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InvisibleMojo
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Registered: 07/12/07
Posts: 1,677
Shorting China's Real Estate Bubble
    #23755073 - 10/20/16 02:29 PM (7 years, 4 months ago)

Is anyone looking into this right now?  Care to share your opinions and potential strategies?

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OfflinegeokillsA
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Registered: 05/08/01
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Re: Shorting China's Real Estate Bubble [Re: Mojo]
    #23757415 - 10/21/16 09:16 AM (7 years, 4 months ago)

It's an interesting trade idea, albeit not one that I am actively pursuing.  Your primary targeted options at this point would be to short the TAO fund, although this is comprised mostly of Hong Kong real estate, which may not be as diversified an approach and may turn out to be more resilient than the broader Chinese real estate complex.  Alternatively, if the real estate bubble truly does pop, it will probably have wide reaching negative effects on the Chinese market in aggregate, in which case hopping into the 3x bear leveraged ETF YANG would be good for a short term effort to catch any freefall that may manifest (I wouldn't hold YANG for any appreciable amount of time as these leveraged ETF's inherently decay in value over time).  Alternatively, buy puts or short the FXI, which is a fairly liquid ETF of 25 large cap Chinese companies (almost half financial services/banks).


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