past


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Within You , Without You


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