Home | Community | Message Board

KykeonAnalytics.com
This site includes paid links. Please support our sponsors.


Welcome to the Shroomery Message Board! You are experiencing a small sample of what the site has to offer. Please login or register to post messages and view our exclusive members-only content. You'll gain access to additional forums, file attachments, board customizations, encrypted private messages, and much more!

Jump to first unread post Pages: 1
InvisibleveggieM

Registered: 07/25/04
Posts: 17,538
Prop 19 Still Trailing in Polls, But with Hopeful Signs
    #13399627 - 10/28/10 08:43 AM (13 years, 6 months ago)

Prop 19 Still Trailing in Polls, But with Hopeful Signs
October 27, 2010 - Drug War Chronicle

California's tax and regulate marijuana legalization initiative, Proposition 19, is trailing in two more polls, adding to a run of disappointing poll results as election day draws near. According to the Talking Points Memo Polltracker, five separate polls in the past week have Prop 19 losing by an average of 50.3% to 42.6%. (A Yes on 19 internal poll not included in the Polltracker has the measure ahead 45% to 42%.)

A SurveyUSA poll released Wednesday had the measure trailing 44% to 46%, well with the poll's 4% margin of error. As SurveyUSA put it, "not yet enough breathing room for 'No' to be considered a clear favorite, but enough of a 'Yes' erosion for backers to be gravely concerned."

A CNN/Time poll released Tuesday was worse. It had Prop 19 losing 53% to 45%, with a +/-3.5% margin of error, among likely voters. (The numbers were slightly better for registered voters, 51% to 47%). The measure trailed among both men (46%) and women (44%) and whites (42%) and non-whites (49%). Only among liberals (76%), voters under 50 (57%), Democrats (55%), and the San Francisco Bay area (55%) was Prop 19 polling a majority.

The CNN/Time poll measured responses from 1,328 registered voters and 888 likely voters. The poll was conducted by phone interview.

The SurveyUSA poll is worrisome because a series of SurveyUSA polls as recent as October 18 had Prop 19 winning, but it does hold some grounds for hope. It measured both likely and actual voters -- early voting has been going on for several weeks now -- and it also polled cell phone users. Among people who only had cell phones, Prop 19 led, 48% to 36%. It also led among people who rarely vote in midterm elections, 53% to 39%, but who said they'd be voting this time. And it led among people who had not yet voted, 45% to 42%, while trailing among those had already voted, 43% to 54%.

Those poll findings suggest that the initiative could still emerge victorious if it can get the young and tech-savvy and the "unlikely voters" who may be motivated by the issue to actually get out and vote. Prop 19 and its allies have been whipping their get out the vote campaign hard, and this week's million dollar infusion courtesy of George Soros may still give it the oomph to get over the final hurdle on Tuesday.

Extras: Filter Print Post Top
Jump to top Pages: 1


Similar ThreadsPosterViewsRepliesLast post
* Bush Signs $401 Billion Defense Bill ZippoZM 2,463 2 11/24/03 11:26 AM
by AuroricDistortions
* Man comes out of 19 year coma! Dreamer987 1,474 1 07/09/03 01:23 PM
by motaman
* Hunter S. Thompson: surprised he's still here motamanM 2,900 5 11/04/04 02:46 PM
by Boom
* MARYLAND GOV. EHRLICH SIGNS MARIJUANA LAW motamanM 5,293 3 05/27/03 06:27 AM
by Seuss
* Bush Signs Amber Alert Bill motamanM 2,937 7 05/04/03 06:21 PM
by Learyfan
* Illinois governor signs needle law motamanM 3,029 8 08/04/03 05:29 PM
by TinMan
* BUSH TO SIGN CRIME BILL WIDENING DRUG LAW motamanM 3,812 4 05/02/03 01:02 PM
by chodamunky
* Some growers hope fungi save the farm AnnoA 913 0 08/10/04 12:51 PM
by Anno

Extra information
You cannot start new topics / You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled / BBCode is enabled
Moderator: motaman, veggie, Alan Rockefeller, Mostly_Harmless
615 topic views. 0 members, 6 guests and 2 web crawlers are browsing this forum.
[ Show Images Only | Sort by Score | Print Topic ]
Search this thread:

Copyright 1997-2024 Mind Media. Some rights reserved.

Generated in 0.015 seconds spending 0.004 seconds on 11 queries.