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Eggshell Walker

Registered: 01/19/00
Posts: 15,413
Loc: In the hen house
Making a Million Predicting Sports
    #3457609 - 12/07/04 12:38 AM (12 years, 4 months ago)

A man sends out bulk e-mail sent out a day or two in advance of a football game along with some blather about neural networks and supercomputers or bio-rhythms or stars or some such.

Half of the 500,000 or so letters predict one team. And another letter going to different people under a different company name predicts another team.

He keeps a list of which predictions are correct. And each week cuts the mailing list in half. Rinse and repeat.

Some e-mail recipients will be totally amazed that he has got eight or more in-a row correct and then he signs them into a high-priced sport betting service.

These people will be CERTAIN they have stumbled into the proverbial pot of gold and will hold on even when things start to go bad or may be locked into an annual contract when things were good.

Now apply this same approach to anecdotes of things that work (via anecdote) yet do not work under CONTROLLED testing.


The proof is in the pudding.

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Chill the FuckOut!
 User Gallery

Registered: 10/10/02
Posts: 27,301
Loc: mndfreeze's puppet army
Re: Making a Million Predicting Sports [Re: Swami]
    #3457739 - 12/07/04 01:07 AM (12 years, 4 months ago)

Damn, if I didn't have these pesky morals, I'd be tempted to try something just like that.


"It is dangerous to be right when the government is wrong."--Voltaire

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General Interest >> Philosophy, Sociology & Psychology

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