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InvisibleAhab McBathsalts
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Re: Stock Picks for January 30th, 2008 - NLY, T, MO, MCD [Re: geokills] * 1
    #7957927 - 01/30/08 09:20 PM (16 years, 1 day ago)

Praise for altria group. i've been holding on to this for a few years now, and its a cash cow. Altria group continues to do whats best for it's investors. Philip Morris USA isn't worth nearly as much as the expanding Philip Morris International, but Altria continues to grow in market share. 42% up from 40% last year I believe. Altria won't jump up 10% in an afternoon, but on a long term average, it is one of the kings of the Dow.



I got into first solar at about $75 and sold at $120 though hindsight is always 20/20.


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InvisibleAhab McBathsalts
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Re: Stock Picks for January 30th, 2008 - NLY, T, MO, MCD [Re: Liquidkick] * 1
    #7966266 - 02/01/08 07:26 PM (15 years, 11 months ago)

I changed my mind. I like where the some financials have settled. Especially the canadian banks.

My favorite financial is Bank of Nova Scotia, BNS on the TSX. It is quite diversified into emerging markets in central america (almost a 1/3 of revenue)with lots of room to grow as it begins issuing credit cards to populations that have only recently opened bank accounts. The rest is retail canadian banks, with our job numbers looking stronger than the US for the comming months, its a good place to be.


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"Nobody exists on purpose. Nobody belongs anywhere. Everybody's going to die."


Edited by evilnick (02/04/08 08:36 PM)


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InvisibleAhab McBathsalts
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: HalluciNate]
    #16751368 - 08/28/12 10:13 PM (11 years, 4 months ago)

Hi!

I'm just getting started back in the market. Traded a little between 2005-2007, but am starting around to following it again.


There is a little bit of hype about the fed's comments on friday, but i think there won't be any comments about further quantitative easing. A little bit of gold might sell off, I want to bet 2%. I'm thinking the good times are gunna roll in the stock market after Labour Day. Romney is gunna win, he'll slash programs and cut the deficit and the stock market will rally to fuck.

All the global economic news is so bad right now, there isn't much more downside. China is finally slowing down, but they've been cooking their books forever. Homebuilders are coming back around, the S&P is up 16% this year. Good times ahead.

I just gotta work on getting some capital going back into my trading account. I'll be lucky if I can get a k in before xmas.


After


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InvisibleAhab McBathsalts
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Hotnuts]
    #17133474 - 10/30/12 09:18 PM (11 years, 2 months ago)

Any predictions for tomorrow's opening?

After 2 days of being closed, a couple of billion in insurance losses, mediocre earnings, and a rapidly approaching election. I'm thinking this could be a "storm" of triggers that sees the S&P down 6% before the election.


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InvisibleAhab McBathsalts
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Gilgamesh18]
    #17461442 - 12/28/12 02:40 PM (11 years, 1 month ago)

Fiscal cliff is definitely happening. I would imagine there is going to be a shit ton of selling on Monday. It wouldn't surprise me to see over 4 or 5% fall off the S&P.


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"Nobody exists on purpose. Nobody belongs anywhere. Everybody's going to die."


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InvisibleAhab McBathsalts
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Re: STOCKS - An Intro Tutorial & Ongoing Discussion [Re: Bambi]
    #17487895 - 01/02/13 06:34 PM (11 years, 27 days ago)

Haha! I was definately wrong, but my Qualcomm options for April did fantastic today, as I'm sure everyone will have many winners!


:awebig: A 300 day on the Dow is an amazing thing.


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InvisibleAhab McBathsalts
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Re: Stock Update for January 18, 2012 - SPY, FB, ANR, CLF, NBR [Re: geokills]
    #17592255 - 01/22/13 06:42 PM (11 years, 7 days ago)

MO, T, LMT, EXC, & VZ


A cool little article I read today about dividend stocks and long term rates of return.

Dividend stocks are pretty boring, and you might not get the same results as more aggressive trading strategies, but it reaffirms my love for Philip Morris. Annualized, of course.



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InvisibleAhab McBathsalts
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Re: Stock Update for January 18, 2012 - SPY, FB, ANR, CLF, NBR [Re: Gilgamesh18]
    #17593654 - 01/22/13 09:59 PM (11 years, 7 days ago)

3 - 6% is fairly typical for the higher paying dividend stocks.

Speaking from a Canadian perspective, banks, oil, tobacco, large telecoms, and pipelines are good places to look.

Ecopetrol S.A. (ADR), EC has a monster 6.5% dividend and steady capital growth over the last few years
Altria Group, MO is 5.3%
Most Canadian banks are at about 4%, BMO, BNS, RBC, etc.


Dividend reinvestment plans or DRIP accounts are available from some companies, but I believe you need to look on the corporate relation section


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InvisibleAhab McBathsalts
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Re: Stock Update for January 18, 2012 - SPY, FB, ANR, CLF, NBR [Re: Gilgamesh18]
    #17593727 - 01/22/13 10:07 PM (11 years, 7 days ago)

I'm not sure how they are taxed in the US, but dividends are different than interest, but can be taxed similarly.


It is a different financial instrument. A bond is lending a company money with the repayment of the principle amount plus annual or semi-annual interest amounts for a fixed period of time.

A stock is owning a tiny fraction of the company, but if a company has good cashflow and doesn't see any worthwhile investments for its free cash, it can choose to pay out part of its after tax profits back to its shareholders.

Some companies have taken the opinion that management can invest the companies profits better than giving it back to shareholder. Usually technology or high growth companies, while others such as pipelines or ciggarettes will have lots of cashflow, but no real need to expand current operations or make capital purchases of new factories or equipment so they can give money back to the shareholders.


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"Nobody exists on purpose. Nobody belongs anywhere. Everybody's going to die."


Edited by Ahab McBathsalts (01/22/13 10:14 PM)


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InvisibleAhab McBathsalts
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Re: Stock Update for January 18, 2012 - SPY, FB, ANR, CLF, NBR [Re: Ahab McBathsalts]
    #17593770 - 01/22/13 10:13 PM (11 years, 7 days ago)

On the same note, a company can repurchase some of its outstanding shares with its surplus after-tax to increase share price for shareholders.

A $1,000,000 market cap stock has 100,000 outstanding shares for $10 / share.

If the company has $100,000 (10,000 shares) in surplus earnings it can repurchase that amount from the market to leave $1,000,000 / 90,000 to make the share price ~ $11.11 per share.


Or it could have issued that same $100,000 out as $1.00 dividends to each of the shareholders instead of repurchasing.


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InvisibleAhab McBathsalts
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Re: Notes on Dividend Paying Stocks vs Bonds, and Share Buybacks. [Re: ben_dover0802]
    #17905061 - 03/04/13 08:23 PM (10 years, 10 months ago)

The VXX might actually be a good place to be because there are lots of people that believe that the market has topped because of the resistance at these levels, and a sharp correction could be just around the corner.

I have some 40.00 Call options for Tesla motors for May 18th expiry. I'm betting they blow out the quarterly results.


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InvisibleAhab McBathsalts
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Re: Notes on Dividend Paying Stocks vs Bonds, and Share Buybacks. [Re: ben_dover0802]
    #17921152 - 03/07/13 07:55 PM (10 years, 10 months ago)

My Tesla options are up from 1.05 on last Tuesday to 1.70ish today, but I'm going to hold on to them until they report their next quarter.


I just dove into some Pier 1 Import call options, April 20th expiry at 24.00 Strike.

If housing and Home Depot are doing so well, I'm betting on a blow out quarter for this furnishing retailer.


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InvisibleAhab McBathsalts
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Re: Notes on Dividend Paying Stocks vs Bonds, and Share Buybacks. [Re: Ahab McBathsalts]
    #18011587 - 03/25/13 10:34 PM (10 years, 10 months ago)

Tesla slid back down to about .60, and have re-ralled to 1.40.

I doubled my position when they came down, and they are profitable, but Elon tweeted today there will be big news from the company on Thursday. I really want the stock to hit about 40.00 and my options to pop to 2.65.


My tax refund is going into some VLO options, probably for a 46 or 47 strike for May.


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InvisibleAhab McBathsalts
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Re: Notes on Dividend Paying Stocks vs Bonds, and Share Buybacks. [Re: Ahab McBathsalts]
    #18011812 - 03/25/13 11:26 PM (10 years, 10 months ago)

Here is kind of a nice graphic on why the US refiners, especially VLO is going to blow out the quarter again, and again for several years to come


http://www.cbc.ca/edmonton/interactive/bubble/


Plus, the oil isn't even being sold at WTI prices, as I understand most is being shipped off and sold at brent prices to Asia or Europe.


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InvisibleAhab McBathsalts
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Re: Notes on Dividend Paying Stocks vs Bonds, and Share Buybacks. [Re: ben_dover0802]
    #18045316 - 04/02/13 07:42 AM (10 years, 9 months ago)

Yeah, my options were up about 400%. It was lucrative as tits.

I sold out and put my profits in some CAT puts for their earnings, QCOM calls, and VLO calls.


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InvisibleAhab McBathsalts
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Re: Notes on Dividend Paying Stocks vs Bonds, and Share Buybacks. [Re: ben_dover0802]
    #18049807 - 04/02/13 11:17 PM (10 years, 9 months ago)

Blackberry is too bold for me.

The US refiners got hit hard today, but VLO fell below its 50 day MA. I'm hesitant to put in more.

I might save up some cash and go long on CMI, especially if there is a nice dip in price this week. Jimmy C was talking about how shitty the job reports on friday is going to be, so I'll hold off on any purchases until then, but my caterpillar puts have been doing pretty good.


Fuck it. Go hard boys. The money is out there.


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InvisibleAhab McBathsalts
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Re: Notes on Dividend Paying Stocks vs Bonds, and Share Buybacks. [Re: memes]
    #18115592 - 04/15/13 09:30 PM (10 years, 9 months ago)

I got puts on CAT like a boss! selling off my $87.50 P tomorrow and buying some more 80.00.

This market is going to hit the shit box.


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InvisibleAhab McBathsalts
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Re: Notes on Dividend Paying Stocks vs Bonds, and Share Buybacks. [Re: sofa_king_happy]
    #18147098 - 04/21/13 09:44 PM (10 years, 9 months ago)

CAT reports before the bell tomorrow. I have all $80 puts. There is a pretty solid floor at $80, and expectations are already pretty low, but I'm hoping it drops to $78 tomorrow and sells off a little more during the week.


I think my next trade will be puts on the S&P via a few 135.00 puts on the SPY until at least the fall or winter this year.

I'm a full on bear.


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InvisibleAhab McBathsalts
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Re: Notes on Dividend Paying Stocks vs Bonds, and Share Buybacks. [Re: ben_dover0802]
    #18301522 - 05/21/13 11:32 PM (10 years, 8 months ago)

I sold out of tesla at a healthy profit, but should have let those options double a few more times :facepalm:


Currently most of my portfolio in very low risk stocks that primarily trade on the Toronto exchange

BCE - Bell Canada, 3% up, .3 beta - 5% dividend
ENF - Enbridge income fund - up 9% in 2 months with a .2 beta and a 5.5% dividend
DI.UN - 7.3% dividend -Dundee International Income Fund is a real estate investment trust that is a fairly recent offering on the exchange is is almost entirely German commercial buildings

My other holding is some longer term TBT options, which are Proshare UltraShort 20 year treasury, which is 2x leveraged inverse of US treasuries and trades up with increases in market yield. Interest rates should rise by the end of the year, but that is really up to the Fed.


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InvisibleAhab McBathsalts
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Re: Notes on Dividend Paying Stocks vs Bonds, and Share Buybacks. [Re: ben_dover0802]
    #18407463 - 06/12/13 09:07 AM (10 years, 7 months ago)

I sold off my TBT - Inverse 2x twenty year treasuries call jan 2014, 80 strike for about a 45% profit today.

I've mostly moved into 160.00 Spy Puts for July for my options trading action.

The rest of my portfolio is pretty heavy dividend focused with very low betas, and has been hit hard lately. But I absolutely hate the way the s&P is looking.

Since mid May its all lower highs and lower lows and it is closing in on falling below the 50 day moving average at 1610


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