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Offlinekoods
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Re: Viral outbreak in China [Re: Jokeshopbeard]
    #26683823 - 05/20/20 05:25 PM (3 years, 8 months ago)

Sells papers?


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NotSheekle said
“if I believed she was 16 I would become unattracted to her”


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InvisibleJokeshopbeard
Humble Student

Registered: 11/30/11
Posts: 26,088
Loc: Deep in the system Flag
Re: Viral outbreak in China [Re: koods]
    #26683826 - 05/20/20 05:26 PM (3 years, 8 months ago)

Like, it makes a good sensationalist MSM story.


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Let it be seen that you are nothing. And in knowing that you are nothing... there is nothing to lose, there is nothing to gain. What can happen to you? Something can happen to the body, but it will either heal or it won't. What's the big deal? Let life knock you to bits. Let life take you apart. Let life destroy you. It will only destroy what you are not.
--Jac O'keeffe


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InvisibleAmanita86
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Re: Viral outbreak in China [Re: koods]
    #26683830 - 05/20/20 05:27 PM (3 years, 8 months ago)

Some people don’t hold weight unless they’re actively lifting.  I can lose months of work in a matter of a few weeks.  So add that to a pretty massive cut in calorie intake and you’re gonna go string bean pretty quick.


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:mushroom2:Orange clock, pencil:bouncysmoke:
"They threw me off the hay truck about noon...":fishing:
:mushroom2:*Mark 15:34:levitate::mushroom2::blueninja:
Gam zeh ya’avor...:sunny:


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InvisibleThe Blind Ass
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Registered: 08/16/16
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Re: Viral outbreak in China [Re: Amanita86]
    #26683912 - 05/20/20 05:57 PM (3 years, 8 months ago)

Yup


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Give me Liberty caps -or- give me Death caps


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OnlineCHeifM4sterDiezL
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Registered: 07/28/10
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Re: Viral outbreak in China [Re: koods]
    #26684185 - 05/20/20 07:57 PM (3 years, 8 months ago)

Quote:

koods said:
Quote:

CHeifM4sterDiezL said:
well boot me up with whatever up way more efficient u know me. Its not my fault this one out of a billion guy had a rough time with covid. What do u want from me?




Dude there are tons of people in their 40s who end up on ventilators. Young people get very sick with covid, they are just able to survive being in a medically induced coma with a ventilator breathing for them better than older people.



I've been looking at the critical case load specifically from the beginning. Its always hovered around 5% has that changed since I stopped giving a fuck?


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OnlineCHeifM4sterDiezL
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Re: Viral outbreak in China [Re: CHeifM4sterDiezL]
    #26684186 - 05/20/20 07:58 PM (3 years, 8 months ago)

5% of those confirmed infected that is


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Offlinekoods
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Re: Viral outbreak in China [Re: CHeifM4sterDiezL]
    #26684377 - 05/20/20 09:47 PM (3 years, 8 months ago)

Lol 6% of confirmed cases have died, so that is obviously wrong.

Where are you getting the critical case load data? That is not reliably reported data. Some places report it others do not. From what I’ve seen between 20-25% of confirmed cases get hospitalized.


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NotSheekle said
“if I believed she was 16 I would become unattracted to her”


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OnlineCHeifM4sterDiezL
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Re: Viral outbreak in China [Re: koods] * 1
    #26684393 - 05/20/20 09:57 PM (3 years, 8 months ago)

Thats hospitalized I'm talking about critical even that number seems extremely high. Ur saying about a quarter people who contract covid need hospitalization? No way bro guy. Maybe big MAYBE a third of symptomatic people. And a very significantly small portion of those are critical. Get real koodies


Edited by CHeifM4sterDiezL (05/20/20 09:59 PM)


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OnlineCHeifM4sterDiezL
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Re: Viral outbreak in China [Re: CHeifM4sterDiezL]
    #26684411 - 05/20/20 10:06 PM (3 years, 8 months ago)

no way do even a quarter or fifth of all symptomatic people need to be hospitalized. I mean think about what ur saying


Edited by CHeifM4sterDiezL (05/20/20 10:06 PM)


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OnlineCHeifM4sterDiezL
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Re: Viral outbreak in China [Re: CHeifM4sterDiezL]
    #26684421 - 05/20/20 10:12 PM (3 years, 8 months ago)

Another thing I was thinking what if our whole understanding of this shit is wrong. What if wayyy more people are getting seasonal viruses than we think were just not doing comprehensive testing. Maybe that's why these things tend to move thru populations and seem to come and go more or less strongly rather mysteriously. Thats just a thought I had the other day. Like maybe this will expose some huge gap in our understanding


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Offlinekoods
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Re: Viral outbreak in China [Re: CHeifM4sterDiezL]
    #26684436 - 05/20/20 10:24 PM (3 years, 8 months ago)

26.3% of cases in NYC have required hospitalization

https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page

Currently in NY state there are 6220 people in hospital, 2077 in ICU.

That would mean approximately 8.75% critical care rate.

Consider however that in NYC about 20% of deaths occur outside of a hospital. These are people who would likely have required critical care if they had been hospitalized.


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NotSheekle said
“if I believed she was 16 I would become unattracted to her”


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Offlinekoods
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Re: Viral outbreak in China [Re: CHeifM4sterDiezL]
    #26684438 - 05/20/20 10:26 PM (3 years, 8 months ago)

Quote:

CHeifM4sterDiezL said:
no way do even a quarter or fifth of all symptomatic people need to be hospitalized. I mean think about what ur saying




Yeah about 20% of symptomatics require hospitalization.

Why does this surprise you? Covid is an extremely serious and dangerous disease. Five times as many people as normal have died in NYC in the past two months. 100,000 extra deaths occurred in the US in the month of April. Covid is currently the leading cause of death in the US.


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NotSheekle said
“if I believed she was 16 I would become unattracted to her”


Edited by koods (05/20/20 10:30 PM)


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Offlinelifeiswhatyoumake
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Re: Viral outbreak in China [Re: koods] * 3
    #26684492 - 05/20/20 11:00 PM (3 years, 8 months ago)

If he can't understand that fact by now then I don't know if he will ever be able to.


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Check out my new psytrance track "Sake Psychic": https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1xyEPGfiDrA ;


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OfflineRebeccaBlack
Screw you guys, I'm going home
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Registered: 07/15/11
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Re: Viral outbreak in China [Re: koods]
    #26684522 - 05/20/20 11:12 PM (3 years, 8 months ago)

Quote:

koods said:
Quote:

CHeifM4sterDiezL said:
no way do even a quarter or fifth of all symptomatic people need to be hospitalized. I mean think about what ur saying




Yeah about 20% of symptomatics require hospitalization.

Why does this surprise you? Covid is an extremely serious and dangerous disease. Five times as many people as normal have died in NYC in the past two months. 100,000 extra deaths occurred in the US in the month of April. Covid is currently the leading cause of death in the US.




We don't know how many symptomatic people we have around. We mostly know about the hospitalization as that's when people end up getting tested nowadays.


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Offlinekoods
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Re: Viral outbreak in China [Re: RebeccaBlack]
    #26684550 - 05/20/20 11:28 PM (3 years, 8 months ago)

I think New York is getting most of their symptomatics. Their positive testing rate is down to 4%


--------------------
NotSheekle said
“if I believed she was 16 I would become unattracted to her”


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OnlineCHeifM4sterDiezL
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Re: Viral outbreak in China [Re: koods] * 5
    #26684780 - 05/21/20 03:18 AM (3 years, 8 months ago)

Idk koods seems like ur cherry picking and going with the worst numbers and running with that just to be a dickhwad about this


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Offlinemorrowasted
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Re: Viral outbreak in China [Re: CHeifM4sterDiezL]
    #26684974 - 05/21/20 06:48 AM (3 years, 8 months ago)

Im still sticking with my original guess of 0.6% cfr. That estimate was based on random surveying in south korea using pcr tests and not antibody tests.


People who think that number isnt bad just dont know anything about respiratory infections or math, though

In any case i still suspect that it will turn out to be the case that, just like with flu, some strains are more virulent than others and generalizations about things like cfr for covid19 in general will not prove to be especially useful once that strain data is understood.


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InvisibleballsalsaMDiscord
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Re: Viral outbreak in China [Re: morrowasted]
    #26685057 - 05/21/20 07:43 AM (3 years, 8 months ago)

I haven't looked at the data in a couple of weeks due to being super busy/exhausted but at that time I noticed that some of the hardest hit spots (NY, UK, Italy) were tracking a lot of A clade strains.  The west coast(among others) was tracking many more B clade strains.  No idea if that has held up but it also seemed like A1 clade was giving rise to the greatest number of new strains by a large margin.


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InvisibleCosmic_Flame
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Re: Viral outbreak in China [Re: ballsalsa]
    #26685083 - 05/21/20 07:54 AM (3 years, 8 months ago)

I went out yesterday into dystopia land and was impressed with how the stores have all made signs, designated areas, plenty of antibacterial soap/wipes. And all of the employees and shoppers were wearing masks. Its weird seeing so many places closed yet so many people on the road. In my area its like a 50/50 of people following guidelines vs not. I still see groups of people walking the street like nothing is happening, 0 social distancing but at least when I'm out getting groceries and running errands, people inside the places I've gone to are following the guidelines.


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Pull the blinds and change their minds....


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Invisiblevinsue
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Re: Viral outbreak in China [Re: Cosmic_Flame] * 2
    #26685217 - 05/21/20 09:10 AM (3 years, 8 months ago)

Almost half of Twitter accounts sharing coronavirus tweets are likely bots, according to Carnegie Mellon University research released Wednesday.

The university’s researchers scoured through more than 200 million tweets talking about coronavirus or COVID-19 since January and concluded nearly 45 percent of the accounts behaved like robots instead of humans, NPR reported...

...More than 100 inaccurate COVID-19 narratives were found, including those about potential cures, but the likely bots are involved in discussions about reopening and ending stay-at-home orders. Some of the accounts tweet about conspiracy theories, like hospitals being filled with mannequins or the coronavirus spreading through 5G wireless towers, which are both untrue.

But researchers said it was too early to determine what individuals and groups were behind the likely bots, but the tweets seem to instigate division in the U.S. 

"We do know that it looks like it's a propaganda machine, and it definitely matches the Russian and Chinese playbooks, but it would take a tremendous amount of resources to substantiate that," Carley said...
https://thehill.com/policy/technology/498915-almost-half-of-accounts-sharing-coronavirus-tweets-likely-bots-researchers

More likely the work of Brad Parscale.



in before cries of 'fake news'
:chump: . . . :peace:


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"All mushrooms are edible; but some only once." Croatian proverb. BTW ...
  Have You Rated Ythans Mom Yet ?? ... :taser:  ... HERE'S HOW ... (be nice) .  :mod: ... :peace:


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