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OfflineEnkidu
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Enkidu]
    #27407663 - 07/29/21 07:10 PM (2 years, 5 months ago)

DXY hit top resistance and fell hard while the market has been performing relatively well recently.

Apart from major dips.

Not sure what to make of those, potential fake outs or tests.

Sold MP for a 10% gain and currently sitting on TLRY, INDI, and NNDM (my only long term hold currently)

Looking at some potential trades.

Been busy with the crypto spike but recently sold my btc trade so been eyeing the market for some moves.

Cautious of a sudden spike on dxy, but I'll stay bullish for now since that seems to be the trajectory at this very moment.

Also cautious of speculative event such as lockdown due to covid.


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InvisibleNimpo
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Enkidu]
    #27407696 - 07/29/21 07:29 PM (2 years, 5 months ago)

Powells last conference gives me no faith inflation is going away in a few years, and stocks are due for a big correction from all of this money printing.

For now, Im invested into several ETFs and an index fund to balance risk/reward in this current market where smashing through the roof company earnings tanks a stocks price, and buy the rumor sell the news has never been more prevalent.

Also SPACS has been a fucking rollercoaster of a ride since the start of the year and I need to see what happens with this regulation crackdown in the works.


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OfflinegeokillsA
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: geokills]
    #27408194 - 07/30/21 08:04 AM (2 years, 5 months ago)

Dipping my toe in on TSLA, moving above it's earnings candle from earlier in the week, coiled up just above its 200 day moving average where it has been basing for quite a while, tight bollinger bands and 50 day moving average just beginning to curl upwards.

Also taking a starter in ABNB.  This one is kind of in the penalty box, but I want exposure longer term, as I expect pandemic expectations and losses crushed this bad boy, but as an avid AirBnB renter, I have noticed inventory being exceptionally tight and increasingly expensive.  I think they will be surprising to the upside and I want to start building a position early.


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OfflineEnkidu
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: geokills]
    #27408778 - 07/30/21 06:43 PM (2 years, 5 months ago)

Looked at ABNB the other day.

Looked like double bottom on the daily and working through 20 and 50ma

Watching too many stocks though to keep up and I prefer trading cheaper stocks

Maybe because I have small funds.

MU is looking very appealing to me right now. Seeing strong potential for reversal and currently seems very undervalued with a lot of room to run and similar potential to amd's run imo

Geo you have any thoughts on MU? Probably be my next trade target

TRQ looks appealing as well. Would be watching for a dip here as it moves into resistance then pick it up looking to catch a breakout and retest old highs


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OfflineEnkidu
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Enkidu]
    #27408782 - 07/30/21 06:50 PM (2 years, 5 months ago)

Tsla looks really fucking good right now


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OfflinegeokillsA
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Enkidu]
    #27408903 - 07/30/21 08:39 PM (2 years, 5 months ago)

MU, if it moves above $80, gets interesting.  You can start building a position here on potential support at its 200 day... but this is likely to fart around for a while.  A move above $80 would help confirm the 200 day as support, and signal the opportunity for an initial position.  I would leave some powder dry however, for a subsequent retest of ~$75, and ultimately waiting for the 50 day to curl upwards, break through, and retest on an upward slope.  Until that 50 day turns higher and proves support, this isn't going to catch any momentum.

Wouldn't touch TRQ.  Sloppy chart, rounded topping pattern, wide bollinger bands.  Yeah they got an earnings pop, but there are bound to be some regretful holders just waiting to ditch the witch.  I could be wrong of course, but the chart is just not the type of chart I like to trade.


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OfflineEnkidu
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: geokills]
    #27409205 - 07/31/21 05:50 AM (2 years, 5 months ago)

Thanks Geo, I'll keep my eyes on MU for stronger confirmation. Been watching it for a couple weeks looking for the right conditions


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OfflineEnkidu
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Enkidu]
    #27412354 - 08/02/21 08:03 PM (2 years, 5 months ago)

DXY on the weekly chart potentially flipping the 20 and 50ma resistance into support.

Something to be mindful of imo.

It's starting to look like a bullish dollar is in the works. We will find out soon


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OfflineEnkidu
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Enkidu]
    #27412463 - 08/02/21 09:48 PM (2 years, 5 months ago)

Watching SNOW

Looking very interesting here


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OfflineManianFHS
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Enkidu]
    #27413655 - 08/03/21 11:05 PM (2 years, 5 months ago)

Purchased BA and TLRY today, adding further to holdings. Also picked up some TSLA


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notapillow said: "you are going about this endeavor all wrong. clear your mind of useless fear and concern. buy the ticket, take the ride, and all that.... "

ChrisWho said: "It's all about the journey, not the destination."


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OfflinegeokillsA
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Enkidu]
    #27414072 - 08/04/21 10:45 AM (2 years, 5 months ago)

SNOW looked good yesterday, but faced a deep rejection this morning.  Wouldn't be involved here.  Alert at > $279.

TSLA and ABNB still working, although there is some supply on TSLA around $275 and aggregate market floundering is keeping a lid on things.  As I am long options and don't want to give up a handy 20% profit, I have closed the position on the pull back to the opening range.  This one does look setup for longer term upside, however when using time restricted leverage via options, you can't be too loose or you'll just get your ass handed to you.  I'll be keeping an eye on this one for an entry near its 8 day EMA, presently around $690.  Note that $690 isn't an auto-buy level... I will need to see the stock hold and look to bounce in order to compel me to put this back on the books.

ABNB has a lot of green candles.  My position is only a starter, mostly because it hasn't given me an opportunity to add.  I am intending to hold this over earnings on 8/12 unless the thing moves straight up into the report.

Cannabis sector continues to be under major pressure.  I am not involved and haven't been for quite a while now.  Really nasty charts in the space.  Don't try to pick a bottom, allow it to reveal itself and try to catch it on the re-test.  Be mindful that CGC reports earnings on the 6th.  TLRY got theirs out of the way, which saw a knee-jerk pop, but has since retraced the bulk of the move to the downside and is presently being rejected at its 20 day moving average.

MARA/RIOT are tightening up, I am tempted to take a position here, as I suspect that they will have benefitted from the China miners exodus, which saw BTC mining difficulty crushed by nearly half since its peak in May.  As they already have sizable infrastructure up and running, they are likely to be fairly big beneficiaries of the difficulty reduction... although, of course, this will be tempered by lower asset prices, and not knowing if these guys are sitting on their rewards or if they are cashing out to reinvest into additional infrastructure.  I have fun watching them, but I already have so much direct crypto exposure that I don't really trade these very often.

NVDA, somewhat extended with earnings August 18th, but generally working on a high base here.  Worth keeping an eye on, although I wouldn't want to buy it right now.

SHOP, earnings are out and it barely moved.  Tempted to take a cheat entry here, but for now I'm still just watching.  Would like to see it continue to trade sideways for a few more sessions, alert > $1560.  On a move above $1600, $2000 seems readily obtainable.


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OfflineBaby_Hitler
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: geokills]
    #27414075 - 08/04/21 10:48 AM (2 years, 5 months ago)

Hey, Geo. What are your long to medium term feels about the market?

How long does your gut tell you we have until the next crash?


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OfflinegeokillsA
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Baby_Hitler]
    #27414091 - 08/04/21 10:59 AM (2 years, 5 months ago)

Attempting to guess when a crash may occur is a fool's errand, a distraction at best.  Fortunately, you shouldn't have to worry about that.

If you are taking a diversified/hands off approach to investing on a decades long time horizon for retirement via something like the SPY, don't sweat the bumps... just let it ride and check back every few years.

If you are actively trading, you must be a risk manager by defining your maximum loss through a combination of position size and the associated stop loss level for every position you hold.  The closer you buy to a high probability support level, the bigger your position can be, because your stop loss will be close to your entry.  If on the other hand you have the "can't help its" and buy without discipline, you had better be buying small, because you won't be able to place a reliable stop close to your entry.

If you can effectively manage your position size and unwaveringly utilize well placed sell stops, it doesn't really matter when a crash comes, because when it does (and it inevitably will), you'll be stopped out of your positions for tolerable losses and you can watch the carnage with your capital safely laying in wait for you to redeploy after the shakeout has stabilized and shown signs of a floor being constructed.


PS. I did start a small position in SHOP.  It just looks so juicy.  Stop < $1500.


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OfflinegeokillsA
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: geokills]
    #27415250 - 08/05/21 09:51 AM (2 years, 5 months ago)

Added a position in MARA Jan 2022 calls yesterday at the close. 

Added to the SHOP call this morning, so far so good.  ABNB continuing to move nicely as well, but I'm taking it off the table here, it's nicely extended at the top of its uptrend, nothing really wrong with it, but I bagged a 25% gain on the October calls I was holding and I have family coming into town tonight so I probably won't be at my desk much tomorrow.  Smoke 'em if you got 'em. :spliff:

Stop on SHOP moved up to $1532.


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OfflinegeokillsA
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: geokills]
    #27415271 - 08/05/21 10:07 AM (2 years, 5 months ago)

Stop on SHOP moved up to $1551 to lock in a profit.  Bidding on some PENN here, really nice high volume bounce on earnings, after a protracted downtrend.  Looks like a bottom to me.

Adding to MARA Jan 2022 $27 calls and adding double time to MARA August $29 calls here, this thing looks like it wants to blow.  Stop a penny below the intraday lows ($27.61) to keep this on a tight leash since the position is getting pretty big.


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OfflineManianFHS
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: geokills]
    #27415359 - 08/05/21 11:23 AM (2 years, 5 months ago)

Exited most of BA, TLRY, ARKK to lock in profits for the day. Have benefited from regular swings with BA from ~230 to ~220 range. Taking a breather for now :smile:


--------------------
notapillow said: "you are going about this endeavor all wrong. clear your mind of useless fear and concern. buy the ticket, take the ride, and all that.... "

ChrisWho said: "It's all about the journey, not the destination."


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OfflinegeokillsA
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: geokills]
    #27415388 - 08/05/21 11:44 AM (2 years, 5 months ago)

Closed all August MARA calls for a quick 30% turnaround inside of two hours.  Brought my main trading account up by 8% in aggregate.  Underlying crypto charts are looking positive, so I'm still holding some longer dated January calls on MARA, but it just wouldn't be reasonable to hold the shorter expiration overnight, and I want to take my kid to the zoo so I'm stepping away from my desk now. :smile:


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OfflineHikeadellic
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: geokills]
    #27415446 - 08/05/21 12:45 PM (2 years, 5 months ago)

Puts on SCR


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OfflineEnkidu
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Hikeadellic]
    #27417829 - 08/07/21 06:32 AM (2 years, 5 months ago)

Haven't done much besides take profit on MP the other day before earnings. Want to continue building MP as a long term hold.

If and when they are able to process their rare earth in the US as opposed to shipping to China, I think that will be when this stock really starts to show it's value.

Want to have a decent position there for the future, as long as it continues to perform well. Meeting earnings expectations (slightly beat) makes me think they are on the right track.

Up decent on INDI right now.

Not sure how high it will climb but I'll start raising stop losses

Still eyeing MU, may look to exit indi and get into MU if the timing is right, or take some profits to MU sooner than later

MU just made it to it's resistance line, showing potential signs for a dip coming, has been performing well. Still waiting for the right entry, should have opened my position the other day

I think MU has some room to move up in the coming weeks

Still sitting on my TLRY position, planning to hold until news comes out that they have made moves into the US market

I think it's possible they will pick up some companies with operations in the US as a way to make an aggressive move into the market, will have to wait and see

Still watching a lot of stocks

ALB took off nicely but I didn't pull the trigger there. Other lithium looking to have potential is LAC and LTHM


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OfflinegeokillsA
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: geokills]
    #27420645 - 08/09/21 07:34 AM (2 years, 5 months ago)

Peeling off the January MARA calls into the +10% morning pop.  Could keep going, but looks extended short term, I'm happy with the 65% gain.

TSLA lookin' a little sporty with a potential bounce off its 8 day EMA.  I'm back in via Sept $700 calls, stop at low of day < $705.


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Edited by geokills (08/09/21 07:40 AM)


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