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Re: Sanders - Woooflestiltskin 2020 [Re: Bigbadwooof]
    #26472041 -

Bigbadwooof said:
feldman114 said:
You’re reaching now...it didn’t take long...it took ONE day lol...fastest investigation I’ve ever seen.

Are you suggesting Bernie will win by a wide margin? That’d be a neat trick for sure


I think what Falcon is saying is: Why is it, that the NYT, CNN, MSNBC, etc, with all of their journalistic resources, are reporting things that are flat out untrue, which youtube journalists get right, days prior.

The mainstream media likes to do this bait-and-switch journalism, where they fabricate some bullshit, to fit their desired narrative, and then come back later to 'correct' their mistake. There's no guarantee that the people who saw their fabrication will also see the correction. In this way, it is a very effective method of shaping public opinion, while still covering their ass.


All I’m saying is that NYT doesn’t belong to that list. They run all kinds of stories - not just what benefits establishment candidates.
They used statistics to make an educated guess based on data from The Associated Press, which they cited as a source. It seems like a good guess considering how slim the margins will be, regardless who the winner is.

Bigbadwooof said:
Falcon91Wolvrn03 said:
feldman114 said:
Are you suggesting Bernie will win by a wide margin? That’d be a neat trick for sure


No, I'm suggesting a lot of us knew Bernie was going to win while the clueless NY Times gave him a 1.5% "Barely possible" chance.  Why is the NY Times so clueless?

And I'm saying the NY Times is lying when they say Bernie only has a 54% of winning, when it's more like 100%.  Again, why is the NY Times so clueless?


How is it that Falcon was able to make that bet, in full confidence, while the NYT was still saying that there was more than 95% chance that mayor Pete would emerge victorious.

The NYT is not acting in good faith. That's what this comes down to. They certainly have more resources than Falcon92Wolvrn03 does.


It’s about staying reputable. They can’t make accusations without indisputable proof BECAUSE they have all those resources.
Right when the numbers changed, their prediction changed, as per the science of statistics. When they concluded an investigation on the Iowa caucuses, they promptly reported on the inconsistencies.

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Re: Sanders - Woooflestiltskin 2020 [Re: Falcon91Wolvrn03] * 1
    #26472045 -



Another great Jimmy clip...

I'm starting to like Jimmy Dore more and more, honestly. I didn't like him after he spit on Alex Jones. Just not a respectable thing to do.

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Re: Sanders - Woooflestiltskin 2020 [Re: Bigbadwooof] * 2
    #26472048 -

I would like to thank the IDP, DNC, and MSM for helping me clear 200% in the iowa caucus market on PI over the last couple days.  I don't even care at this point if they give peyey-boy a few extra sdes.  Bros made plenty of money on the crazy swings.  I'll be giving Bernie 10%.  Hold on to your asses, Bernie bettors are gonna make money in all markets after Biden craters in NH.
Happy investing
Feel the Bern
Don't forget to tithe

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Re: Sanders - Woooflestiltskin 2020 [Re: feldman114] * 2
    #26472050 -

Lot of people lost money playing the NYT needle.
MSM addicts need to take the needle out of their arms

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Re: Sanders - Woooflestiltskin 2020 [Re: feldman114]
    #26472055 -

feldman114 said:
It’s about staying reputable. They can’t make accusations without indisputable proof BECAUSE they have all those resources.
Right when the numbers changed, their prediction changed, as per the science of statistics. When they concluded an investigation on the Iowa caucuses, they promptly reported on the inconsistencies.


If you call a news agency "reputable" that keeps getting proven wrong, while alternative news knows exactly what's going on, I'm going to trust the alternative news.  :shrug:

As I did with our signature bet.  :smirk:


--------------------
I am in a minority on the shroomery, as I frequently defend the opposing side when they have a point about something or when my side make believes something about them.  I also attack my side if I think they're wrong.  People here get very confused by that and think it means I prefer the other side.

Edited by Falcon91Wolvrn03 (02/06/20 01:23 PM)

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Re: Sanders - Woooflestiltskin 2020 [Re: ballsalsa]
    #26472075 -

ballsalsa said:
Lot of people lost money playing the NYT needle.
MSM addicts need to take the needle out of their arms


:thatsaten:

How much did you make, just curious..

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Re: Sanders - Woooflestiltskin 2020 [Re: Falcon91Wolvrn03]
    #26472076 -

Falcon91Wolvrn03 said:
feldman114 said:
It’s about staying reputable. They can’t make accusations without indisputable proof BECAUSE they have all those resources.
Right when the numbers changed, their prediction changed, as per the science of statistics. When they concluded an investigation on the Iowa caucuses, they promptly reported on the inconsistencies.


If you call a news agency "reputable" that keeps getting proven wrong, while alternative news knows exactly what's going on, I'm going to trust the alternative news.  :shrug:

As I did with our signature bet.  :smirk:


Ok, Falcon, what am I putting in my sig now? It's kind of full, but a bet is a bet!

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Re: Sanders - Woooflestiltskin 2020 [Re: Bigbadwooof] * 1
    #26472080 -

200.  I rolled most of it into other bets.  Portfolio up another 100 since last night.

It sounds more impressive as a percentage though, lol

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Re: Sanders - Woooflestiltskin 2020 [Re: Bigbadwooof]
    #26472087 -

Bigbadwooof said:
I'm starting to like Jimmy Dore more and more, honestly.


I've seen him live a few times.  Very enjoyable.  Here's his schedule:

https://jimmydorecomedy.com/events/list/

Aw shit.  His shows are all sold out in San Jose and Sacramento.  :frown:


--------------------
I am in a minority on the shroomery, as I frequently defend the opposing side when they have a point about something or when my side make believes something about them.  I also attack my side if I think they're wrong.  People here get very confused by that and think it means I prefer the other side.

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Re: Sanders - Woooflestiltskin 2020 [Re: Bigbadwooof]
    #26472089 -

Bigbadwooof said:
Ok, Falcon, what am I putting in my sig now? It's kind of full, but a bet is a bet!


Did we bet anything?  I figured you were joking?


--------------------
I am in a minority on the shroomery, as I frequently defend the opposing side when they have a point about something or when my side make believes something about them.  I also attack my side if I think they're wrong.  People here get very confused by that and think it means I prefer the other side.

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Re: Sanders - Woooflestiltskin 2020 [Re: ballsalsa]
    #26472090 -

ballsalsa said:
200.  I rolled most of it into other bets.  Portfolio up another 100 since last night.

It sounds more impressive as a percentage though, lol


:toast:

My man... You know, it feels like we're privy to insider knowledge, just by having alternative news sources.. It feels like insider trading or something lol.

I need to get in on some of these bets. I knew Bernie was gonna win long before her emerged victorious.

You know, the MSM hasn't even acknowledged Bernie as the winner, though. What metric were they using on your betting page? Was it popular vote numbers?

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Re: Sanders - Woooflestiltskin 2020 [Re: Bigbadwooof]
    #26472099 -

I'm hesitant to start gambling... Because I have a very addictive personality, and tend to go buck wild. I would have put a grand on Bernie winning Iowa..

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Re: Sanders - Woooflestiltskin 2020 [Re: Bigbadwooof]
    #26472101 -

I tried to bet on Bernie for Iowa, but PA doesn't allow that type of betting, and I'm too lazy to figure out a workaround.


--------------------
Enjoy the process of your search without succumbing to the pressure of the result.

A Dorito is pizza, change my mind.

I’m sorry it had to be me.

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Re: Sanders - Woooflestiltskin 2020 [Re: Falcon91Wolvrn03] * 1
    #26472103 -

Falcon91Wolvrn03 said:
Bigbadwooof said:
Ok, Falcon, what am I putting in my sig now? It's kind of full, but a bet is a bet!


Did we bet anything?  I figured you were joking?


I'm going to go with... I was joking.


--------------------
"It is no measure of good health to be well adjusted to a profoundly sick society," - Jiddu Krishnamurti
FARTS
"No my dog won't bite you, tho it had the right to. You ought to give him credit, cuz he knows I woulda let him" - Modest Mouse (And Wooof!)
Every one of you should see this video.
"Facts are chiels that winna ding, and downa be disputed" - Robert Burns


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Re: Sanders - Woooflestiltskin 2020 [Re: christopera]
    #26472126 -

PredictIt is legal.
They got an FTC waiver or whatever

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Re: Sanders - Woooflestiltskin 2020 [Re: ballsalsa]
    #26472146 -

Hey bal, you ever think of making a TEK / dedicated thread about this? It would be cool to see something based on your experience before I or others jump in.


--------------------
“I must not fear.
Fear is the mind-killer.
Fear is the little-death that brings total obliteration.
I will face my fear. I will permit it to pass over me and through me.
And when it has gone past I will turn the inner eye to see its path.
Where the fear has gone there will be nothing. Only I will remain.”

Edited by SirTripAlot (02/06/20 02:12 PM)

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Re: Sanders - Woooflestiltskin 2020 [Re: Falcon91Wolvrn03]
    #26472164 -

Falcon91Wolvrn03 said:
feldman114 said:
It’s about staying reputable. They can’t make accusations without indisputable proof BECAUSE they have all those resources.
Right when the numbers changed, their prediction changed, as per the science of statistics. When they concluded an investigation on the Iowa caucuses, they promptly reported on the inconsistencies.


If you call a news agency "reputable" that keeps getting proven wrong, while alternative news knows exactly what's going on, I'm going to trust the alternative news.  :shrug:

As I did with our signature bet.  :smirk:


The NYT doesn’t “keep getting proven wrong” though. The needle was a guess - it says so right on top of the page, for those who don’t already know that NYT can’t see into the future.

If justice prevails there will be a recount (or w.e. the backward caucus version of a recount is)

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Re: Sanders - Woooflestiltskin 2020 [Re: SirTripAlot] * 1
    #26472166 -

"Buttigieg Smiles Creepily Instead Of Talking To Reporters About Iowa"


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Re: Sanders - Woooflestiltskin 2020 [Re: qman]
    #26472181 -

qman said:
"Buttigieg Smiles Creepily Instead Of Talking To Reporters About Iowa"




:rofl2:

Looks like no one was more surprised by his results

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Re: Sanders - Woooflestiltskin 2020 [Re: feldman114]
    #26472194 -

feldman114 said:
The NYT doesn’t “keep getting proven wrong” though. The needle was a guess - it says so right on top of the page, for those who don’t already know that NYT can’t see into the future.


But they were wrong about so many things me and others warned about, such as Trump-Russia collusion.  They didn't require evidence, like 'reputable' sources do.

Funny how alternative news is able to 'see into the future', and how I knew it was safe to make the signature bet with you when the NY Times said I had only a 1.5% chance of winning.

Now that everyone knows the election was rigged, and the establishment is trying to figure out the best way to get out of it.  I suspect they'll fire the chair of Iowa elections, which means nothing because that's not the guy's main job, and if they're smart they'll figure out a way to make it look like an establishment candidate helped expose this.

feldman114 said:
If justice prevails there will be a recount (or w.e. the backward caucus version of a recount is)


Justice has already failed.  The establishment media is still pushing the narrative that 'Buttigieg is leading'.

I'm still so confident that you're going to lose your bet on the NY Times, that I'm willing to up the stakes from 3 months to 6 months if you want.  You should consider it; after all the NY Times still says you still have a 46% chance of winning.

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