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InvisibleMojo
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Registered: 07/12/07
Posts: 1,676
Re: Stock Update for March 30, 2016 [Re: memes]
    #23207753 - 05/09/16 08:49 PM (7 years, 8 months ago)

I sold my position of GPRO when it hit my stop-loss position of $11.15.  I am bummed that I didn't sell at a considerable gain a few weeks ago.  I was up like 40% :facepalm:.  I'm tempted to dive back in but I am not feeling very confidant about anything right now.  Saving money is better than losing money. :shrug:


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OfflinegeokillsA
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Re: Stock Update for March 30, 2016 [Re: Mojo]
    #23208066 - 05/09/16 10:21 PM (7 years, 8 months ago)

Quote:

Mojo said:
Saving money is better than losing money. :shrug:



Always a good mantra to keep in mind! :biggrin:


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InvisibleLunarEclipse
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Re: Stock Update for March 30, 2016 [Re: geokills]
    #23208954 - 05/10/16 06:16 AM (7 years, 8 months ago)

Quote:

geokills said:
Quote:

Mojo said:
Saving money is better than losing money. :shrug:



Always a good mantra to keep in mind! :biggrin:




How will this tie into negative interest rates?


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Anxiety is what you make it.


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Invisiblememes
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Re: Stock Update for March 30, 2016 [Re: LunarEclipse]
    #23210735 - 05/10/16 03:18 PM (7 years, 8 months ago)

Quote:

LunarEclipse said:
Quote:

geokills said:
Quote:

Mojo said:
Saving money is better than losing money. :shrug:



Always a good mantra to keep in mind! :biggrin:




How will this tie into negative interest rates?



at that point saving money will be losing money.


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InvisibleLunarEclipse
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Re: Stock Update for March 30, 2016 [Re: memes]
    #23211360 - 05/10/16 06:15 PM (7 years, 8 months ago)

Quote:

memes said:
Quote:

LunarEclipse said:
Quote:

geokills said:
Quote:

Mojo said:
Saving money is better than losing money. :shrug:



Always a good mantra to keep in mind! :biggrin:




How will this tie into negative interest rates?



at that point saving money will be losing money.




Thus time to hold gold.  The bail ins are actually much more of a threat to anyone holding onto their bank deposits the bank is actually legally calling liabilities.  Not a good situation for savers.


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Anxiety is what you make it.


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InvisibleMojo
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Re: Stock Update for March 30, 2016 [Re: LunarEclipse]
    #23241931 - 05/18/16 12:54 PM (7 years, 8 months ago)

Back into GPRO I go..  My limit purchase initiated today @ $8.90 per share.


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Offlinekatsung47
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Re: Stock Update for March 30, 2016 [Re: Mojo]
    #23324167 - 06/08/16 11:48 PM (7 years, 7 months ago)



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InvisibleLunarEclipse
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Re: Stock Update for March 30, 2016 [Re: katsung47]
    #23325752 - 06/09/16 12:35 PM (7 years, 7 months ago)

Quote:

katsung47 said:
Billionaire George Soros Dumps 37% of Stocks To “Buy Up Massive Amounts of Gold” But Why?

http://www.shtfplan.com/conspiracy-fact-and-theory/billionaire-george-soros-dumps-37-of-stocks-to-buy-up-massive-amounts-of-gold-bullion_06032016




Maybe he knows the dollar is going to take a shit because the petrodollar is just about dead, and can only be supported by massive inflation, which while great for gold, inevitably isn't so good for the currency/economy.


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Anxiety is what you make it.


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InvisibleMojo
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Re: Stock Update for March 30, 2016 [Re: Mojo]
    #23329026 - 06/10/16 11:08 AM (7 years, 7 months ago)

GPRO hit my stop loss this morning.  All sold at $10.48/share, for a 15% return.  Not bad for a three week run..


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InvisibleAhab McBathsalts
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Re: Stock Update for March 30, 2016 [Re: Mojo]
    #23330164 - 06/10/16 05:49 PM (7 years, 7 months ago)

Altria group - MO hit a new 52 week, and all time high. 26% return plus dividends in the last year.


"ITS LIKE THEY ARE ADDICTED"


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"Nobody exists on purpose. Nobody belongs anywhere. Everybody's going to die."


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OfflinegeokillsA
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Stock Update for September 7, 2016 [Re: Ahab McBathsalts]
    #23623030 - 09/07/16 06:06 PM (7 years, 4 months ago)

It's been fo'ever since I've said much in here... and in large part, that's because the market has been churning around sideways doing a whole lot of nothing (in terms of the major averages) for pretty much the entire summer.  However now that we're past Labor Day, the expectations of any meaningful rate hikes by the Fed remain minimal, and both the Nasdaq and S&P are probing the top of their consolidation channels (with the Dow Transports, Mid and Small Caps already starting to break out today), things are beginning to look interesting again.

As for the S&P, it hasn't technically broke out yet, so this could just be another move to the top of the range with a quick jaunt back to the bottom... but the 50 day moving average has caught up to the bottom of the channel and as we have been in an uptrend, the logical assumption is that after months of consolidation, the uptrend will now continue.  If this thesis turns out to be wrong, we'll know rather quickly, since support in the way of the bottom of the channel and the S&P's 50 DMA is less than 2% below where we currently sit near the top of the channel.  This is one of those rare moments where you can begin to build positions in anticipation of a breakout, and you can keep your stop close enough that you'll know you're wrong before you lose much money.  In other words, a low risk opportunity... which is exactly what good traders look for.

That said, big money looks to be flowing back into the typical tech cohort of "FANG" stocks... FB, AMZN, NFLX and GOOGL.  Of these, FB and AMZN are my favorites, as they have already shown their relative strength by breaking out of some very tight volatility squeezes.  You're a day or two late to the party here, but probably not too late given how long the two have been trading sideways and how strong the companies have been performing.  I also started a position in NFLX yesterday, but it's a bit weaker since it is still dealing with the overhead resistance at its 200 DMA which coincidentally sits right around the psychologically significant $100 level, and its business is not growing as nicely as FB and AMZN have been over past quarters.  A move above $100 and I will be building this position rapidly.  In summary, I presently own AMZN Nov $770 calls, FB Oct $130 calls & Jan $125 calls, and NFLX Oct $95 calls.

I suppose AAPL is worth a mention as well, as even it's lookin' a bit sporty after announcing their new Apple Watch and iPhone 7 today.  It has yet to break out, but all the key moving averages are hovering close together, with price just above them, so if the stock does end up moving above $110, I would absolutely expect additional follow through.  I started a position in some January $105 calls today and would add on a move above $110.

Another one worth looking at is CSX.  It's a railroad company and part of the Dow Jones Transportation Index, which is breaking out of a volatility squeeze today (but still not quite fully broken out above its recent channel).  CSX was a relative outperformer and is just starting to peek its head above a sideways channel that has persisted for the last couple of months, in fact its technical setup is quite similar to AAPL.  If you think oil is going to continue moving higher, the railroads will almost assuredly benefit, as they move a lot of the stuff.  Picked up November $28 calls on this one.

I've also made some scratch on positions in CHK and MEOH, but they are a bit overextended here in the short term (although in the long term look like they could go significantly higher) and I have taken profits save for some small placeholders that remain via CHK Jan $5 calls and MEOH Jan $30 calls, with the intention to rebuild the positions on a pullback that finds support.

For the adrenaline junkie gunslingin' traders out there, consider taking a stab at the new technology issue AIRG, which moved to an all time high today (a +20% move on the biggest volume day this stock has ever had).  Granted, it's been trading for a little less than one month, but typically IPO's that move like this, especially when they start to pick up volume, can move farther and faster than you would believe.  Not for the faint of heart, obviously.  Use trailing stops, definitely!

Just wanted to chime in, since the market doesn't always throw out low risk opportunities (where support is easily defined and not far away from price), but now looks like one of those times so I figured it was worth throwing in an update.  Anyone else have their eye on something in particular?


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··∙   long live the shroomery  ∙··
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InvisibleAroundtheSon
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Re: Stock Update for September 7, 2016 [Re: geokills]
    #23626530 - 09/08/16 05:27 PM (7 years, 4 months ago)

Missed you!

I bought some Buckle today - they are so undervalued in my opinion given the rate and consistency of dividends.

I also sold some ERX (oil for the win!!!!), and maintain a position in ATT.

I took a bit of a gamble this week and bought SDS - 2x the inverse of the s&P. After several days of gains, I like to buy this as a small gamble of a slight pullback.


I sold my nflx at 97. CRY!!!


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OfflinegeokillsA
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Re: Stock Update for September 7, 2016 [Re: AroundtheSon]
    #23628334 - 09/09/16 08:15 AM (7 years, 4 months ago)

D'oh, hawkish Fed comments from a historically dovish Fed official, in conjunction with North Korean nuclear test has the market on edge this morning... revisiting the bottom of the summer channel on the S&P, which could be particularly nasty since we are presently knifing through the 50 DMA.  Could be just more of the same, but I'm not going to leave it to chance, I've closed out much of my exposure so I won't have to stress over the weekend.  Can always trade another day.  I will note that I had a low ball bid in for some March $12 calls on SQ just sitting out there which got filled this morning when the stock tagged its 200 DMA.


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··∙   long live the shroomery  ∙··
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OfflineThe Ecstatic
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Re: Stock Update for September 7, 2016 [Re: geokills]
    #23628782 - 09/09/16 11:36 AM (7 years, 4 months ago)

Interest rate hikes coming during the lame duck, I would almost bet on it :wink:


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InvisibleAhab McBathsalts
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Re: Stock Update for September 7, 2016 [Re: The Ecstatic]
    #23710590 - 10/05/16 05:20 PM (7 years, 3 months ago)

It's been a while since I checked in. I added to some Altria Group today as it is pretty cheap. The funds were entirely from collected dividends from a few stocks that weren't DRIP'ing. At these levels Altria should be DRIP at only 100 shares.


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"Nobody exists on purpose. Nobody belongs anywhere. Everybody's going to die."


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OfflineDr. P. Silocybin
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Re: Stock Update for September 7, 2016 [Re: Ahab McBathsalts]
    #24036950 - 01/24/17 06:47 PM (7 years, 5 days ago)

It's been awhile! Can we get this thread going again? I've been avoiding the market lately, but damn I wish I hadn't. Anyone here make good money on the trump bump? Think it's too late to get in on the action? I'm considering AGX in anticipation of an infrastructure spending bill passing congress soon. Only reason I have for hesitation is that it's already trading for more than double what it was in June...

This boom is bound to bust eventually, right? All it will take is some whiffs of a trade war brewing with China and the market will lose everything it has gained. What to do? What to do?


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OfflineDr. P. Silocybin
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Re: Stock Update for September 7, 2016 [Re: Dr. P. Silocybin]
    #24037022 - 01/24/17 07:18 PM (7 years, 5 days ago)

Also considering buying long term call options on the VIX. After all, what goes up must come down.


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OfflinegeokillsA
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Stock Update for January 25, 2017 [Re: Dr. P. Silocybin]
    #24038729 - 01/25/17 01:51 PM (7 years, 4 days ago)

Well we're breaking out of a volatility squeeze to the upside on the S&P.  Typically this type of move continues for at least a little while.  The market obviously moved in anticipation of Trump's pro-business stance once he won the election, and it seems to be getting a second wind now that he is in office and continuing meetings with corporate leaders, promising to reduce regulation, etc. (mind you I think this guy is an asshole, but the market digs him, so I'm not letting my personal feelings get in the way of my investment decisions).

I bought several Feb $225 calls on the SPY yesterday as we moved to the top of the range after several tests of the 20 day moving average, doubled down this morning as the S&P held its opening gap, and just got stopped out of the last of the position on the quick spike down to the VWAP about twenty minutes ago.  Frankly, I think it's probably safe to hold a bit due to the nature of the volatility expansion to the upside, and on that note, I just bought back 25% of my SPY Feb $225 calls as we look set to close near the highs of the day.  I will be up in the morning to pile back in if strength continues at the open, but this trade will be kept on a tight leash.

I've also made some really good money on TSLA.  I have been very intrigued by the teaser of their solar roof product that is purported to cost less than a regular reroof when it hits the market in approximately a year.  With Trump being very friendly towards American companies that do their work in America (which TSLA is doing), and the fact that Trump has had multiple meetings with Musk since winning the election and taking office, I think the wind is at TSLA's back for the time being.  That said, it has had a hell of a run.  I closed out June $190 calls on the pullback this morning (for a 150% gain) and am still holding Jan 2018 $200 calls with a 160% unrealized gain.  If the stock pulls back to ~$240, I may dip my toe into some Jan 2019 $200 calls at around $65-$68 a piece to sit on for a very long while.

I also bought some Jan 2018 $7 calls on CHK today, as the stock spiked along with the rest of the natural resource stocks on Trump's election but has since settled in and looks like it's bouncing at its 50 day moving average.

Wish I would've bought back into AAPL when it was tagging its 200 day, but I wasn't feeling frisky and missed the boat.  With earnings around the corner, I am hesitant to buy until earnings are out, although it definitely looks like it wants to march higher.  I feel the same about FB, which I made great money on during the last run, but didn't want to get back in when it also was bouncing around its 200 day moving average.  Earnings on Feb 1st, so I probably won't be doing anything with FB until those are released (although if it pulls back, I may buy a lotto ticket via some out of the money options).


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OfflineDr. P. Silocybin
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Re: Stock Update for January 25, 2017 [Re: geokills]
    #24044132 - 01/27/17 03:09 PM (7 years, 2 days ago)

Thanks Geo, insightful as usual. I'm always intrigued by the technical data you employ in trading, moving averages, levels of resistance, ect. It's something that I tend to ignore, but I can see the value in it, especially for active day trading.

I decided that I don't have the stomach right now to play volatility through options. Baring a major geopolitical event the current trend seems likely to continue for some time, so instead I bought shares of VXX. It might be 6 months or a year from now, but volatility will return, and when it does I should be able to make a healthy profit. I still want to add to this position with call options, but that can wait awhile longer.

Also added to my position in FSLR, one of the only stocks I've been holding as a long term investment. It has been absolutely crushed lately. The near future looks pretty bleak for them, but they have the financial stability to ride out this storm. It might take awhile,  but I think the future is bright for FSLR and Solar energy in general. If the price keeps dropping I will probably keep buying more shares.


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InvisibleLunarEclipse
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Re: Stock Update for January 25, 2017 [Re: Dr. P. Silocybin]
    #24044225 - 01/27/17 03:31 PM (7 years, 2 days ago)



--------------------
Anxiety is what you make it.


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