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ZippoZ
Knomadic
Registered: 06/17/03
Posts: 13,227
Loc: Pongyang, North Korea
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an X3 solar flare just kicked up off of the sun, aimed right at earth
#6363756 - 12/12/06 08:43 PM (17 years, 3 months ago) |
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yep, X-FLARE: Sunspot 930 has just unleashed another big solar flare, an X3-class explosion at 0240 UT on Dec. 13th (9:40 pm EST on Dec. 12th). Stay tuned for updates.
now if this flare also acompanies a coronal mass ejection (CME) we are going to have some kick ass auroras going on within a few days time. we havent had an X class flare aimed at the planet like this, in quite a few years. also to top it off, were currently in the middle of a meteor shower.
in the last hour alone we had a very strong radio blackout, and are currently still having one, and a radiation storm may also happen (which is odd because we had one just the other day, and they are usually quite rare) . This is going to SUCK for the astronauts that are currently in the ISS.
there is also a chance that this could severly fuck with orbiting satllites if the polarity of the CME isnt correctly matched to the polarity of the magnetosphere orbiting this planet.
you can watch some real time video of it happening here from the SOHO space craft which is currently orbiting the planet focused on the sun.
http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/realtime-images.html - soho satelitte images www.spaceweather.com - aurora forecast and other space weather info http://www.sec.noaa.gov/SWN/ - us govt run space weather data (most of this info is put into more understandable terms on the spaceweather page)
enjoy, !
-------------------- PEACE zippoz "in times of widespread chaos and confusion, it has been the duty of more advanced human beings - artists, scientists, clowns, and philosophers - to create order. In such times as ours however, when there is too much order, too much m management, too much programming and control, it becomes the duty of superior men and women and women to fling their favorite monkey wrenches into the machinery. To relieve the repression of the human spirit, they must sow doubt and disruption" "People do it every day, they talk to themselves ... they see themselves as they'd like to be, they don't have the courage you have, to just run with it."
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ZippoZ
Knomadic
Registered: 06/17/03
Posts: 13,227
Loc: Pongyang, North Korea
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Re: an X3 solar flare just kicked up off of the sun, aimed right at earth [Re: ZippoZ]
#6363811 - 12/12/06 08:56 PM (17 years, 3 months ago) |
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yup, as i guessed, were now having an S2 level radiation storm in the upper atmosphere.... i hope those astronauts are allright. The ACE space craft that houses the solar wind measuring instruments is partially blacked out by this latest burst (located half way between the earth and sun) , which is a shame because if we knew more about how fast the solar wind was blowing we could determine how fast a CME would aproach earth and spark auroras (if a cme occoured in tandem with the flare)
well here is a video from soho of the flare.... looks like it wasnt aimed directly at the planet, more off to the top right of space you can literally see it spewing TONS of gasses and matter into space
http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/LATEST/current_c2small.mpg
still it might have a big effect here on earth.
-------------------- PEACE zippoz "in times of widespread chaos and confusion, it has been the duty of more advanced human beings - artists, scientists, clowns, and philosophers - to create order. In such times as ours however, when there is too much order, too much m management, too much programming and control, it becomes the duty of superior men and women and women to fling their favorite monkey wrenches into the machinery. To relieve the repression of the human spirit, they must sow doubt and disruption" "People do it every day, they talk to themselves ... they see themselves as they'd like to be, they don't have the courage you have, to just run with it."
Edited by zippoz (12/12/06 09:05 PM)
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hobbitxkillyou
Shark wrestlingchampion
Registered: 08/11/05
Posts: 943
Loc: Pennsylvania
Last seen: 16 years, 7 months
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Re: an X3 solar flare just kicked up off of the sun, aimed right at earth [Re: ZippoZ]
#6364014 - 12/12/06 10:00 PM (17 years, 3 months ago) |
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Hey zippoz, can you post a link directly to aurora forecasts? I've been trying to follow this, hoping to catch a glimpse of one in northern PA, but can never seem to find a forecast on the spaceweather site.
-------------------- When the going gets wierd, the wierd turn pro. -H. S. Thompson
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RoosterCogburn
Fearless,one-eyed U.S.Marshall
Registered: 08/25/06
Posts: 8,508
Loc: Dirty South, NJ
Last seen: 12 years, 6 months
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Re: an X3 solar flare just kicked up off of the sun, aimed right at earth [Re: hobbitxkillyou]
#6364032 - 12/12/06 10:04 PM (17 years, 3 months ago) |
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Should we be hiding in the basement? You got me all worried and shit...
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daytripper05
Psychonaut
Registered: 10/30/06
Posts: 6,962
Loc: In my garden
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Re: an X3 solar flare just kicked up off of the sun, aimed right at earth [Re: RoosterCogburn]
#6364094 - 12/12/06 10:18 PM (17 years, 3 months ago) |
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What is there going to be like brite colors in the sky.
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DNKYD
Turtle!
Registered: 09/23/04
Posts: 12,326
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Re: an X3 solar flare just kicked up off of the sun, aimed right at earth [Re: ZippoZ]
#6364158 - 12/12/06 10:36 PM (17 years, 3 months ago) |
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APOD has a cool pic somewhat related to the solar flares acting up recently. It's a huge tsunami flying across the surface of the sun:
http://antwrp.gsfc.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html
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California
A E S T H E T I C S A T A N
Registered: 12/27/04
Posts: 72,118
Loc: H A U N T E D H O U S E
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Re: an X3 solar flare just kicked up off of the sun, aimed right at earth [Re: ZippoZ]
#6364166 - 12/12/06 10:39 PM (17 years, 3 months ago) |
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Solar flares-beauty, beast?
It's raining and I'm missing the Geminid meteor shower show. I think it peaks tomorrow, but's supposed to be raining then also.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geminid
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ZippoZ
Knomadic
Registered: 06/17/03
Posts: 13,227
Loc: Pongyang, North Korea
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Re: an X3 solar flare just kicked up off of the sun, aimed right at earth [Re: hobbitxkillyou]
#6364222 - 12/12/06 10:57 PM (17 years, 3 months ago) |
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well, the aurora forecast is a difficult thing to catch, because they happen for different reasons, and arent really consistent (theres alot of space from here to the sun!)
but generally they are caused by 2 things which you need to watch out for. 1) a high speed coronal hole. explanation: this is when there are one or more dark 'cold' spots on the sun. the 'cold' spots have somewhat weaker magnetic fields and allow for energetic particles to escape from the suns surface and expand into the solar wind. in a day or 2 or 3 (depending on how fast they travel in the solar wind) they reach earth. As they are composed of highly energetic particles they interact with the earths natural magnetosphere and cause auroras.
2) a solar flare releases a CME (corolan mas ejection) this is when the sun has a large explosion on its surface from one of its sun spots. this hurles the energetic particles out into space much faster than a coronal hole, and im much larger particles, if it is aimed at earth, it usuallt takes about a day or 2 to hit the planet, at which point it reacts with the magnetosphere of earth producing auroras!
when these particles hit the earth its called a Geo-Magnetic storm, and the solar wind will pick up and start moving much faster than usual. both of these conditions can be found on the SEC page, as well as the space weather page that i listed above
happy hunting! I hope that info helps, baiscally its tough to tell when it will happpen, but is worth many days of watching and wishing because when you see it, it kicks ass.
also that pic that DNKYD posted is of a flare the other day, an X6 a very very powerful flare, today's was an X3 also a very very powerful flare.
the largest ever recorded was in 02 if my memory recalls right and it was an x-26 where the aurora was seen as far south as florida and mexico
-------------------- PEACE zippoz "in times of widespread chaos and confusion, it has been the duty of more advanced human beings - artists, scientists, clowns, and philosophers - to create order. In such times as ours however, when there is too much order, too much m management, too much programming and control, it becomes the duty of superior men and women and women to fling their favorite monkey wrenches into the machinery. To relieve the repression of the human spirit, they must sow doubt and disruption" "People do it every day, they talk to themselves ... they see themselves as they'd like to be, they don't have the courage you have, to just run with it."
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