Home | Community | Message Board

Magic Mushrooms Zamnesia
This site includes paid links. Please support our sponsors.


Welcome to the Shroomery Message Board! You are experiencing a small sample of what the site has to offer. Please login or register to post messages and view our exclusive members-only content. You'll gain access to additional forums, file attachments, board customizations, encrypted private messages, and much more!

Kraken Kratom Shop: Red Vein Kratom

Jump to first unread post Pages: 1
InvisibleAhab McBathsalts
OTD Windmill Administrator
Other User Gallery Ultimate Champion: Blackjack


Folding@home Statistics
Registered: 11/25/02
Posts: 35,107
Loc: Wind Turbine, AB Flag
Anyone worried about "not"-QE?
    #26380095 - 12/13/19 08:10 PM (4 years, 1 month ago)

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/12/13/fed-ramping-up-repo-operations-to-head-off-year-end-funding-issues.html

Quote:

All told, the operations are designed to inject at least another $425 billion into the system.





That is a ton of money being printed. I've been increasingly bearish for months now and I feel like this market is going to break any month now. Within 3 - 12 months the cracks the Fed is trying to plaster over are going to shatter the foundations. The fed has no room to cut and they can't afford a recession, but it's coming anyway and I think it's going to be the nastiest one yet.

I'm currently in about 35% gold, 20% bonds, rest still in equities and maybe 2% in couple of longer dated puts on an index as a hedge, but I think I'll keep rolling these longer puts as they expire.

Anyone have some thoughts? Or is this time different?


--------------------
"Nobody exists on purpose. Nobody belongs anywhere. Everybody's going to die."


Extras: Filter Print Post Top
OfflineBrian Jones
Club 27
Male User Gallery


Registered: 12/18/12
Posts: 12,340
Loc: attending Snake Church
Last seen: 7 hours, 21 minutes
Re: Anyone worried about "not"-QE? [Re: Ahab McBathsalts]
    #26381704 - 12/14/19 04:45 PM (4 years, 1 month ago)

The Vanguard Group just released a report saying not to expect over 3% returns annualized after inflation for the next decade.


--------------------
"The Rolling Stones will break up over Brian Jones' dead body"    John Lennon

I don't want no commies in my car. No Christians either.

The worst thing about corruption is that it works so well,


Extras: Filter Print Post Top
InvisibleAhab McBathsalts
OTD Windmill Administrator
Other User Gallery Ultimate Champion: Blackjack


Folding@home Statistics
Registered: 11/25/02
Posts: 35,107
Loc: Wind Turbine, AB Flag
Re: Anyone worried about "not"-QE? [Re: Brian Jones]
    #26381990 - 12/14/19 07:44 PM (4 years, 1 month ago)

2000 to 2013 was basically flat after dividends and inflation. It wouldn't be unheard of.


--------------------
"Nobody exists on purpose. Nobody belongs anywhere. Everybody's going to die."


Extras: Filter Print Post Top
InvisibleAhab McBathsalts
OTD Windmill Administrator
Other User Gallery Ultimate Champion: Blackjack


Folding@home Statistics
Registered: 11/25/02
Posts: 35,107
Loc: Wind Turbine, AB Flag
Re: Anyone worried about "not"-QE? [Re: Ahab McBathsalts]
    #26387589 - 12/17/19 05:48 PM (4 years, 1 month ago)





Or maybe I'm completely wrong and it's time to go full bull.


--------------------
"Nobody exists on purpose. Nobody belongs anywhere. Everybody's going to die."


Edited by Ahab McBathsalts (12/17/19 05:53 PM)


Extras: Filter Print Post Top
OfflineSempeur
Tourist

Registered: 01/12/20
Posts: 59
Loc: Canada Flag
Last seen: 3 years, 1 month
Re: Anyone worried about "not"-QE? [Re: Ahab McBathsalts]
    #26461976 - 01/31/20 11:32 AM (3 years, 11 months ago)

I think the West is going to trend towards what the Bank of Japan is doing, which is to say more "Not-QE". Their balance sheet has now grown to exceed the size of their GDP and their interest rates are going negative.

We are entering a world in which central banks have very little means of preventing recessions, besides printing money (not a super great option in a lot of scenarios...) and maybe having a hand in govt. financial policy change. The new line of thinking is that possibly recessions aren't bad, which kind of just seems like the press trying to look on the bright side in a bad situation (or prevent panic, but whatever).

We are in uncharted territory for sure.

Sources:
BoJ GDP
BoJ Interest rate
Recession Indicators


--------------------
Be strange, but don't be a stranger.


Extras: Filter Print Post Top
InvisibleBayerPhi
Always Learning


Registered: 05/28/12
Posts: 1,884
Re: Anyone worried about "not"-QE? [Re: Sempeur]
    #26463286 - 02/01/20 09:21 AM (3 years, 11 months ago)

Worried? No!
Did you watch the last FOMC meeting where every reporter, but one, had less than half a brain asking questions? Where NOBODY asked about the consequences of inflation?

NOT. ONE. PERSON.

"When one injects $500 Billion into the markets over the past 6-9 months, because the banks were over-leveraged. Was this to avoid a liquidity crisis, or to rid the world of the dollar's dominance? Furthermore, why are we keeping this bull market going that's been fueled solely on debt, Mr. Powell?"

The cart isn't being pulled by the Bulls, the cart has been dragging a dead Bull since Dec. 2018.

How long did it take Apple to reach the 1 trillion market cap on the back of Chinese slave labor? Powell and his cronies just injected half of that into the market in a matter of months. Probably to secret spite Trump giving him shit.



"Apres moi le deluge" - Trump and every dumbass aristocrat in the history books.


--------------------
Μανθάνων μὴ κάμνε

:alert: Mycology Fundamentals and Misc. Info :mushroom:

:chemistry: Stains, Reagents, and Media :alert:

Tradelist


Extras: Filter Print Post Top
Jump to top Pages: 1

Kraken Kratom Shop: Red Vein Kratom


Similar ThreadsPosterViewsRepliesLast post
* Fed announces QE infinity
( 1 2 all )
Shins 2,231 32 09/10/17 07:35 AM
by qman
* FED made 9 trillion in overnight loans
( 1 2 3 all )
Nexius 5,449 49 12/07/10 06:51 PM
by Silversoul
* The Official Shroomery Silver and Gold Thread *DELETED*
( 1 2 3 4 ... 25 26 )
Gilgamesh18 34,042 506 01/05/20 06:35 PM
by Ahab McBathsalts
* Risk-Aversion & Building your Net Worth from the ground up
( 1 2 3 all )
memes 3,715 48 03/17/13 12:55 PM
by Hotnuts
* U.S. equities, may be approaching, top. Recessions, likely.
( 1 2 3 4 5 all )
Hotnuts 7,125 92 10/23/12 12:02 PM
by Hotnuts
* Is now a good time to buy gold and silver?
( 1 2 all )
Playful Hate 3,334 28 12/17/12 06:13 PM
by Patlal
* The Global Slowdown memes 2,078 17 02/10/15 10:03 PM
by memes
* deflation ArmFromTheAbyss 846 9 07/05/13 09:35 AM
by Stonehenge

Extra information
You cannot start new topics / You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled / BBCode is enabled
Moderator: geokills, automan
491 topic views. 0 members, 2 guests and 0 web crawlers are browsing this forum.
[ Show Images Only | Sort by Score | Print Topic ]
Search this thread:

Copyright 1997-2024 Mind Media. Some rights reserved.

Generated in 0.062 seconds spending 0.044 seconds on 15 queries.