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geokills
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Re: Cryptocurrency: A Discussion on Bitcoin, Ethereum and Related Projects [Re: mapleleafmarijuana] 2
#25005348 - 02/19/18 10:45 AM (5 years, 11 months ago) |
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If you simply want some exposure to the crypto asset class, holding some BTC is fine, as presently most issues correlate closely to the movement of BTC. Of course, it is always preferable to maintain some diversification in efforts to protect yourself from one particular issue failing (or missing out on a separate issue doing exceedingly well). With only a small amount of capital to work with however, you may not want to diversify into too many different names, but I would suggest allocating between BTC, ETC and XMR as a baseline for diversification. Each of these cryptos offers a unique feature; BTC being the largest and first use case of this technology and a popular settlement layer for value transfer, ETC being a "world computer" that can execute programming code as well as function as a layer for value transfer, and XMR offering a privacy layer for value transfer to ensure that all senders/recipients and specific transfer amounts are kept confidential.
There are of course hundreds of other interesting crypto projects out there, but most of them have very limited development and support, and if you aren't actively managing your investment portfolio or don't want to take the time to understand the depth of these projects, it's better to keep things simple. In the event you do want to do little deeper research, here are the names I currently hold, which given that I am putting my own money in them, I would surely advocate as worthy of your consideration:
- Cash (USD) 9%
- Neo (NEO) 18%
- Neblio (NEBL) 11%
- Ether (ETH) 8%
- PolySwarm 8%*
- Monero (XMR) 6%
- Cardano (ADA) 5%
- VeChain (VEN) 4%
- EOS (EOS) 4%
- Origin Trail (TRAC) 4%
- OmiseGo (OMG) 4%
- RChain (RHOC) 4%
- tZERO (t0) 4%*
- Stellar Lumens (XLM) 3%
- Lisk (LSK) 3%
- ICON (ICX) 2%
- Zap (ZAP) 1%
- 0x (ZRX) 1%
- Cobinhood (COB) 1%
- Props <1%*
*ETH equivalent of ICO investment, tokens not currently public.
I am actively bidding on some Polymath (POLY), a recent issue designed to assist companies in launching proprietary crypto assets as regulatory compliant securities for their businesses. They are hosting in a conference at the end of the month with a lot of big players in the sector that could light a fire under this new token. Who am I kidding, the fire is already lit, which is why the thing has been bid up. I don't want to chase it, so my highest bid is around $1.35, although I would prefer to be buying closer to $0.90.
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geokills
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Re: Cryptocurrency: A Discussion on Bitcoin, Ethereum and Related Projects [Re: ashfiken] 2
#25032986 - 03/02/18 08:22 AM (5 years, 10 months ago) |
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The Tether issue is one that has persisted, but I'm not sure that it is as catastrophic as a lot of people have been making it out to be. Let's break down the numbers for a minute...
Tether (USDT) market cap: $2.2 Billion Tether (USDT) 24hr volume: $2.3 Billion
BitFinex 24hr exchange volume: $735 Million Cryptocurrency 24hr market volume: $19 Billion
Bitcoin Market Capitalization: $184 Billion Cryptocurrency Market Capitalization: $451 Billion
This indicates that the Tether product accounts for ~0.5% of the total cryptocurrency market, or 1.2% of the bitcoin market if it were used exclusively as a BTC trading pair (which it is not). Those numbers in isolation make it extremely unlikely that it could be used to manipulate the price of BTC in a way that its detractors have claimed. Of course, when you consider that its 24 hour trading volume accounted for ~12% of the aggregate crypto market trading volume, that does make things a little more interesting, as that is a significant chunk of aggregate trading. Taken a step further and incorrectly assuming that Tether is only being paired for trade with BTC, it would construe up to 30% of bitcoin's daily trading volume, which is definitely enough to warrant suspicion of manipulation. But the fact that Tether does over $1 billion of its daily volume with currency pairs other than BTC (typically ETH, LTC, ETC, BCH, NEO and a host of other smaller issues), indicates that at most, USDT/BTC pairs account for ~15% of BTC's daily trading volume. Still a lot, but enough to push the price of BTC from $1000 to $20,000? I can't say impossible, but I am definitely doubtful.
Couple that number crunching exercise with the fact that the cryptocurrency exchange business has been phenomenally profitable for its operators. BitFinex (the associated exchange operator/creator of the Tether product), is around the 5th largest exchange on any given day by dollar volume, processing $735,000,000 worth of transactions in the last 24 hours alone. With trading fees taken into account, this means BitFinex has taken in somewhere around $735,000 in commission fees over the last 24 hours (I can't know the exact number as their fee structure is variable based on trading activity and whether you are a market maker or a market order taker), but I do believe the assumption of 0.1% commission is conservative. This equates to a over quarter billion dollars of commission income annually. Why would BitFinex risk maintaining Tether as a willful ponzi scheme, which would in turn risk their entire exchange asset business, when the exchange asset business is the one that's really printing money for them?
It just doesn't seem logical. Whether or not Tether has always had a 1:1 dollar backing, it would seem that at this point, with trading volumes where they are, even if Tether were an unbacked ponzi scheme, BitFinex could have paid back the ponzi and legitimized the product by now; which any sane person would do, given the level of secured income the exchange arm is producing.
All that said, I still avoid using USDT, and it still admittedly makes me somewhat weary. But when I sit down and crunch the numbers, some of that concern is definitely mitigated.
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geokills
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Re: Cryptocurrency: A Discussion on Bitcoin, Ethereum and Related Projects [Re: SirShroomsAlott] 2
#25035079 - 03/03/18 02:13 AM (5 years, 10 months ago) |
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If this is your first tax year filing income that wasn't otherwise reported via a W2, don't worry. Just calculate your short-term (<12 mo) or long term (>12mo) gain/loss and include that on your tax return as a capital gain/loss. There is no reason to prepay the IRS for whatever gains you have during the current year, unless they are annual gains you anticipate receiving on a regular basis. Figure out what you earned over the last tax period and pay accordingly. Only if you anticipate that you will earn the same income in the following year should you prepay a deposit via an -ES form (typically the rule is to follow the prior year, so if you haven't garnered investment gains in the prior year, don't worry about making early payments, just pay those taxes when they are due). In either case, it all balances out, as if you overestimate, it is deducted from you following year's tax dues. If you underestimate, the worst case is typically whatever is owed + 10% penalty.
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geokills
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Re: Cryptocurrency: A Discussion on Bitcoin, Ethereum and Related Projects [Re: geokills] 2
#25044782 - 03/07/18 08:43 AM (5 years, 10 months ago) |
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Good mornin' folks! I would like to inquire as to how is everyone feeling with respect to market sentiment here?
For my part, I notice a few cross-currents and generally directionless performance for the time being. BTC remains a dominant player in the space, the gateway crypto so to speak, and tends to lead the market overall, and so it comes as little surprise that it is mired in consolidation with no imminent signs of breaking out. However, XMR and NEO as a couple of the bigger players in the space, have been able to show deadly relative strength, and as a result are two of my favorites (NEO being a longtime overweight position and XMR being actively built up to a larger slice of my personal portfolio's pie). The added utility of ETH is attractive, but until they can prove some scaling solutions in practice, I have a hard time seeing it eclipse its all the time highs, particularly on account of regulators clamping down on the ICO scene, which has been a major driver for ETH.
Newer platforms with ambitious goals that have yet to produce a fleshed out product (e.g. ADA, EOS) have been suffering since the holiday buying frenzy that saw a large swath of relatively uninformed retail investors begin to enter the space in droves. Lesser known platforms with ambitious goals (e.g. ZIL, HPB, RHOC) are enticing to me, as I view them akin to the more widely accepted early stage platforms, and as a result can see the potential for them to expand in value with greater velocity, as they have not yet enjoyed the same level of investor adoption as their larger counterparts, and yet are attempting to resolve many of the same issues, scaling being at the forefront of the list of ideals.
Utility plays are a mixed bag. OMG has fared well and I am hoping the same for NCT once it is issued and the product takes shape. But generally speaking, I am having a harder time committing myself to these types of positions in this environment, as the valuations are often _very_ rich for the level of functionality that they are offering in often only niche markets.
Coinbase's recent intention to launch an accredited only crypto index fund is a significant positive that I believe can bring additional capital into the sector, and I would suspect may ramp up their motivation to add additional issues to their GDAX platform. In the meanwhile however, I just feel like we are bound to continue chopping around sideways until there is a bit more clarity on the regulatory front, specifically with regard to the SEC's subpoenas by which everyone seems to be tight lipped regarding any detail whatsoever, but also with regard to the broader international regulatory sentiment by which we may gain some insight over the upcoming G20 meeting, although I suspect only a very basic framework may be discussed and it would be some time before any coordinated effort on global regulation could be reasonably executed.
What do you think about any or all of this? What have you been doing with your portfolio? What areas are you most excited to be involved with and why? Conversely, which areas are you uneasy about? Inquiring minds would like to know...
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Lophosaurus
suruasohpol


Registered: 08/09/07
Posts: 8,744
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Re: Cryptocurrency: A Discussion on Bitcoin, Ethereum and Related Projects [Re: SirShroomsAlott] 2
#25096563 - 03/28/18 08:11 AM (5 years, 9 months ago) |
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I am also out of the game for now. Really my money is in tether and waiting for a sign to be back in. We're getting pushed into the end of this wedge and we only have a few days before we breakout and I think we will breakout to the downside to test the bottom again
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geokills
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Re: Cryptocurrency: A Discussion on Bitcoin, Ethereum and Related Projects [Re: geokills] 2
#25108151 - 04/02/18 10:07 AM (5 years, 9 months ago) |
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Just some notes I sent out on another crypto channel this morning:
Amazing deals are a matter of perspective and, in particular, time horizon. If you're simply judging by the percentage calculation from peak to present day trough, it is easy to make the somewhat dubious assumption that present day prices indeed present an amazing deal. From the perspective of fundamental valuation, most crypto issues are barely off the ground with a viable product, let alone widespread adoption and sustained accelerated growth, either in terms of consumer usage or revenue. Yet so many of these issues are - still - commanding valuations in the hundreds of millions to billions of dollars.
It is obvious in hindsight that the turn of 2017 to 2018 was fueled with irrational exuberance, driven in large part by the "lowest common denominator" of the undisciplined retail investor. Studying this history highlights the importance of scaling into and out of positions. The general aim for any seasoned investor is not to catch 100% of any given move, or to hold on for glory through thick and thin in efforts to ultimately be proven right. The general aim is simply to be profitable, and because one individual will never know more than the crowd, it is important to trade with discipline, respecting a rapid and exaggerated move in price by fading it incrementally, but ideally keeping some skin in the game in efforts to stay in sync with the price-emotion-action cycles of the market.
What has happened to the crypto sector over the past few months is not the type of action that is repaired or reverses just as quickly as the carnage occurred. Downside moves in capital markets almost always move faster and farther than their upside counterpart. Thus, it would be a foolhardy assumption to expect that the current price levels are a steal and must be bought before the entire market takes off without you. From my seat, I do believe prices are certainly more attractive than they were a month, two or three ago, but I also believe that it will take several more months and even years for the bulk of these issues to hit new highs, and that many of them never will.
That being said, I have advised a few people who have had zero exposure to crypto assets, that this appears to be an appropriate time to begin scaling into a basket of assets poised for long term growth. But as for me, who has been riding BTC since the $200's and ETH since $11, and who did sell into the New Year out of discipline (and who wish he had sold more!), I am not compelled to commit additional capital here and now. I already have meaningful exposure, and as market dynamics have changed, I am not expecting moonshot gains in the near term, instead allocating for a very long period of lying in wait while this new sector builds out its fundamental legs, creates products that actually work toward their intended purposes and are not thriving primarily as a vehicle for speculation, instead producing products that are making money and improving upon existing solutions for similar functions.
This game is much slower and less exciting then the hype driven frenzy of a new market that first attracts the attention of the public masses, which is what we bore witness to throughout 2017. But this slower and more tactful game can also be less stressful while remaining wildly profitable, one just has to set their expectations differently and accept that the market has indeed changed.
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geokills
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Re: Cryptocurrency: A Discussion on Bitcoin, Ethereum and Related Projects [Re: geokills] 2
#25138410 - 04/14/18 01:05 PM (5 years, 9 months ago) |
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It sure would be nice to see things taking off, but I'm not running to fund my accounts (granted I maintain significant existing long term exposure). Off the cuff, this looks like a good old fashioned short squeeze. Whether it turns into sustainable upside is anyone's guess. I would need to see a move above $9000 to have increasing confidence in a reversal of the prevailing downtrend, as presently BTC is still printing lower highs.

The volume on last week's pop is encouraging, however it's hardly surprising given the increasing level of short interest we saw building up into it, as especially high margined shorts can create a cascade of forced liquidations that squeezes price higher with great velocity as soon as price breaks against them. No doubt there was some piling in under the expectation that the February lows would be broken.
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SirShroomsAlott
Howdy



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Posts: 6,945
Loc: United States
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Re: Cryptocurrency: A Discussion on Bitcoin, Ethereum and Related Projects [Re: SirShroomsAlott] 2
#25304343 - 07/02/18 11:20 AM (5 years, 6 months ago) |
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Well today was quite a pleasant surprise when I decided to check on how the markets doing, hopefully it'll continue 
Obviously I think growth will come, still unsure about whether it'll be in the short term though. Still not putting anything more in until it shows it can hold these levels.
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SirShroomsAlott
Howdy



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Re: Cryptocurrency: A Discussion on Bitcoin, Ethereum and Related Projects [Re: SirShroomsAlott] 2
#25350667 - 07/27/18 04:00 PM (5 years, 6 months ago) |
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Anyone have any opinions on digibyte? I'm assuming I was drunk and bought a few hundred bucks worth at some point because I have them on my ledger and have zero memory of ever buying it 
If it wasnt for the ledger live thing I was setting up I probably wouldnt of ever known I had them, debating whether I should continue to forget about it or trade it into something else.
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Lophosaurus
suruasohpol


Registered: 08/09/07
Posts: 8,744
Loc: CA
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Re: Cryptocurrency: A Discussion on Bitcoin, Ethereum and Related Projects [Re: SirShroomsAlott] 2
#25351214 - 07/27/18 08:37 PM (5 years, 5 months ago) |
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Ha, that's pretty funny. Sometimes I forget what I bought too.
DGB doesn't look so hot to me. It looks like it's going to go down more. Don't really know anything about it though.
I tried to buy a bunch of weed seeds last night, but they wouldn't take visa so I used some Siacoin. They said my order didn't go through, so I ordered from another place. Then the first place sent a message at 4 in the morning that my order went through. Now I have too many seeds. Point is that it is still a little complicated to buy with crypto. It is getting easier than last time I tried
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geokills
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Re: Cryptocurrency: A Discussion on Bitcoin, Ethereum and Related Projects [Re: mndfreeze] 2
#25484174 - 09/23/18 10:41 PM (5 years, 4 months ago) |
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Quote:
mndfreeze said: Wait..... is it a public corp? Can I buy shroomery stock?!?
I want shroomery stock....
Privately held California C-Corporation my good man. We have additional restrictions on the books so you can't just go giving Y costco sized Ranch buckets in exchange for a few shares either!
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geokills
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Re: Cryptocurrency: A Discussion on Bitcoin, Ethereum and Related Projects [Re: Kinko] 2
#25585734 - 11/01/18 10:49 PM (5 years, 2 months ago) |
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There is no next bitcoin. Bitcoin is the proof of concept for trustless digital currency that avoids the double spend problem. That can only happen once.
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trendal
J♠



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Re: Cryptocurrency: A Discussion on Bitcoin, Ethereum and Related Projects [Re: viraldrome] 2
#25812419 - 02/14/19 11:21 AM (4 years, 11 months ago) |
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I've been following the news closely as they were my primary onshore exchange! Luckily, I had all my crypto in other places when this happened! I think I pulled the last of the ETH I had on there a month ago
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Once, men turned their thinking over to machines in the hope that this would set them free. But that only permitted other men with machines to enslave them.
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HamHead
Hard Ass Motherfucker



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Re: Cryptocurrency Big Dogs: Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Tezos (XTZ) [Re: HappySloth] 2
#25914984 - 04/04/19 06:37 AM (4 years, 9 months ago) |
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Scarcity.
When the 2020 halving happens, miners will not be earning as many BTC, so they will want their efforts to be worth it. . .
I'm just saying.
-------------------- The Italian researchers’ findings, published by the INT’s scientific magazine Tumori Journal, show 11.6% of 959 healthy volunteers enrolled in a lung cancer screening trial between September 2019 and March 2020 had developed coronavirus antibodies well before February. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-italy-timing-idUSKBN27V0KF This online first version has been peer-reviewed, accepted and edited, but not formatted and finalized with corrections from authors and proofreaders https://www.icandecide.org/
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geokills
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Re: Cryptocurrency Big Dogs: Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Tezos (XTZ) [Re: geokills] 2
#26210892 - 09/26/19 12:24 PM (4 years, 4 months ago) |
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Pretty rough break to the downside. Traders should have exited short term positions on the move below $9400. Long term holders, well, this is just how it goes sometimes. I wouldn't be buying today. If we see some stabilization/support between $6,500-$7,000 BTC, that's when I would look to add to positions.
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sh4d0ws
LSx


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Re: Cryptocurrency Big Dogs: Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Tezos (XTZ) [Re: geokills] 2
#26467127 - 02/03/20 04:49 PM (3 years, 11 months ago) |
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Finally!
Great job guys and thanks deadwalkk!
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Grimsweeper
don't fear the sweeper


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Re: Cryptocurrency Big Dogs: Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Tezos (XTZ) [Re: Tripsurfer] 2
#26470212 - 02/05/20 12:26 PM (3 years, 11 months ago) |
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Lol $200 in BTC to $200 in XTZ
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geokills
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Re: Cryptocurrency: A Discussion on Bitcoin, Ethereum and Related Projects [Re: sh4d0ws] 2
#26482043 - 02/12/20 01:59 PM (3 years, 11 months ago) |
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Quote:
sh4d0ws said: you can always verify your baker is being legitimate and honest and giving you the correct rewards you deserve by checking your tz or KT address on Baking Bad
Cool resource! My baker currently skims 7% of the reward, although they offer a 6% rate if you mention that you have a better offer elsewhere.
On Tezos price action, I am moving 20% of my XTZ onto exchange now, with price bouncing around between $3.30 - $3.60. Intending to put up a ladder of sell orders between $3.45 and $4.00 to lock in some of this move. For some very basic "back of the cocktail napkin" kind of calculations, let's take a look at the Top 10 crypto assets by their market capitalization.
- 1. Bitcoin $188,430,276,986
- 2. Ethereum $29,233,998,895
- 3. XRP $13,128,848,143
- 4. BCH $8,709,278,301
- 5. BSV $6,713,808,707
- 6. Litecoin $5,233,884,983
- 7. EOS $5,142,170,803
- 8. Tether $4,643,725,847
- 9. Binance Coin $4,009,207,484
- 10. Tezos $2,305,416,043
As much as I'd like to believe that Tezos could some day overtake Ethereum on the leaderboard, that's a wildly optimistic expectation given the deep developer network and early mover advantages that Ethereum enjoys. While hypothesizing based upon the above numbers is not a particularly rigorous exercise, it seems reasonable to me that Tezos could be valued similarly to EOS given its present stage of functional development and, although less than EOS's coffers, a nevertheless significant amount of financial resources that its foundation can use to engage and further encourage the development of its ecosystem.
At parity with EOS's current market capitalization, that would theoretically provide for another ~120% gain from the current price of $3.32, making for a target price of ~$7 per tezzie. Because such a move would likely occur concurrent with a rising tide that would lift most crypto assets, parity with EOS would likely occur at an even higher price. Thus, in my most optimistic short term scenario, I would expect XTZ to find "fair value" somewhere between $7-$9. That being said, the trading volume on XTZ is remarkably low, only 7% the amount of volume compared to EOS. Because of this low trading activity, one can expect the nominal price to be more volatile than other assets in the Top 10 list. Indeed, this is likely a major contributing factor for why XTZ has rallied so quickly compared to all other assets this year, and portends that the road ahead will in all odds be very bumpy with some gut wrenching swings in both directions. Hence why I am trying to take a tranche off of the table today.
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Asante
Mage


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Re: Cryptocurrency: A Discussion on Bitcoin, Ethereum and Related Projects [Re: Asante] 2
#26483627 - 02/13/20 12:12 PM (3 years, 11 months ago) |
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Quote:
Asante said: Stellar Lumen (XLM) dreamers:
German bank offers tokenized securities based on the Stellar platform
Thats something nice for the Stellar portfolio "an established bank uses our crypto platform"
Did you know that bitcoin uses SEVEN GIGAWATTS of power? Thats friggin 5 big nuclear power plants humming away just to keep mr satoshi happy. UNACCEPTABLE!
By contrast, Stellar Lumen is MUCH more energy efficient. You can do as much as BTC and more for a fraction of the energy cost.
I say "and more" because BTC only allows 2 transactions per second, XLM had up to 4000.
-------------------- Omnicyclion.org higher knowledge starts here
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Tripsurfer
Bring Back Asante!



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Re: Cryptocurrency: A Discussion on Bitcoin, Ethereum and Related Projects [Re: LogicaL Chaos] 2
#26484688 - 02/14/20 05:01 AM (3 years, 11 months ago) |
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Yes Ripple I have those too 
My crypto strategy:
1 Read some positive thing on Shrommery about random crypto
2 Find second en third positive source online
3 Invest in said crypto
So far is has been paying off
-------------------- Ach en wee ben ik de klos, met mijn boog schoot ik een albatros... A philosopher is a person who knows less and less about more and more, until he knows nothing about everything.

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