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InvisiblePenelope_Tree
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Statistics question- show off your smarts
    #22313524 - 09/30/15 11:29 AM (8 years, 3 months ago)

I have the chance to enter a drawing for a free gas card. I have a number of entries based on how many points ive accumulated. My question is, is it better to place all of my entries in one draw or to spread out my entries across multiple jobs? I don't know how many people are in each drawing.


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Invisible1234go
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Re: Statistics question- show off your smarts [Re: Penelope_Tree]
    #22313659 - 09/30/15 11:57 AM (8 years, 3 months ago)

Don't put all your eggs in one basket.


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OfflineShroomslip
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Re: Statistics question- show off your smarts [Re: Penelope_Tree]
    #22313688 - 09/30/15 12:02 PM (8 years, 3 months ago)

I literally just asked this question a couple weeks ago basically :lol:

http://www.shroomery.org/forums/showflat.php/Number/22225853

I dunno :shrug: Common sense would tell me the safest bet is to throw in as many tickets into one pool as possible, but I have a feeling that's incorrect.


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InvisiblePenelope_Tree
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Re: Statistics question- show off your smarts [Re: Shroomslip]
    #22314118 - 09/30/15 01:29 PM (8 years, 3 months ago)

:lol: I know that events tend to congregate, so that's pretty funny.


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InvisibleCowb0yNeal00
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Re: Statistics question- show off your smarts [Re: Penelope_Tree]
    #22314126 - 09/30/15 01:31 PM (8 years, 3 months ago)

need more information… or your guess is as good as mine brothur


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InvisiblePenelope_Tree
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Re: Statistics question- show off your smarts [Re: Cowb0yNeal00]
    #22314568 - 09/30/15 02:53 PM (8 years, 3 months ago)

What Info do you need?


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InvisibleCowb0yNeal00
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Re: Statistics question- show off your smarts [Re: Penelope_Tree]
    #22314575 - 09/30/15 02:55 PM (8 years, 3 months ago)

If theres a lot of people in one drawing compared to another, obviously you would want to put yours in the one with less.


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Offlinezappaisgod
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Re: Statistics question- show off your smarts [Re: Penelope_Tree] * 1
    #22314585 - 09/30/15 02:56 PM (8 years, 3 months ago)

I suspect it doesn't matter.  I would throw all my tickets in the smallest pool though if you can identify it.


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Invisible4HO-DMT
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Re: Statistics question- show off your smarts [Re: Penelope_Tree]
    #22314649 - 09/30/15 03:11 PM (8 years, 3 months ago)

Quote:

zappaisgod said:
I suspect it doesn't matter.  I would throw all my tickets in the smallest pool though if you can identify it.




This is the correct answer. Spreading out your entries will give you lower probablility for every drawing. You have a higher probability of winning if you throw them all into one drawing.


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InvisiblePenelope_Tree
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Re: Statistics question- show off your smarts [Re: 4HO-DMT]
    #22315261 - 09/30/15 05:14 PM (8 years, 3 months ago)

Quote:

4HO-DMT said:
Quote:

zappaisgod said:
I suspect it doesn't matter.  I would throw all my tickets in the smallest pool though if you can identify it.




This is the correct answer. Spreading out your entries will give you lower probablility for every drawing. You have a higher probability of winning if you throw them all into one drawing.





Sweet! Thanks! I wish there was a way for me to know which pools had the least amount of entries, but alas, no such luck.


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