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InvisibleLunarEclipse
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Re: Stock Update for March 16, 2016 [Re: AroundtheSon]
    #23037735 - 03/23/16 01:53 PM (7 years, 10 months ago)

Quote:

AroundtheSon said:
Thanks for the feedback! My timing has been decent lately, er, lucky.:heartpump:




Phew, took a while for my PXD shorts at 139.75 to work out, but bought them all back to cover this morning at 136.25.


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InvisibleAroundtheSon
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Re: Stock Update for March 16, 2016 [Re: LunarEclipse]
    #23038137 - 03/23/16 04:04 PM (7 years, 10 months ago)

Hoping for another down day tomorrow so I can limp back in on ERX.

Did make some money on SDS today due to heavy leverage.


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InvisibleLunarEclipse
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Re: Stock Update for March 16, 2016 [Re: AroundtheSon]
    #23040430 - 03/24/16 06:33 AM (7 years, 10 months ago)

Quote:

AroundtheSon said:
Hoping for another down day tomorrow so I can limp back in on ERX.

Did make some money on SDS today due to heavy leverage.




Gotta be honest, bro, those 2x and 3x ETFs are gonna break you down.  Not good bets with time decay to boot.  Having said that makes me want to short one.  Be careful, oil is going back to 33 IMO and likely lower.  Don't be a hero turned into a zero going long oil. Bad plan, bro.

Buy some SLV on a big dip, my best advice or buy some real silver on a big dip even better advice.


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InvisibleAroundtheSon
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Re: Stock Update for March 16, 2016 [Re: LunarEclipse]
    #23045195 - 03/25/16 04:03 PM (7 years, 10 months ago)

I appreciate the feedback. Let me know if my thinking is way off.

I fund my roth IRA completely, and strive to make principal payments on house/car monthly.

I have an account on SOGOTRADE i use as kind of gambling money. I like the leverage accounts because of the fast movements and "gamble". I was down a shit ton, as I mentioned, but timed the bottom pretty good with a nice purchase.

Of course, I am not getting rich, but it is kind of fun.

I do hold physical silver, and probably should reduce my basis as much of mine was bought at 20 and 21.

I use to play SLV and HL - you think those are worth jumping back into?

(You really see 33 again? rig counts down counterbalanced surplus, no?) Summer demand coming up?


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InvisibleLunarEclipse
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Re: Stock Update for March 16, 2016 [Re: AroundtheSon]
    #23047170 - 03/26/16 05:42 AM (7 years, 9 months ago)

I'd keep buying physical silver then.  I honestly think we are heading to a massive collapse and bail ins.  Frankly a bit worried about that money I have that might just go away.  Banks are in a power position and depositors are at serious risk.  Most people haven't a clue.

Oil has bounced from 26, and the weekly inventory numbers just keep adding to a massive oversupply.  Do yourself a favor and turn off CNBC and start listening to X22 report on youtube.  Dave will set you straight as to what's going on.  X22spotlight has interviews with folks that are great too.  There's so much oil in storage at Cushing that they may run out of room to put it.  Literally.  The shale people have cut back some but now Iran is online.  The demand out of China has fallen off dramatically, and they have a shit ton of oil in storage too.  So yes, I think 33 is a support level that will fail and down we go back into the 26 test area.  No way that was the ultimate low.

This stock market is going to be doing a swan dive soon, I would be amazed if it didn't.  Sure the PPT and the ESF can pump for longer than you'd think, more QE blah blah blah but it's going off a cliff at some point in the future.  Mark my words!



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InvisibleLunarEclipse
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Re: Stock Update for March 16, 2016 [Re: LunarEclipse]
    #23054864 - 03/28/16 12:48 PM (7 years, 9 months ago)

Caught another pump and dump on PDX today damn I love shorting that stock for a quick 4 points.


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InvisibleLunarEclipse
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Re: Stock Update for March 16, 2016 [Re: LunarEclipse]
    #23062172 - 03/30/16 06:23 AM (7 years, 9 months ago)

The timing of this Fed announcement was COMPLETE bullshit.  WTF lunch meeting?  Get real.  Stick to your fucking monthly bullshit, Fed, it's bad enough we have to listen to that mush mouth you know what once a month.  My god I'd go bananas if I had to listen to her any more than that, for reals.

OK so now we know, it's official.  The Fed is global.  Worldwide, in China, not wanting to get their collective arses reamed by China.  So now we are forced into dollar devaluation (like we weren't before) to keep the Red Beasts happy. 

What will the Draghi beasts do in response?

Stay tuned.


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OfflinegeokillsA
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Stock Update for March 30, 2016 [Re: LunarEclipse]
    #23062624 - 03/30/16 09:50 AM (7 years, 9 months ago)

Took profits on my AMZN call, re-shorting the SPY today.  The S&P backed off after it tagged its upper bollinger band on the daily chart during this morning's pop, and as this latest rally has been on for 33 trading days (way longer than is typical) and is getting close to the November highs (which were lower than the all time highs in May), it seems like this is a decent spot to watch for a rollover.  I am still keeping a stop above today's intraday high however, as I was wrong on my last short entry and discipline trumps conviction.


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InvisibleLunarEclipse
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Re: Stock Update for March 30, 2016 [Re: geokills]
    #23064508 - 03/30/16 06:50 PM (7 years, 9 months ago)

Quote:

geokills said:
Took profits on my AMZN call, re-shorting the SPY today.  The S&P backed off after it tagged its upper bollinger band on the daily chart during this morning's pop, and as this latest rally has been on for 33 trading days (way longer than is typical) and is getting close to the November highs (which were lower than the all time highs in May), it seems like this is a decent spot to watch for a rollover.  I am still keeping a stop above today's intraday high however, as I was wrong on my last short entry and discipline trumps conviction.




Yeah good job on AMZN.  I looked at the chart yesterday and 605 looked feasible and it came damn close today.

I thought about buying some SPY puts today but think these pumpers could drive it up even more.  Still, everyone is looking at the same chart and if it does fade off 2070 means 2050 is next then 2020.  But, the risk reward doesn't seem great other than hoping for a spike in VIX along with a fade.  However if/when it does crack as in after May perhaps September it could be a huge drop. 

Shorted PXD again got greedy before fed meeting and didn't cover, now I have to wait.  It's a dog with fleas, how can these pig stocks that make $0 earnings and have debt up their asses keep going up?  Joke.  I'm happy to hang on, no way this shale dog isn't taking a big swan dive in spite of the JPM pump.

How about SUNE?  I seem to recall stating it was going to zero, I think you were long at 12 back then.  With all due respect, these momentum names that are shit financials WILL be paying the heavy price at some point.  I don't want to be long any of this shit when it does, including a wet dream like stinking AMZN.  God what an overpumped POS that stock is.  Just one big short squeeze. 


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Anxiety is what you make it.


Edited by LunarEclipse (03/30/16 06:53 PM)


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Invisiblememes
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Re: Stock Update for March 30, 2016 [Re: LunarEclipse]
    #23065093 - 03/30/16 09:09 PM (7 years, 9 months ago)

i was driving through rural maryland/delaware teh other day and noticed a farm that was previously all corn and other crops had been completely dug up and row upon row upon row upon row of solar panels were being installed


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InvisibleLunarEclipse
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Re: Stock Update for March 30, 2016 [Re: memes]
    #23066165 - 03/31/16 06:23 AM (7 years, 9 months ago)

Quote:

memes said:
i was driving through rural maryland/delaware teh other day and noticed a farm that was previously all corn and other crops had been completely dug up and row upon row upon row upon row of solar panels were being installed




Check out SRM (Solar Radiation Management) which is the ongoing project to reduce the amount of sunlight reaching the earth.  The theory is that reflection off of nano sized metallic particles such as alumina (aluminum oxide) will cool the earth.  However, it actually has resulted in not only less sun reaching the earth, but the earth is warming from the greenhouse effect trapping heat at night versus how much colder it used to get at night given heat radiating back in space versus now.


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OfflinegeokillsA
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Re: Stock Update for March 30, 2016 [Re: geokills]
    #23071207 - 04/01/16 12:22 PM (7 years, 9 months ago)

Although I wish I had covered right at the open, I did cover my SPY short when the first 15 minute high was breached.  Rather amazed at how strong the market has been.  I am almost entirely cash now, but I did sell a handful of March $14 puts on UVXY for $1.04 per contract.  UVXY is a triple leveraged ETF tracking the VIX (volatility index).  Because of the nature of these leveraged ETF's, they have a very strong downward bias, but when they do spike, they tend to do so in a big way.  I believe we're going to get a hiccup in the market, and don't mind taking possession of some UVXY at a net cost of $12.96 per share at March expiration (currently trading at $18.60), although I would honestly be surprised if the position were to be exercised.  If we do get a spike in UVXY, I am likely to buy to cover these short puts prior to expiration.


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OfflineBambi
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Re: Stock Update for March 30, 2016 [Re: geokills]
    #23134093 - 04/19/16 12:58 PM (7 years, 9 months ago)

Wrote out a semi-elegant post this morning (for me, guess it was like 4 am for a lot of yall), but the site underwent maintenance and I lost the post and couldnt load the shroomery for a while. So I'm gonna be a bit less formal this time.

The S&P has been killing it lately, but we are in a questionable area with the SPX at the psychological resistance of 2100 and another trendline. See graph below:



I have been since Agust and still feel bearish. I think we are gonna go back down (but im not that confident because of the whole FED thing) and am gonna bet against the SPX but keep a close eye on it.

Also note the VIX is at about its low



And the VXX is at about a double bottom


*Note these graphs are all from before the open today (19/4)


So this is what I'm thinking... where do yall stand on the economy??

Edit: After looking around a bit, I don't see anything bearish in articles or news... can't tell if thats a good or bad sign, but interesting nonetheless


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"I want to read, talk with my friends via the computer, and enjoy my life now that people know I'm not dead. " -Rom Houben


Edited by Bambi (04/19/16 01:39 PM)


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InvisibleLunarEclipse
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Re: Stock Update for March 30, 2016 [Re: Bambi]
    #23149714 - 04/24/16 09:46 AM (7 years, 9 months ago)

It's becoming more and more obvious that The Fed and their associates have complete control of this market.  Earnings are crap, "they" take down individual names like NFLX or GOOG or MSFT while pumping up the oil stocks that have horrible fundamentals.  It's a joke, except if you are short.  The sell in May will still likely apply, as here we are back to near last years highs. 

The grain prices spiking along with oil and silver in particular has been cause for concern.  Are we going to announce WWIII?  Shut off the Straits of Hormuz and spike oil back over 50? Back to 60?  The tanks are full and supplies build nearly every week, yet oil is into a short squeeze or it's war coming or both.


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Offlinesaenchai
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Re: Stock Update for March 30, 2016 [Re: LunarEclipse]
    #23150704 - 04/24/16 04:40 PM (7 years, 9 months ago)

Gotta love the volatility eh? Haha. Its so funny how the price action is giving the fundamentals the finger. That historically always happens at tops though perhaps not to this extent ever. Bull markets always ride on fumes for a bit after the fundamentals are out from under them.

@Bambi

I will say that a couple of analysts who I trust and try to learn from predicted the timing of the last crash with very good accuracy. They both just put out advisories that a stock market crash is likely to happen in the next 6 months in either summer or fall with a probability of 50 to 70 percent. If not, the market manipulation and so on will continue into 2017 and provide more volatility with the crash becoming more and more likely as time goes on. I can't wait for that day when it all comes down lol. Gonna ride the indexes down. Plus we have the gold/silver rally coming pretty soon. Overall it'll be a fun ride.

To be clear, that isn't to say the entire economy and economic system will necessarily fall to pieces within the same time frame. It could be years, maybe not until the early 2020's or so before hyperinflation and that whole pleasant state of affairs rears its head (Here in the states at least. Already happening in South America and Europe). The world economy is already pretty shredded to pieces anyways. Doesn't take much to see that. I do wonder just how much more serious it will become over time. Must be planned out to be pretty bad if they are going to convince people to accept Agenda 2030 is actually a good idea and isn't the last padlock on the utter enslavement of humanity. You can't make this shit up haha. Good trading to all of you, I hope you fare well during this insanity.


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InvisibleAroundtheSon
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Re: Stock Update for March 30, 2016 [Re: saenchai]
    #23181331 - 05/02/16 06:34 PM (7 years, 8 months ago)

wow , that would be quite the correction.


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InvisibleLunarEclipse
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Re: Stock Update for March 30, 2016 [Re: saenchai]
    #23185728 - 05/03/16 06:33 PM (7 years, 8 months ago)

I really am starting to hate this manipulated bull shit of a market.  No longer want to trade, to sit there watching some screen of manipulated bullshit all day.  I have real work to do, and things that matter.  Fuck this joke of a market, JPM you suck balls and DB you deserve to die.  Scum sucking douchebag wall street assholes all.


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InvisibleAroundtheSon
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Re: Stock Update for March 30, 2016 [Re: LunarEclipse]
    #23201684 - 05/08/16 09:36 AM (7 years, 8 months ago)

That bad huh? Did you take some recent losses?


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Invisiblememes
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Re: Stock Update for March 30, 2016 [Re: AroundtheSon]
    #23207117 - 05/09/16 06:18 PM (7 years, 8 months ago)

Quote:

AroundtheSon said:
That bad huh? Did you take some recent losses?



right?


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InvisibleLunarEclipse
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Re: Stock Update for March 30, 2016 [Re: memes]
    #23207714 - 05/09/16 08:40 PM (7 years, 8 months ago)

Quote:

memes said:
Quote:

AroundtheSon said:
That bad huh? Did you take some recent losses?



right?




At least when you are short the stock you have "unlimited time" along with unlimited liability, but a Fed in this case as proven to be doing it The Dallas Fed buying up crap stock and pushing it to the moon alice with your tax dollars just to protect the big banks oil stock debt disaster.  Or maybe a company that loses money every quarter, has crappy hedges coming off soon, raises money by diluting shares, has debt up the wazoo and coming due soon, with the prospect of much higher interest rates because they are losing $$ every quarter deserves to have it's stock pumped up 20% in two months.  Their plan is to make up the money by increasing production with horizontal drilling and fracking even more.  It's a scam, but that doesn't change the stock runup. Of course the official buyout could be even higher if it's declared in the interest of national security to make these cheaters even richer.  Guess I be against the wrong cheaters in this case.  But like The Big Short, now I'm patiently pissed and waiting for oil to come down again and the market in general to take a shit along with this particular stock.


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